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The observations in many applications consist of counts of discrete events, such as photons hitting a detector, which cannot be effectively modeled using an additive bounded or Gaussian noise model, and instead require a Poisson noise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-10-13 Zachary T. Harmany , Roummel F. Marcia , Rebecca M. Willett

Recently, a generalized Bernoulli process (GBP) was developed as a stationary binary sequence whose covariance function obeys a power law. In this paper, we further develop generalized Bernoulli processes, reveal their asymptotic behaviors,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Jeonghwa Lee

This paper tackles one of the most fundamental goals in functional time series analysis which is to provide reliable predictions for future functions. Existing methods for predicting a complete future functional observation use only…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Shuhao Jiao , Alexander Aue , Hernando Ombao

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

Estimating function inference is indispensable for many common point process models where the joint intensities are tractable while the likelihood function is not. In this paper we establish asymptotic normality of estimating function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Frédéric Lavancier , Arnaud Poinas , Rasmus Waagepetersen

A stochastic model for intermittent fluctuations in the scrape-off layer of magnetically confined plasmas has been constructed based on a super-position of uncorrelated pulses arriving according to a Poisson process. In the most common…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia

The problem of parameter estimation by observations of inhomogeneous Poisson processes is considered. The method of moments estimator is studied and its stochastic expansion is obtained. This stochastic expansion is then used to obtain the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-16 O. V. Chernoyarov , A. S. Dabye , F. N. Diop , Yu. A. Kutoyants

In order to interpret and explain the physiological signal behaviors, it can be interesting to find some constants among the fluctuations of these data during all the effort or during different stages of the race (which can be detected…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-06 Imen Kammoun , Véronique Billat , Jean-Marc Bardet

Despite the risk of misspecification they are tied to, parametric models continue to be used in statistical practice because they are accessible to all. In particular, efficient estimation procedures in parametric models are simple to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-01 Marco Carone , Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

Almost every numerical task can be cast as extrapolation with respect to the fidelity or tolerance parameters of a consistent numerical method. This perspective enables probabilistic uncertainty quantification and optimal experimental…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Chris. J. Oates , Richard Howey , Toni Karvonen

In this paper we propose a general series method to estimate a semiparametric partially linear varying coefficient model. We establish the consistency and \sqrtn-normality property of the estimator of the finite-dimensional parameters of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ibrahim Ahmad , Sittisak Leelahanon , Qi Li

The functional empirical process is a very powerful tool for deriving asymptotic laws for almost any kind of statistics whenever we know how to express them into functions of the sample. Since this method seems to be applied more and more…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-07 Gane Samb Lo

Epidemic models are used to analyze the progression or outcome of an epidemic under different control policies like vaccinations, quarantines, lockdowns, use of face-masks, pharmaceutical interventions, etc. When these models accurately…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-19 Carlos Hernandez-Suarez , Osval Montsinos Lopez , Ramon Solano-Barajas

This paper studies the numerical computation of integrals, representing estimates or predictions, over the output $f(x)$ of a computational model with respect to a distribution $p(\mathrm{d}x)$ over uncertain inputs $x$ to the model. For…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-13 Chris. J. Oates , Steven Niederer , Angela Lee , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

The empirical probability density function for the conditional distribution of the true value of Poisson distribution parameter on one measurement is constructed by computer experiment. The analysis of the obtained distributions confirms…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 S. I. Bityukov , V. A. Medvedev , V. V. Smirnova , Yu. V. Zernii

The 'standard' confidence interval for a Poisson parameter is only one of a number of estimation intervals based on the chi-square distribution that may be used in the estimation of the mean or mean rate for a Poisson model. Other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-07 E. A. Maxwell

Statistical estimation and inference for marginal hazard models with varying coefficients for multivariate failure time data are important subjects in survival analysis. A local pseudo-partial likelihood procedure is proposed for estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jianwen Cai , Jianqing Fan , Haibo Zhou , Yong Zhou

Dynamical systems describe the changes in processes that arise naturally from their underlying physical principles, such as the laws of motion or the conservation of mass, energy or momentum. These models facilitate a causal explanation for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-11 Michelle Carey , James O. Ramsay

Functional Principal Component Analysis is a reference method for dimension reduction of curve data. Its theoretical properties are now well understood in the simplified case where the sample curves are fully observed without noise.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Ryad Belhakem , Franck Picard , Vincent Rivoirard , Angelina Roche
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