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This paper introduces a Nearly Unstable INteger-valued AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (NU-INARCH) process for dealing with count time series data. It is proved that a proper normalization of the NU-INARCH process endowed with…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-19 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Ngai Hang Chan

For a strictly stationary sequence of $\mathbb{R}_{+}^{d}$--valued random vectors we derive functional convergence of partial maxima stochastic processes under joint regular variation and weak dependence conditions. The limit process is an…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-14 Danijel Krizmanić

We establish the asymptotic theory of least absolute deviation estimators for AR(1) processes with autoregressive parameter satisfying $n(\rho_n-1)\to\gamma$ for some fixed $\gamma$ as $n\to\infty$, which is parallel to the results of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Nannan Ma , Hailin Sang , Guangyu Yang

In this paper, we use the results in Andrews and Cheng (2012), extended to allow for parameters to be near or at the boundary of the parameter space, to derive the asymptotic distributions of the two test statistics that are used in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-21 Philipp Ketz

We prove distributional limit theorems and one-sided laws of the iterated logarithm for a class of positive, mixing, stationary, stochastic processes which contains those obtained from non-integrable observables over certain piecewise…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-03 Jon. Aaronson , Roland Zweimüller

For a GJR-GARCH specification with a generic innovation distribution we derive analytic expressions for the first four conditional moments of the forward and aggregated returns and variances. Moment for the most commonly used GARCH models…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-07 Carol Alexander , Emese Lazar , Silvia Stanescu

We provide a generalization of Theorem 1 in Bartkiewicz, Jakubowski, Mikosch and Wintenberger (2011) in the sense that we give sufficient conditions for weak convergence of finite dimensional distributions of the partial sum processes of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Matyas Barczy , Fanni K. Nedényi , Gyula Pap

We present two limit theorems, a mean ergodic and a central limit theorem, for a specific class of one-dimensional diffusion processes that depend on a small-scale parameter $\varepsilon$ and converge weakly to a homogenized diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-23 Jaroslav I. Borodavka , Sebastian Krumscheid

We develop two new estimators for a general class of stationary GARCH models with possibly heavy tailed asymmetrically distributed errors, covering processes with symmetric and asymmetric feedback like GARCH, Asymmetric GARCH, VGARCH and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Jonathan B. Hill

It is common for long financial time series to exhibit gradual change in the unconditional volatility. We propose a new model that captures this type of nonstationarity in a parsimonious way. The model augments the volatility equation of a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-15 Niklas Ahlgren , Alexander Back , Timo Teräsvirta

Integrated autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) models serve as natural counterparts to the well-known integrated GARCH models used for financial returns. However, despite their resemblance, asymptotic theory for ACD is challenging and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-12 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Thomas Mikosch , Anders Rahbek , Frederik Vilandt

A family of continuous-time generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic processes, generalizing the $\operatorname {COGARCH}(1,1)$ process of Kl\"{u}ppelberg, Lindner and Maller [J. Appl. Probab. 41 (2004) 601--622], is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Brockwell , Erdenebaatar Chadraa , Alexander Lindner

Moderate deviation principle is achieved by the weak convergence approach for a stochastic Schr\"odinger type equation with linear drift term and noise driven by a $Q$-Wiener process. The central limit theorem is also shown for the equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-27 Parisa Fatheddin , Hannelore Lisei

Generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroskedastic (GARCH) processes are widely used for modelling features commonly found in observed financial returns. The extremal properties of these processes are of considerable interest for…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-20 Fabrizio Laurini , Paul Fearnhead , Jonathan A. Tawn

We consider the perturbed Mann's iterative process \begin{equation} x_{n+1}=(1-\theta_n)x_n+\theta_n f(x_n)+r_n, \end{equation} where $f:[0,1]\rightarrow[0,1]$ is a continuous function, $\{\theta_n\}\in [0,1]$ is a given sequence, and…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Ramzi May

A time-varying zero-inflated serially dependent Poisson process is proposed. The model assumes that the intensity of the Poisson Process evolves according to a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GARCH) formulation. The…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-19 Isuru Ratnayake , V. A. Samaranayake

In this paper we extend two limit theorems which were recently obtained for fragmentation processes to such processes with immigration. More precisely, in the setting with immigration we consider a limit theorem for the process counted with…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-24 Robert Knobloch

In this article, we introduce and study a one sided tempered stable first order autoregressive model called TAR(1). Under the assumption of stationarity of the model, the marginal probability density function of the error term is found. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Niharika Bhootna , Arun Kumar

In this paper, we consider the normalized least squares estimator of the parameter in a mildly-explosive first-order autoregressive model with dependent errors which are modeled as a mildly-explosive AR(1) process. We prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-01 Hui Jiang , Mingming Yu , Guangyu Yang

This paper deals with inference in a class of stable but nearly-unstable processes. Autoregressive processes are considered, in which the bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-18 Marie Badreau , Frédéric Proïa