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Related papers: Estimating Train Delays in a Large Rail Network Us…

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Predicting the near-future delay with accuracy for trains is momentous for railway operations and passengers' traveling experience. This work aims to design prediction models for train delays based on Netherlands Railway data. We first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Jin Xu , Weiqi Wang , Zheming Gao , Haochen Luo , Qian Wu

Robust travel time predictions are of prime importance in managing any transportation infrastructure, and particularly in rail networks where they have major impacts both on traffic regulation and passenger satisfaction. We aim at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Farid Arthaud , Guillaume Lecoeur , Alban Pierre

In public railway systems, minor disruptions can trigger cascading events that lead to delays in the entire system. Typically, delays originate and propagate because the equipment is blocking ways, operational units are unavailable, or at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-24 Simone Daniotti , Vito D. P. Servedio , Johannes Kager , Aad Robben-Baldauf , Stefan Thurner

Railway systems form an important means of transport across the world. However, congestions or disruptions may significantly decrease these systems' efficiencies, making predicting and understanding the resulting train delays a priority for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-14 Mark M. Dekker , Alexey N. Medvedev , Jan Rombouts , Grzegorz Siudem , Liubov Tupikina

Public transport systems are expected to reduce pollution and contribute to sustainable development. However, disruptions in public transport such as delays may negatively affect mobility choices. To quantify delays, aggregated data from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Przemysław Wrona , Maciej Grzenda , Marcin Luckner

This study investigated the climate effect under consecutive winters on the arrival delay of high-speed passenger trains in northern Sweden. Novel statistical learning approaches, including inhomogeneous Markov chain model and stratified…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-15 Jianfeng Wang , Roberto Mantas Nakhai , Jun Yu

Train delays can propagate rapidly throughout the Urban Rail Transit (URT) network under networked operation conditions, posing significant challenges to operational departments. Accurately predicting passenger travel choices under train…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Chen Chen , Yuxin He , Hao Wang , Jingjing Chen , Qin Luo

Reliability plays a key role in the experience of a rail traveler. The reliability of journeys involving transfers is affected by the reliability of the transfers and the consequences of missing a transfer, as well as the possible delay of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-25 Nikolaus Stratil-Sauer , Nils Breyer

We study a discrete time queueing system where deterministic arrivals have i.i.d. exponential delays $\xi_{i}$. The standard deviation $\sigma$ of the delay is finite, but its value is much larger than the deterministic unit service time.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-02 Carlo Lancia , Gianluca Guadagni , Sokol Ndreca , Benedetto Scoppola

Trains are part-and-parcel of every day lives in countries with large, diverse, multi-lingual population like India. Consequently, an assistant which can accurately predict and explain train delays will help people and businesses alike. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Himadri Mishra , Ramashish Gaurav , Biplav Srivastava

Railways are a key infrastructure for any modern country. The reliability and resilience of this peculiar transportation system may be challenged by different shocks such as disruptions, strikes and adverse weather conditions. These events…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-19 Bernardo Monechi , Pietro Gravino , Riccardo di Clemente , Vito D. P. Servedio

The operational efficiency of railway networks, a cornerstone of modern economies, is persistently undermined by the cascading effects of train delays. Accurately forecasting this delay propagation is a critical challenge for real-time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Vu Duc Anh Nguyen , Ziyue Li

The Dutch railway network is one of the busiest in the world, with delays being a prominent concern for the principal passenger railway operator NS. This research addresses a gap in delay prediction studies within the Dutch railway network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Merel Kampere , Ali Mohammed Mansoor Alsahag

Railway systems provide pivotal support to modern societies, making their efficiency and robustness important to ensure. However, these systems are susceptible to disruptions and delays, leading to accumulating economic damage. The large…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-28 Mark M. Dekker

This study introduces a novel methodology for managing train network disruptions across the entire rail network, leveraging digital tools and methodologies. The approach involves two stages, taking into account possible and practical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Shayan Bafandkar , Yousef Shafahi , Alireza Eslami , Alireza Yazdiani

Railway scheduling consists in ensuring that a set of trains evolve in a shared rail network without collisions, while meeting schedule constraints. This problem is notoriously difficult, even more in the case of uncertain or even unknown…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-09 Étienne André

Accurate and timely travel information is an asset for enhancing passenger travel experience during normal traffic, and for mitigating the discomforts during disruptions. With longer and more frequent disruptions as well as increasing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-10 Abderrahman Ait-Ali , Anders Peterson

Train delays are a persistent issue in railway systems, particularly in suburban networks where operational complexity is heightened by frequent services and high passenger volumes. Traditional delay models often overlook the temporal and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-08 Stefania Colombo , Alfredo Gimenez Zapiola , Francesca Ieva , Simone Vantini

Urban rail transit often operates with high service frequencies to serve heavy passenger demand during rush hours. Such operations can be delayed by two types of congestion: train congestion and passenger congestion, both of which interact…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Toru Seo , Kentaro Wada , Daisuke Fukuda

In this work, we study the effects of finite buffers on the throughput and delay of line networks with erasure links. We identify the calculation of performance parameters such as throughput and delay to be equivalent to determining the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-03-09 Badri N. Vellambi , Nima Torabkhani , Faramarz Fekri
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