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Simulator-based models are models for which the likelihood is intractable but simulation of synthetic data is possible. They are often used to describe complex real-world phenomena, and as such can often be misspecified in practice.…

Deep Ensembles, as a type of Bayesian Neural Networks, can be used to estimate uncertainty on the prediction of multiple neural networks by collecting votes from each network and computing the difference in those predictions. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Illia Oleksiienko , Alexandros Iosifidis

Due to the ease of modern data collection, applied statisticians often have access to a large set of covariates that they wish to relate to some observed outcome. Generalized linear models (GLMs) offer a particularly interpretable framework…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-21 Brian L. Trippe , Jonathan H. Huggins , Raj Agrawal , Tamara Broderick

Fueled by the call for formative assessments, diagnostic classification models (DCMs) have recently gained popularity in psychometrics. Despite their potential for providing diagnostic information that aids in classroom instruction and…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-26 Motonori Oka , Kensuke Okada

This paper describes and discusses Bayesian Neural Network (BNN). The paper showcases a few different applications of them for classification and regression problems. BNNs are comprised of a Probabilistic Model and a Neural Network. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Vikram Mullachery , Aniruddh Khera , Amir Husain

Dynamic Causal Modeling (DCM) is a Bayesian framework for inferring on hidden (latent) neuronal states, based on measurements of brain activity. Since its introduction in 2003 for functional magnetic resonance imaging data, DCM has been…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-08 Inês Pereira , Stefan Frässle , Jakob Heinzle , Dario Schöbi , Cao Tri Do , Moritz Gruber , Klaas E. Stephan

Motivation: Several different threads of research have been proposed for modeling and mining temporal data. On the one hand, approaches such as dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs) provide a formal probabilistic basis to model relationships…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-04-15 Debprakash Patnaik , Srivatsan Laxman , Naren Ramakrishnan

Deep neural network models have become ubiquitous in recent years, and have been applied to nearly all areas of science, engineering, and industry. These models are particularly useful for data that have strong dependencies in space (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-07 Christopher K. Wikle , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

We propose Deep Residual Mixture Models (DRMMs), a novel deep generative model architecture. Compared to other deep models, DRMMs allow more flexible conditional sampling: The model can be trained once with all variables, and then used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Perttu Hämäläinen , Martin Trapp , Tuure Saloheimo , Arno Solin

Discrete choice models (DCM) are widely employed in travel demand analysis as a powerful theoretical econometric framework for understanding and predicting choice behaviors. DCMs are formed as random utility models (RUM), with their key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Shadi Haj-Yahia , Omar Mansour , Tomer Toledo

Bayesian calibration of black-box computer models offers an established framework to obtain a posterior distribution over model parameters. Traditional Bayesian calibration involves the emulation of the computer model and an additive model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Sébastien Marmin , Maurizio Filippone

Deep generative models (DGMs) are effective on learning multilayered representations of complex data and performing inference of input data by exploring the generative ability. However, little work has been done on examining or empowering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-16 Chongxuan Li , Jun Zhu , Tianlin Shi , Bo Zhang

A deep generative model is developed for representation and analysis of images, based on a hierarchical convolutional dictionary-learning framework. Stochastic {\em unpooling} is employed to link consecutive layers in the model, yielding…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-12-25 Yunchen Pu , Xin Yuan , Andrew Stevens , Chunyuan Li , Lawrence Carin

Deep latent variable models (DLVMs) combine the approximation abilities of deep neural networks and the statistical foundations of generative models. Variational methods are commonly used for inference; however, the exact likelihood of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Jes Frellsen

Bayesian inference was once a gold standard for learning with neural networks, providing accurate full predictive distributions and well calibrated uncertainty. However, scaling Bayesian inference techniques to deep neural networks is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-18 Pavel Izmailov , Wesley J. Maddox , Polina Kirichenko , Timur Garipov , Dmitry Vetrov , Andrew Gordon Wilson

The medical field stands to see significant benefits from the recent advances in deep learning. Knowing the uncertainty in the decision made by any machine learning algorithm is of utmost importance for medical practitioners. This study…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-06 Jos van der Westhuizen , Joan Lasenby

Symbolic regression is a machine learning technique that can learn the governing formulas of data and thus has the potential to transform scientific discovery. However, symbolic regression is still limited in the complexity and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Michael Zhang , Samuel Kim , Peter Y. Lu , Marin Soljačić

Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGM) are very useful in the fields of machine learning and data mining. The crucial limitation of those models,however, is the scalability. The Bayesian Network, which is one of the most common PGMs used in…

We undertake Bayesian learning of the high-dimensional functional relationship between a system parameter vector and an observable, that is in general tensor-valued. The ultimate aim is Bayesian inverse prediction of the system parameters,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-17 Kangrui Wang , Dalia Chakrabarty

Predicting user responses, such as click-through rate and conversion rate, are critical in many web applications including web search, personalised recommendation, and online advertising. Different from continuous raw features that we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-12 Weinan Zhang , Tianming Du , Jun Wang
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