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Bayesian deep learning approaches assume model parameters to be latent random variables and infer posterior distributions to quantify uncertainty, increase safety and trust, and prevent overconfident and unpredictable behavior. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Jihao Andreas Lin , Joe Watson , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative approaches for missing-data imputation, yet most existing methods operate directly in data space and degrade when training data are heavily incomplete. We investigate whether shifting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Alberte Heering Estad , Ignacio Peis , Jes Frellsen

A widely recognized limitation of molecular prediction models is their reliance on structures observed in the training data, resulting in poor generalization to out-of-distribution compounds. Yet in drug discovery, the compounds most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Jina Kim , Jeffrey Willette , Bruno Andreis , Sung Ju Hwang

A simple way of obtaining robust estimates of the "center" (or the "location") and of the "scatter" of a dataset is to use the maximum likelihood estimate with a class of heavy-tailed distributions, regardless of the "true" distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Pavol Ševera

The simplest way to obtain continuous interpolation between two points in high dimensional space is to draw a line between them. While previous works focused on the general connectivity between model parameters, we explored linear…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Mark Rofin , Nikita Balagansky , Daniil Gavrilov

Consider a uniform variate on the unit upper-half sphere of dimension $d$. It is known that the straight-line projection through the center of the unit sphere onto the plane above it distributes this variate according to a $d$-dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-18 Jonathan Dupuy , Laurent Belcour , Eric Heitz

We consider the problem of estimating the counterfactual joint distribution of multiple quantities of interests (e.g., outcomes) in a multivariate causal model extended from the classical difference-in-difference design. Existing methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-03 Thong Pham , Shohei Shimizu , Hideitsu Hino , Tam Le

We present a deep generative model for unsupervised text style transfer that unifies previously proposed non-generative techniques. Our probabilistic approach models non-parallel data from two domains as a partially observed parallel…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Junxian He , Xinyi Wang , Graham Neubig , Taylor Berg-Kirkpatrick

Deep learning models frequently make incorrect predictions with high confidence when presented with test examples that are not well represented in their training dataset. We propose a novel and straightforward approach to estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-04 Tiago Ramalho , Miguel Miranda

It has become increasingly common to collect high-dimensional binary response data; for example, with the emergence of new sampling techniques in ecology. In smaller dimensions, multivariate probit (MVP) models are routinely used for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-26 Antik Chakraborty , Rihui Ou , David B. Dunson

When machine learning models are deployed on a test distribution different from the training distribution, they can perform poorly, but overestimate their performance. In this work, we aim to better estimate a model's performance under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Ching-Yao Chuang , Antonio Torralba , Stefanie Jegelka

In satellite image analysis, distributional mismatch between the training and test data may arise due to several reasons, including unseen classes in the test data and differences in the geographic area. Deep learning based models may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Jakob Gawlikowski , Sudipan Saha , Anna Kruspe , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Deep generative models can emulate the perceptual properties of complex image datasets, providing a latent representation of the data. However, manipulating such representation to perform meaningful and controllable transformations in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-13 Michel Besserve , Arash Mehrjou , Rémy Sun , Bernhard Schölkopf

One of the fundamental problems in machine learning is the estimation of a probability distribution from data. Many techniques have been proposed to study the structure of data, most often building around the assumption that observations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-22 Oren Rippel , Ryan Prescott Adams

Bayesian inference on structured models typically relies on the ability to infer posterior distributions of underlying hidden variables. However, inference in implicit models or complex posterior distributions is hard. A popular tool for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-16 Theofanis Karaletsos

This paper presents a data-driven model for Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) stochastic systems by sampling from the conditional probability distribution of future outputs given past input-outputs and future inputs. It operates in a fully…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Jiayun Li , Yilin Mo

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly used for synthetic tabular data generation through in-context learning (ICL), offering a practical solution for data augmentation in data scarce scenarios. While prior work has shown the…

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have been used extensively and quite successfully for unsupervised learning. As GANs don't approximate an explicit probability distribution, it's an interesting study to inspect the latent space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-23 Hammad A. Ayyubi

Structured distributions, i.e. distributions over combinatorial spaces, are commonly used to learn latent probabilistic representations from observed data. However, scaling these models is bottlenecked by the high computational and memory…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Justin T. Chiu , Yuntian Deng , Alexander M. Rush

Multivariate distributions often carry latent structures that are difficult to identify and estimate, and which better reflect the data generating mechanism than extrinsic structures exhibited simply by the raw data. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Bryon Aragam , Ruiyi Yang
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