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Related papers: Dempsterian-Shaferian Belief Network From Data

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This paper develops methods of distributed Bayesian hypothesis tests for fault detection and diagnosis that are based on belief propagation and optimization in graphical models. The main challenges in developing distributed statistical…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-01-20 Kwang-Ki K. Kim

Gaussian belief propagation (BP) is a computationally efficient method to approximate the marginal distribution and has been widely used for inference with high dimensional data as well as distributed estimation in large-scale networks.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-29 Jian Du , Soummya Kar , José M. F. Moura

A new method for multinomial inference is proposed by representing the cell probabilities as unordered segments on the unit interval and following Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory. The resulting DS posterior is then strengthened to improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Earl C. Lawrence , Alexander C. Murph , Scott A. Vander Wiel , Chaunhai Liu

Dempster-Shafer's model aims at quantifying degrees of belief But there are so many interpretations of Dempster-Shafer's theory in the literature that it seems useful to present the various contenders in order to clarify their respective…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Philippe Smets

Pearl and Verma developed d-separation as a widely used graphical criterion to reason about the conditional independencies that are implied by the causal structure of a Bayesian network. As acyclic ground probabilistic logic programs…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-08-31 Kilian Rückschloß , Felix Weitkämper

Inference of the marginal probability distribution is defined as the calculation of the probability of a subset of the variables and is relevant for handling missing data and hidden variables. While inference of the marginal probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-22 Fritz M. Bayer , Giusi Moffa , Niko Beerenwinkel , Jack Kuipers

We present a Dempster--Shafer (DS) approach to estimating limits from Poisson counting data with nuisance parameters. Dempster--Shafer is a statistical framework that generalizes Bayesian statistics. DS calculus augments traditional…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-21 Paul T. Edlefsen , Chuanhai Liu , Arthur P. Dempster

Many networks can be usefully decomposed into a dense core plus an outlying, loosely-connected periphery. Here we propose an algorithm for performing such a decomposition on empirical network data using methods of statistical inference. Our…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-22 Xiao Zhang , Travis Martin , M. E. J. Newman

Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPMs) represent a contemporary class of generative models with exceptional qualities in both synthesis and maximizing the data likelihood. These models work by traversing a forward Markov Chain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Hang Li , Wei Jin , Geri Skenderi , Harry Shomer , Wenzhuo Tang , Wenqi Fan , Jiliang Tang

Dempster-Shafer evidence theory is an efficient mathematical tool to deal with uncertain information. In that theory, basic probability assignment (BPA) is the basic element for the expression and inference of uncertainty. Decision-making…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-02-26 Xinyang Deng , Yong Deng

Belief propagation (BP) is a message-passing heuristic for statistical inference in graphical models such as Bayesian networks and Markov random fields. BP is used to compute marginal distributions or maximum likelihood assignments and has…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-11-15 Tobias Brunsch , Kamiel Cornelissen , Bodo Manthey , Heiko Röglin

We propose an approach to do learning in Gaussian factor graphs. We treat all relevant quantities (inputs, outputs, parameters, latents) as random variables in a graphical model, and view both training and prediction as inference problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Seth Nabarro , Mark van der Wilk , Andrew J Davison

We propose a decentralized learning algorithm over a general social network. The algorithm leaves the training data distributed on the mobile devices while utilizing a peer to peer model aggregation method. The proposed algorithm allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Anusha Lalitha , Xinghan Wang , Osman Kilinc , Yongxi Lu , Tara Javidi , Farinaz Koushanfar

This article is an extension of the results of two earlier articles. In [J. Schubert, On nonspecific evidence, Int. J. Intell. Syst. 8 (1993) 711-725] we established within Dempster-Shafer theory a criterion function called the metaconflict…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Johan Schubert

There exist two general forms of exact algorithms for updating probabilities in Bayesian Networks. The first approach involves using a structure, usually a clique tree, and performing local message based calculation to extract the belief in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Mark Bloemeke , Marco Valtorta

When we merge information in Dempster-Shafer Theory (DST), we are faced with anomalous behavior: agents with equal expertise and credibility can have their opinion disregarded after resorting to the belief combination rule of this theory.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Francisco Aragão , João Alcântara

We first show that there are practical situations in for instance forensic and gambling settings, in which applying classical probability theory, that is, based on the axioms of Kolmogorov, is problematic. We then introduce and discuss…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-07 Timber Kerkvliet , Ronald Meester

The criterion commonly used in directed acyclic graphs (dags) for testing graphical independence is the well-known d-separation criterion. It allows us to build graphical representations of dependency models (usually probabilistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Silvia Acid , Luis M. de Campos

We consider probabilistic inference in general hybrid networks, which include continuous and discrete variables in an arbitrary topology. We reexamine the question of variable discretization in a hybrid network aiming at minimizing the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Alexander V. Kozlov , Daphne Koller

Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence (D-S theory) is widely used in uncertain information process. The basic probability assignment(BPA) is a key element in D-S theory. How to measure the distance between two BPAs is an open issue. In this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-11-19 Hongming Mo , Xiaoyan Su , Yong Hu , Yong Deng