English
Related papers

Related papers: Forecasting Crime with Deep Learning

200 papers

Deep learning architectures enhanced with human mobility data have been shown to improve the accuracy of short-term crime prediction models trained with historical crime data. However, human mobility data may be scarce in some regions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Jiahui Wu , Vanessa Frias-Martinez

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

With the rapid development of urbanization, the boom of vehicle numbers has resulted in serious traffic accidents, which led to casualties and huge economic losses. The ability to predict the risk of traffic accident is important in the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-04-17 Honglei Ren , You Song , Jingwen Wang , Yucheng Hu , Jinzhi Lei

Traditional crime prediction models based on census data are limited, as they fail to capture the complexity and dynamics of human activity. With the rise of ubiquitous computing, there is the opportunity to improve such models with data…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-06-06 Cristina Kadar , Irena Pletikosa

Deep learning models frequently make incorrect predictions with high confidence when presented with test examples that are not well represented in their training dataset. We propose a novel and straightforward approach to estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-04 Tiago Ramalho , Miguel Miranda

Large-scale trends in urban crime and global terrorism are well-predicted by socio-economic drivers, but focused, event-level predictions have had limited success. Standard machine learning approaches are promising, but lack…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-14 Timmy Li , Yi Huang , James Evans , Ishanu Chattopadhyay

Understanding the causes of crime is a longstanding issue in researcher's agenda. While it is a hard task to extract causality from data, several linear models have been proposed to predict crime through the existing correlations between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-10 Luiz G A Alves , Haroldo V Ribeiro , Francisco A Rodrigues

Predictive hotspot mapping is an important problem in crime prediction and control. An accurate hotspot mapping helps in appropriately targeting the available resources to manage crime in cities. With an aim to make data-driven decisions…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-02 Karthik Sriram , Ankur Sinha , Suvashis Choudhary

Traffic accidents can be studied to mitigate the risk of further events. Recent advances in machine learning have provided an alternative way to study data associated with traffic accidents. New models achieve good generalization and high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Meghan Bibb , Pablo Rivas , Mahee Tayba

While predictive policing has become increasingly common in assisting with decisions in the criminal justice system, the use of these results is still controversial. Some software based on deep learning lacks accuracy (e.g., in F-1), and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-15 Abdul Rafae Khan , Jia Xu , Peter Varsanyi , Rachit Pabreja

This survey paper presents a comprehensive analysis of crime prediction methodologies, exploring the various techniques and technologies utilized in this area. The paper covers the statistical methods, machine learning algorithms, and deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Kamal Taha

Crime prediction is crucial to criminal justice decision makers and efforts to prevent crime. The paper evaluates the explanatory and predictive value of human activity patterns derived from taxi trip, Twitter and Foursquare data. Analysis…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-09 Lara Vomfell , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Stefan Lessmann

This paper addresses the task of set prediction using deep learning. This is important because the output of many computer vision tasks, including image tagging and object detection, are naturally expressed as sets of entities rather than…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-08-14 S. Hamid Rezatofighi , Vijay Kumar B G , Anton Milan , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Anthony Dick , Ian Reid

Accurate estimation of the change in crime over time is a critical first step towards better understanding of public safety in large urban environments. Bayesian hierarchical modeling is a natural way to study spatial variation in urban…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-22 Cecilia Balocchi , Sameer K. Deshpande , Edward I. George , Shane T. Jensen

Analyses of occurrences of residential burglary in urban areas have shown that crime rates are not spatially homogeneous: rates vary across the network of city streets, resulting in some areas being far more susceptible to crime than…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-02 Elizabeth Upton , Luis Carvalho

Urban safety and security play a crucial role in improving life quality of citizen and the sustainable development of urban. Traditional urban crime research focused on leveraging demographic data, which is insufficient to capture the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-05-07 Xiangyu Zhao , Jiliang Tang

There is significant interest in being able to predict where crimes will happen, for example to aid in the efficient tasking of police and other protective measures. We aim to model both the temporal and spatial dependencies often exhibited…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-23 Sivan Aldor-Noiman , Lawrence D. Brown , Emily B. Fox , Robert A. Stine

In this work, we introduce a novel Deep Learning-based method to perceive the environment of a vehicle based on radar scans while accounting for uncertainties in its predictions. The environment of the host vehicle is segmented into equally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Marco Braun , Moritz Luszek , Jan Siegemund , Kevin Kollek , Anton Kummert

In this paper, we present a novel approach to predict crime in a geographic space from multiple data sources, in particular mobile phone and demographic data. The main contribution of the proposed approach lies in using aggregated and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2014-09-11 Andrey Bogomolov , Bruno Lepri , Jacopo Staiano , Nuria Oliver , Fabio Pianesi , Alex Pentland

The transport literature is dense regarding short-term traffic predictions, up to the scale of 1 hour, yet less dense for long-term traffic predictions. The transport literature is also sparse when it comes to city-scale traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Julien Monteil , Anton Dekusar , Claudio Gambella , Yassine Lassoued , Martin Mevissen