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Lasso-type estimators are routinely used to estimate high-dimensional time series models. The theoretical guarantees established for these estimators typically require the penalty level to be chosen in a suitable fashion often depending on…

Random forest is a popular prediction approach for handling high dimensional covariates. However, it often becomes infeasible to interpret the obtained high dimensional and non-parametric model. Aiming for obtaining an interpretable…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-12 Jasper Velthoen , Juan-Juan Cai , Geurt Jongbloed

The lasso has been studied extensively as a tool for estimating the coefficient vector in the high-dimensional linear model; however, considerably less is known about estimating the error variance in this context. In this paper, we propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-22 Guo Yu , Jacob Bien

The purpose of this article is to provide an adaptive estimator of the baseline function in the Cox model with high-dimensional covariates. We consider a two-step procedure : first, we estimate the regression parameter of the Cox model via…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-04 Agathe Guilloux , Sarah Lemler , Marie-Luce Taupin

Although conceptually related, variable selection and relative importance (RI) analysis have been treated quite differently in the literature. While RI is typically used for post-hoc model explanation, this paper explores its potential for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Tien-En Chang , Argon Chen

We develop a post-selection inference method for the Cox proportional hazards model with interval-censored data, which provides asymptotically valid p-values and confidence intervals conditional on the model selected by lasso. The method is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-02 Jianrui Zhang , Chenxi Li , Haolei Weng

We propose a two step algorithm based on $\ell_1/\ell_0$ regularization for the detection and estimation of parameters of a high dimensional change point regression model and provide the corresponding rates of convergence for the change…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-18 Abhishek Kaul , Venkata K. Jandhyala , Stergios B. Fotopoulos

The dual problem of testing the predictive significance of a particular covariate, and identification of the set of relevant covariates is common in applied research and methodological investigations. To study this problem in the context of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Julian A. A. Collazos , Adriano Z. Zambom

Standard techniques such as leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) might not be suitable for evaluating the predictive performance of models incorporating structured random effects. In such cases, the correlation between the training and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 A. Adin , E. Krainski , A. Lenzi , Z. Liu , J. Martínez-Minaya , H. Rue

We propose a novel approach to elicit the weight of a potentially non-stationary regressor in the consistent and oracle-efficient estimation of autoregressive models using the adaptive Lasso. The enhanced weight builds on a statistic that…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Thilo Reinschlüssel , Martin C. Arnold

Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) can be particularly accurate among cross-validation (CV) variants for machine learning assessment tasks -- e.g., assessing methods' error or variability. But it is expensive to re-fit a model $N$ times…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-24 William T. Stephenson , Tamara Broderick

We consider the least-square linear regression problem with regularization by the l1-norm, a problem usually referred to as the Lasso. In this paper, we present a detailed asymptotic analysis of model consistency of the Lasso. For various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-12-18 Francis Bach

We propose a new approach to falsify causal discovery algorithms without ground truth, which is based on testing the causal model on a pair of variables that has been dropped when learning the causal model. To this end, we use the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Daniela Schkoda , Philipp Faller , Patrick Blöbaum , Dominik Janzing

In a linear instrumental variables (IV) setting for estimating the causal effects of multiple confounded exposure/treatment variables on an outcome, we investigate the adaptive Lasso method for selecting valid instrumental variables from a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-11 Xiaoran Liang , Eleanor Sanderson , Frank Windmeijer

We propose a test of many zero parameter restrictions in a high dimensional linear iid regression model with $k$ $>>$ $n$ regressors. The test statistic is formed by estimating key parameters one at a time based on many low dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Jonathan B. Hill

Statisticians often face the choice between using probability models or a paradigm defined by minimising a loss function. Both approaches are useful and, if the loss can be re-cast into a proper probability model, there are many tools to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Jack Jewson , David Rossell

Similar to variable selection in the linear regression model, selecting significant components in the popular additive regression model is of great interest. However, such components are unknown smooth functions of independent variables,…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-04 Xia Cui , Heng Peng , Songqiao Wen , Lixing Zhu

Posterior predictive p-values (ppps) have become popular tools for Bayesian model assessment, being general-purpose and easy to use. However, interpretation can be difficult because their distribution is not uniform under the hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Sally Paganin , Perry de Valpine

There are a variety of settings where vague prior information may be available on the importance of predictors in high-dimensional regression settings. Examples include ordering on the variables offered by their empirical variances (which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-20 Benjamin G. Stokell , Rajen D. Shah

Model selection in penalized regression critically depends on an accurate assessment of model complexity, commonly quantified through the effective degrees of freedom. While the Lasso admits a simple and unbiased characterization, given by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Mauro Bernardi , Antonio Canale , Marco Stefanucci
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