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Compartmentalization of self-replicating molecules (templates) in protocells is a necessary step towards the evolution of modern cells. However, coexistence between distinct template types inside a protocell can be achieved only if there is…

Biological Physics · Physics 2013-02-19 J. F. Fontanari , M. Serva

Multitype branching processes are ideal for studying the population dynamics of stem cell populations undergoing mutation accumulation over the years following transplant. In such stochastic models, several quantities are of clinical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-17 Timothy C Stutz , Janet S. Sinsheimer , Mary Sehl , Jason Xu

Bertoin and Le Gall (2003) introduced a certain probability measure valued Markov process that describes the evolution of a population, such that a sample from this population would exhibit a genealogy given by the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andreas Nordvall Lagerås

The concepts of probability, statistics and stochastic theory are being successfully used in structural engineering. Markov Chain modelling is a simple stochastic process model that has found its application in both describing stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2007-08-14 K. Balaji Rao

A class of multivariate mixed survival models for continuous and discrete time with a complex covariance structure is introduced in a context of quantitative genetic applications. The methods introduced can be used in many applications in…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-06 Rafael Pimentel Maia , Per Madsen , Rodrigo Labouriau

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

Phylogenetic trees are widely used to understand the evolutionary history of organisms. Tree shapes provide information about macroevolutionary processes. However, macroevolutionary models are unreliable for inferring the true processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-11 Albert Ch. Soewongsono , Barbara R. Holland , Małgorzata M. O'Reilly

Linear functions of the site frequency spectrum (SFS) play a major role for understanding and investigating genetic diversity. Estimators of the mutation rate (e.g. based on the total number of segregating sites or average of the pairwise…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-14 Asger Hobolth , Mogens Bladt , Lars Nørvang Andersen

We introduce a general diploid population model with self-fertilization and possible overlapping generations, and study the genealogy of a sample of $n$ genes as the population size $N$ tends to infinity. Unlike traditional approach in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Louis Wai-Tong Fan , Maximillian Newman , John Wakeley

Gene gain-loss-duplication models are commonly based on continuous-time birth-death processes. Employed in a phylogenetic context, such models have been increasingly popular in studies of gene content evolution across multiple genomes.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-27 Miklos Csuros

A dynamical picture of phylogenetic evolution is given in terms of Markov models on a state space, comprising joint probability distributions for character types of taxonomic classes. Phylogenetic branching is a process which augments the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 P. D. Jarvis , J. D. Bashford , J. G. Sumner

The coalescent revolutionised theoretical population genetics, simplifying, or making possible for the first time, many analyses, proofs, and derivations, and offering crucial insights about the way in which the structure of data in samples…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-09 Peter Donnelly , Stephen Leslie

A probability model is presented for the dynamics of mutation-selection balance in a haploid infinite-population infinite-sites setting sufficiently general to cover mutation-driven changes in full age-specific demographic schedules. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 David Steinsaltz , Steven N. Evans , Kenneth W. Wachter

Sequencing by synthesis is used in many next-generation DNA sequencing technologies. Some of the technologies, especially those exploring the principle of single-molecule sequencing, allow incomplete nucleotide incorporation in each cycle.…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-28 Yong Kong

Representations of population models in terms of countable systems of particles are constructed, in which each particle has a `type', typically recording both spatial position and genetic type, and a level. For finite intensity models, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Alison M. Etheridge , Thomas G. Kurtz

Genetic sequence data are well described by hidden Markov models (HMMs) in which latent states correspond to clusters of similar mutation patterns. Theory from statistical genetics suggests that these HMMs are nonhomogeneous (their…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-03 Lloyd T. Elliott , Yee Whye Teh

Every probability distribution can be approximated up to a given precision by a phase-type distribution, i.e. a distribution encoded by a continuous time Markov chain (CTMC). However, an excessive number of states in the corresponding CTMC…

Performance · Computer Science 2014-07-01 Ľuboš Korenčiak , Jan Krčál , Vojtěch Řehák

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

In this paper, we demonstrate through the use of matrix calculus a transparent analysis of fractional inhomogeneous Markov models for life insurance where transition matrices commute. The resulting formulae are intuitive matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Martin Bladt

Markov cohort state-transition models have been the standard approach for simulating the prognosis of patients or, more generally, the life trajectories of individuals over a time period. Current approaches for estimating the variance of a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-07 Rowan Iskandar , Cassandra Berns