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Related papers: Confidence Interval Estimators for MOS Values

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This paper uses classical high-rate quantization theory to provide new insights into mixture-of-experts (MoE) models for regression tasks. Our MoE is defined by a segmentation of the input space to regions, each with a single-parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Yehuda Dar

Sequential trial emulation (STE) is an approach to estimating causal treatment effects by emulating a sequence of target trials from observational data. In STE, inverse probability weighting is commonly utilised to address time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-10 Juliette M. Limozin , Shaun R. Seaman , Li Su

Modern problems in statistics tend to include estimators of high computational complexity and with complicated distributions. Statistical inference on such estimators usually relies on asymptotic normality assumptions, however, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-08 Eyal Fisher , Regev Schweiger , Saharon Rosset

A key ethical challenge in Automated Essay Scoring (AES) is ensuring that scores are only released when they meet high reliability standards. Confidence modelling addresses this by assigning a reliability estimate measure, in the form of a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Abhirup Chakravarty , Mark Brenchley , Trevor Breakspear , Ian Lewin , Yan Huang

What, if anything, should a frequentist say about a single realized confidence interval (CI) and its chance of having covered the parameter? Jerzy Neyman's original answer was to refuse any nondegenerate probability for coverage ex post…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-03-06 Scott Lee

AIMS. The maximum-likelihood method is the standard approach to obtain model fits to observational data and the corresponding confidence regions. We investigate possible sources of bias in the log-likelihood function and its subsequent…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 J. Hartlap , P. Simon , P. Schneider

Signal processing makes extensive use of point estimators and accompanying error bounds. These work well up until the likelihood function has two or more high peaks. When it is important for an estimator to remain reliable, it becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ning Xu , Christopher M. Foster , Jonathan H. Manton

This research proposes an enhanced measurement method for VoIP quality assessment which provides an improvement to accuracy and reliability. To improve the objective measurement tool called the simplified E-model for the selected codec,…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Therdpong Daengsi , Pongpisit Wuttidittachotti

Recent research has shown that interval estimators with good coverage properties are achievable for some functions of quantiles, even when sample sizes are not large. Motivated by this, we consider interval estimators for the ratios of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Chandima N. P. G. Arachchige , Maxwell Cairns , Luke A. Prendergast

In assessing prediction accuracy of multivariable prediction models, optimism corrections are essential for preventing biased results. However, in most published papers of clinical prediction models, the point estimates of the prediction…

Confidence measures for the generalization error are crucial when small training samples are used to construct classifiers. A common approach is to estimate the generalization error by resampling and then assume the resampled estimator…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Eric B. Laber , Susan A. Murphy

Normalised citation counts are routinely used to assess the average impact of research groups or nations. There is controversy over whether confidence intervals for them are theoretically valid or practically useful. In response, this…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2017-10-25 Mike Thelwall

In a recent review, Liu, Pek, & Maydeu-Olivares (2025b) classified reliability coefficients into two types: classical test theory (CTT) reliability and proportional reduction in mean squared error (PRMSE). This article focuses on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Youjin Sung , Yang Liu

Split sample methods have recently been put forward as a way to reduce the coverage oscillations that haunt confidence intervals for parameters of lattice distributions, such as the binomial and Poisson distributions. We study split sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-11 Måns Thulin

In this paper we consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for coefficients of martingale regression models (in particular, time series models) after variable selection. Although constructing confidence intervals are common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Ka Wai Tsang , Wei Dai

Extreme value analysis in the presence of censoring is receiving much attention as it has applications in many disciplines, including survival and reliability studies. Estimation of extreme value index (EVI) is of primary importance as it…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-03 Richard Minkah , Tertius de Wet , Kwabena Doku-Amponsah

This work develops central limit theorems for cross-validation and consistent estimators of its asymptotic variance under weak stability conditions on the learning algorithm. Together, these results provide practical, asymptotically-exact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Pierre Bayle , Alexandre Bayle , Lucas Janson , Lester Mackey

Expected coverage and expected length of 90% upper and lower limit and 68.27% central intervals are plotted as functions of the true signal for various values of expected background. Results for several objective priors are shown, and…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 Ilya Narsky

The purpose of this paper is to propose methodologies for statistical inference of low-dimensional parameters with high-dimensional data. We focus on constructing confidence intervals for individual coefficients and linear combinations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-05 Cun-Hui Zhang , Stephanie S. Zhang

A/B testing on platforms often faces challenges from network interference, where a unit's outcome depends not only on its own treatment but also on the treatments of its network neighbors. To address this, cluster-level randomization has…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Qianyi Chen , Anpeng Wu , Bo Li , Lu Deng , Yong Wang