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Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

A class of Gaussian processes generalizing the usual fractional Brownian motion for Hurst indices in (1/2,1) and multifractal Brownian motion introduced in Ralchenko and Shevchenko (Theory Probab Math Stat 80, 2010) and Boufoussi et al.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-08 Jelena Ryvkina

We devise a method to detect and estimate forces in a heterogeneous environment based on experimentally recorded stochastic trajectories. In particular, we focus on systems modeled by the heterogeneous overdamped Langevin equation. Here,…

The process $(G_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ is referred to as a fractional Gaussian process if the first-order partial derivative of the difference between its covariance function and that of the fractional Brownian motion $(B^H_t)_{t\in[0,T ]}$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-20 Yong Chen , Ying Li

The main aim of this paper is to study the functional inequality \begin{equation*} \int_{[0,1]}f\bigl((1-t)x+ty\bigr)d\mu(t)\geq 0, \qquad x,y\in I \mbox{ with } x<y, \end{equation*} for a continuous unknown function $f:I\to{\mathbb R}$,…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Zsolt Páles , Tomasz Szostok

Statistical inference for discrete time observations of an affine stochastic delay differential equation is considered. The main focus is on maximum pseudo-likelihood estimators, which are easy to calculate in practice. A more general class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Uwe Küchler , Michael Sørensen

This paper shows that the problem of testing hypotheses in moment condition models without any assumptions about identification may be considered as a problem of testing with an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Isaiah Andrews , Anna Mikusheva

We study the problem of estimating the score function of an unknown probability distribution $\rho^*$ from $n$ independent and identically distributed observations in $d$ dimensions. Assuming that $\rho^*$ is subgaussian and has a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-13 Andre Wibisono , Yihong Wu , Kaylee Yingxi Yang

This paper proposes a statistically optimal approach for learning a function value using a confidence interval in a wide range of models, including general non-parametric estimation of an expected loss described as a stochastic programming…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-07 Arnab Ganguly , Tobias Sutter

The comparison of local characteristics of two random processes can shed light on periods of time or space at which the processes differ the most. This paper proposes a method that learns about regions with a certain volume, where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-14 Miguel de Carvalho , Gabriel Martos Venturini

We construct stochastic gradient flows on the $2$-Wasserstein space $\mathcal P_2$ over $\mathbb R^d$ for energy functionals of the type $W_F(\rho d x)=\int_{\mathbb R^d}F(x,\rho(x))d x$. The functions $F$ and $\partial_2 F$ are assumed to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Panpan Ren , Michael Röckner , Feng-Yu Wang , Simon Wittmann

Gowers introduced, for d\geq 1, the notion of dimension-d uniformity U^d(f) of a function f: G -> \C, where G is a finite abelian group and \C are the complex numbers. Roughly speaking, if U^d(f) is small, then f has certain…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alex Samorodnitsky , Luca Trevisan

We consider stochastic optimization problems involving an expected value of a nonlinear function of a base random vector and a conditional expectation of another function depending on the base random vector, a dependent random vector, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Andrzej Ruszczyński , Shangzhe Yang

In linear regression we wish to estimate the optimum linear least squares predictor for a distribution over $d$-dimensional input points and real-valued responses, based on a small sample. Under standard random design analysis, where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Michał Dereziński , Manfred K. Warmuth , Daniel Hsu

Let $\boldsymbol{X}$ be a $d$-dimensional random array on $[n]$ whose entries take values in a finite set $\mathcal{X}$, that is, $\boldsymbol{X}=\langle X_s:s\in \binom{[n]}{d}\rangle$ is an $\mathcal{X}$-valued stochastic process indexed…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-26 Pandelis Dodos , Konstantinos Tyros , Petros Valettas

Optimal transport and Wasserstein distances are flourishing in many scientific fields as a means for comparing and connecting random structures. Here we pioneer the use of an optimal transport distance between L\'{e}vy measures to solve a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

We propose a "small-uniform" statistic for the inference of the functional PCA estimator in a functional linear regression model. The literature has shown two extreme behaviors: on the one hand, the FPCA estimator does not converge in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Raymond C. W. Leung , Yu-Man Tam

The authors have recently defined the R\'enyi information dimension rate $d(\{X_t\})$ of a stationary stochastic process $\{X_t,\,t\in\mathbb{Z}\}$ as the entropy rate of the uniformly-quantized process divided by minus the logarithm of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-11 Bernhard C. Geiger , Tobias Koch

A classical limit theorem of stochastic process theory concerns the sample cumulative distribution function (CDF) from independent random variables. If the variables are uniformly distributed then these centered CDFs converge in a suitable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lawrence D. Brown

This paper develops a new direct approach to approximating suprema of general empirical processes by a sequence of suprema of Gaussian processes, without taking the route of approximating whole empirical processes in the sup-norm. We prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato