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A novel extrapolation method is proposed for longitudinal forecasting. A hierarchical Gaussian process model is used to combine nonlinear population change and individual memory of the past to make prediction. The prediction error is…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-25 Leo L. Duan , John P. Clancy , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Gaussian process regression (GPR) has been a well-known machine learning method for various applications such as uncertainty quantifications (UQ). However, GPR is inherently a data-driven method, which requires sufficiently large dataset.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Cheng Chang , Tieyong Zeng

Early detection of preventable diseases is important for better disease management, improved inter-ventions, and more efficient health-care resource allocation. Various machine learning approacheshave been developed to utilize information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-16 Jingshu Liu , Zachariah Zhang , Narges Razavian

In this paper, we propose a deep generative time series approach using latent temporal processes for modeling and holistically analyzing complex disease trajectories. We aim to find meaningful temporal latent representations of an…

In this paper, we introduce the use of a personalized Gaussian Process model (pGP) to predict per-patient changes in ADAS-Cog13 -- a significant predictor of Alzheimer's Disease (AD) in the cognitive domain -- using data from each patient's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-07 Yuria Utsumi , Ognjen Rudovic , Kelly Peterson , Ricardo Guerrero , Rosalind W. Picard

Motivation: Electronic health record (EHR) data provides a new venue to elucidate disease comorbidities and latent phenotypes for precision medicine. To fully exploit its potential, a realistic data generative process of the EHR data needs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Ziyang Song , Xavier Sumba Toral , Yixin Xu , Aihua Liu , Liming Guo , Guido Powell , Aman Verma , David Buckeridge , Ariane Marelli , Yue Li

Patient representation learning refers to learning a dense mathematical representation of a patient that encodes meaningful information from Electronic Health Records (EHRs). This is generally performed using advanced deep learning methods.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Yuqi Si , Jingcheng Du , Zhao Li , Xiaoqian Jiang , Timothy Miller , Fei Wang , W. Jim Zheng , Kirk Roberts

Prediction of the future trajectory of a disease is an important challenge for personalized medicine and population health management. However, many complex chronic diseases exhibit large degrees of heterogeneity, and furthermore there is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-17 Joseph Futoma , Mark Sendak , C. Blake Cameron , Katherine Heller

Gaussian process (GP) models have received increasing attention in recent years due to their superb prediction accuracy and modeling flexibility. To address the computational burdens of GP models for large-scale datasets, distributed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Haoyuan Chen , Rui Tuo

Reliable seizure detection from electroencephalography (EEG) time series is a high-priority clinical goal, yet the acquisition cost and scarcity of labeled EEG data limit the performance of machine learning methods. This challenge is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-30 Nina Moutonnet , Joshua Corneck , Felipe Tobar , Danilo Mandic

Electronic Health Records (EHR) have been heavily used in modern healthcare systems for recording patients' admission information to hospitals. Many data-driven approaches employ temporal features in EHR for predicting specific diseases,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Chang Lu , Chandan K. Reddy , Yue Ning

With the timely formation of personalized intervention plans based on high-dimensional heterogeneous time series information becoming an important challenge in the medical field today, electronic medical records, wearables, and other…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Dingxin Lu , Shurui Wu , Xinyi Huang

Gaussian processes (GPs) have gained popularity as flexible machine learning models for regression and function approximation with an in-built method for uncertainty quantification. However, GPs suffer when the amount of training data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-26 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

Objective: In this paper, we develop a personalized real-time risk scoring algorithm that provides timely and granular assessments for the clinical acuity of ward patients based on their (temporal) lab tests and vital signs; the proposed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-28 Ahmed M. Alaa , Jinsung Yoon , Scott Hu , Mihaela van der Schaar

Personalized prediction is a machine learning approach that predicts a person's future observations based on their past labeled observations and is typically used for sequential tasks, e.g., to predict daily mood ratings. When making…

Electronic Health Records (EHRs) exhibit a high amount of missing data due to variations of patient conditions and treatment needs. Imputation of missing values has been considered an effective approach to deal with this challenge. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Yuxi Liu , Shaowen Qin , Zhenhao Zhang , Wei Shao

The availability of a large amount of electronic health records (EHR) provides huge opportunities to improve health care service by mining these data. One important application is clinical endpoint prediction, which aims to predict whether…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Luchen Liu , Jianhao Shen , Ming Zhang , Zichang Wang , Jian Tang

Electronic Health Records (EHR) are high-dimensional data with implicit connections among thousands of medical concepts. These connections, for instance, the co-occurrence of diseases and lab-disease correlations can be informative when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Weicheng Zhu , Narges Razavian

While Gaussian processes (GPs) are the method of choice for regression tasks, they also come with practical difficulties, as inference cost scales cubic in time and quadratic in memory. In this paper, we introduce a natural and expressive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Martin Trapp , Robert Peharz , Carl E. Rasmussen , Franz Pernkopf

This work introduces a novel probabilistic deep learning technique called deep Gaussian mixture ensembles (DGMEs), which enables accurate quantification of both epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. By assuming the data generating process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-13 Yousef El-Laham , Niccolò Dalmasso , Elizabeth Fons , Svitlana Vyetrenko