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Given data drawn from a collection of Gaussian variables with a common mean but different and unknown variances, what is the best algorithm for estimating their common mean? We present an intuitive and efficient algorithm for this task. As…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Spencer Compton , Gregory Valiant

Higher order numerical schemes for stochastic partial differential equations that do not possess commutative noise require the simulation of iterated stochastic integrals. In this work, we extend the algorithms derived by Kloeden, Platen,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Claudine Leonhard , Andreas Rößler

Identifying dependency in multivariate data is a common inference task that arises in numerous applications. However, existing nonparametric independence tests typically require computation that scales at least quadratically with the sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-08 Shai Gorsky , Li Ma

For a high-dimensional linear model with a finite number of covariates measured with error, we study statistical inference on the parameters associated with the error-prone covariates, and propose a new corrected decorrelated score test and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-29 Mengyan Li , Runze Li , Yanyuan Ma

Infinite-dimensional, holomorphic functions have been studied in detail over the last several decades, due to their relevance to parametric differential equations and computational uncertainty quantification. The approximation of such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-20 Ben Adcock , Nick Dexter , Sebastian Moraga

We study a stochastic program where the probability distribution of the uncertain problem parameters is unknown and only indirectly observed via finitely many correlated samples generated by an unknown Markov chain with $d$ states. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Mengmeng Li , Tobias Sutter , Daniel Kuhn

We consider the problem of reconstructing an unknown bounded function $u$ defined on a domain $X\subset \mathbb{R}^d$ from noiseless or noisy samples of $u$ at $n$ points $(x^i)_{i=1,\dots,n}$. We measure the reconstruction error in a norm…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Albert Cohen , Giovanni Migliorati

When dealing with datasets containing a billion instances or with simulations that require a supercomputer to execute, computational resources become part of the equation. We can improve the efficiency of learning and inference by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-03-06 Max Welling

We consider equidistant approximations of stochastic integrals driven by H\"older continuous Gaussian processes of order $H>\frac12$ with discontinuous integrands involving bounded variation functions. We give exact rate of convergence in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-15 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Pauliina Ilmonen , Nourhan Shafik , Tommi Sottinen , Lauri Viitasaari

Starting from the notion of multivariate fractional Brownian Motion introduced in [F. Lavancier, A. Philippe, and D. Surgailis. Covariance function of vector self-similar processes. Statistics & Probability Letters, 2009] we define a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

Literature is full of inference techniques developed to estimate the parameters of stochastic dynamical systems driven by the well-known Brownian noise. Such diffusion models are often inappropriate models to properly describe the dynamics…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Babak M. S. Arani

The paper is devoted to the existence of integral functionals $\int_0^\infty f(X(t))\,{\mathrm{d}t}$ for several classes of processes in $\mathbb{R}$ with $d\ge 3$. Some examples such as Brownian motion, fractional Brownian motion, compound…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-02 Yuri Kondratiev , Yuliya Mishura , José L. da Silva

Various approaches to stochastic processes exist, noting that key properties such as measurability and continuity are not trivially satisfied. We introduce a new theory for Gaussian processes using improper linear functionals. Using a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

This thesis is dedicated to the study of stochastic processes; non-deterministic physical phenomena that can be well described by classical physics. The stochastic processes we are interested in are akin to Brownian Motion and can be…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-06 Ashley Wilkins

Optimal control under uncertainty is a prevailing challenge for many reasons. One of the critical difficulties lies in producing tractable solutions for the underlying stochastic optimization problem. We show how advanced approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Joe Watson , Hany Abdulsamad , Rolf Findeisen , Jan Peters

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

The maximum score estimator of Manski (1975) provides an elegant approach to estimate slope coefficient in binary choice models without requiring parametric assumptions on the error distribution. However, under i.i.d. sampling, it admits a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-14 Harold D. Chiang , Ahnaf Rafi

Max-stable processes have proved to be useful for the statistical modelling of spatial extremes. Several representations of max-stable random fields have been proposed in the literature. One such representation is based on a limit of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-26 Richard A. Davis , Claudia Klüppelberg , Christina Steinkohl

We develop a class of optimal tests for a structural break occurring at an unknown date in infinite and growing-order time series regression models, such as AR($\infty$), linear regression with increasingly many covariates, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-15 Abhimanyu Gupta , Myung Hwan Seo

Dyadic data is often encountered when quantities of interest are associated with the edges of a network. As such it plays an important role in statistics, econometrics and many other data science disciplines. We consider the problem of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yingjie Feng , William G. Underwood