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Quantifying uncertainty in detected changepoints is an important problem. However it is challenging as the naive approach would use the data twice, first to detect the changes, and then to test them. This will bias the test, and can lead to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Rachel Carrington , Paul Fearnhead

The complexity underlying real-world systems implies that standard statistical hypothesis testing methods may not be adequate for these peculiar applications. Specifically, we show that the likelihood-ratio test's null-distribution needs to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Giona Casiraghi

In a recent simulation study, Goodman et al. (2019) compare several methods with regard to their type I and type II error rates in case of a thick null hypothesis that includes all values that are practically equivalent to the point null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Robin Tim Dreher , Leona Hoffmann , Arne Kramer-Sunderbrink , Peter Pütz , Robin Werner

While well-established methods for time-to-event data are available when the proportional hazards assumption holds, there is no consensus on the best inferential approach under non-proportional hazards (NPH). However, a wide range of…

Modern statistics provides an ever-expanding toolkit for estimating unknown parameters. Consequently, applied statisticians frequently face a difficult decision: retain a parameter estimate from a familiar method or replace it with an…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-20 Brian L. Trippe , Sameer K. Deshpande , Tamara Broderick

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtain robust estimates. The weight, attached to each score contribution, is evaluated by comparing the statistical data depth at the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Claudio Agostinelli

Causal inference is crucial for understanding the true impact of interventions, policies, or actions, enabling informed decision-making and providing insights into the underlying mechanisms that shape our world. In this paper, we establish…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Jingyue Huang , Changbao Wu , Leilei Zeng

Selective inference is a subfield of statistics that enables valid inference after selection of a data-dependent question. In this paper, we introduce selectively dominant p-values, a class of p-values that allow practitioners to easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Anav Sood

Common reporting styles for statistical results in scientific articles, such as p-values and confidence intervals (CI), have been reported to be prone to dichotomous interpretations, especially with respect to the null hypothesis…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-05-31 Jouni Helske , Satu Helske , Matthew Cooper , Anders Ynnerman , Lonni Besançon

For estimating the proportion of false null hypotheses in multiple testing, a family of estimators by Storey (2002) is widely used in the applied and statistical literature, with many methods suggested for selecting the parameter $\lambda$.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-07 Anica Kostic , Piotr Fryzlewicz

The one-sided P-value has a long history stretching at least as far back as Laplace (1812) but has in recent times been mostly supplanted by the two-sided P-value. We present justification for a bijective relationship between the one-sided…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Nicholas Adams

This article gives a survey of the e-value, a statistical significance measure a.k.a. the evidence rendered by observational data, X, in support of a statistical hypothesis, H, or, the other way around, the epistemic value of H given X. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-29 Julio Michael Stern , Carlos Alberto de Braganca Pereira

Despite their importance in supporting experimental conclusions, standard statistical tests are often inadequate for research areas, like the life sciences, where the typical sample size is small and the test assumptions difficult to…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-15 Pietro Berkes , Jozsef Fiser

In this paper, we present a new classifier, which integrates significance testing results over different random subspaces to yield consensus p-values for quantifying the uncertainty of classification decision. The null hypothesis is that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Zengyou He , Zerun Li , Junjie Dong , Xinying Liu , Mudi Jiang , Lianyu Hu

A {\it pure significance test} (PST) tests a simple null hypothesis $H_f:Y\sim f$ {\it without specifying an alternative hypothesis} by rejecting $H_f$ for {\it small} values of $f(Y)$. When the sample space supports a proper uniform pmf…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Michael D. Perlman

Recently, a new testing approach for response-adaptive clinical trials was proposed based on the allocation probabilities (AP) rather than the outcome data. While original work on the AP test focused on binary and normal endpoints and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Stina Zetterstrom , David S. Robertson , Thomas Jaki , Sofía S. Villar

Non-parametric methods avoid the problem of having to specify a particular data generating mechanism, but can be computationally intensive, reducing their accessibility for large data problems. Empirical likelihood, a non-parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

In their recent comment, published in Nature, Jeffrey T.Leek and Roger D.Peng discuss how P-values are widely abused in null hypothesis significance testing . We agree completely with them and in this short comment we discuss the importance…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-26 Marian Kupczynski

Likelihood-free methods are useful for parameter estimation of complex models with intractable likelihood functions for which it is easy to simulate data. Such models are prevalent in many disciplines including genetics, biology, ecology…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Christopher Drovandi , David T Frazier

Many testing problems are readily amenable to randomised tests such as those employing data splitting. However despite their usefulness in principle, randomised tests have obvious drawbacks. Firstly, two analyses of the same dataset may…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 F. Richard Guo , Rajen D. Shah
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