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Statistical samples, in order to be representative, have to be drawn from a population in a random and unbiased way. Nevertheless, it is common practice in the field of model-based diagnosis to make estimations from (biased) best-first…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Patrick Rodler , Fatima Elichanova

Hierarchical data with multiple observations per group is ubiquitous in empirical sciences and is often analyzed using mixed-effects regression. In such models, Bayesian inference gives an estimate of uncertainty but is analytically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Alex Kipnis , Marcel Binz , Eric Schulz

Integrating knowledge across different domains is an essential feature of human learning. Learning paradigms such as transfer learning, meta-learning, and multi-task learning reflect the human learning process by exploiting the prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Richa Upadhyay , Ronald Phlypo , Rajkumar Saini , Marcus Liwicki

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are a popular class of methods for analyzing longitudinal and clustered data. However, such models can be sensitive to outliers, and this can lead to biased inference on model parameters and inaccurate prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Francis K. C. Hui , Alan H. Welsh

In this paper, we develop a graphical modeling framework for the inference of networks across multiple sample groups and data types. In medical studies, this setting arises whenever a set of subjects, which may be heterogeneous due to…

While meta-analyzing retrospective cancer patient cohorts, an investigation of differences in the expressions of target oncogenes across cancer subtypes is of substantial interest because the results may uncover novel tumorigenesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-03 Subharup Guha , David C. Christiani , S. V. Subramanian , Yi Li

For many conditions, it is of clinical importance to know not just the ability of a test to distinguish between those with and without the disease, but also the sensitivity to detect disease at different stages: in particular, the test's…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Efthymia Derezea , Nicky J Welton , Gabriel Rogers , Hayley E Jones

Estimating the prevalence of a disease is necessary for evaluating and mitigating risks of its transmission within or between populations. Estimates that consider how prevalence changes with time provide more information about these risks…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-12 Braden Scherting , Alison Peel , Raina Plowright , Andrew Hoegh

We regularly consider answering counterfactual questions in practice, such as "Would people with diabetes take a turn for the better had they choose another medication?". Observational studies are growing in significance in answering such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Guanglin Zhou , Lina Yao , Xiwei Xu , Chen Wang , Liming Zhu

Dynamic models have been successfully used in producing estimates of HIV epidemics at the national level due to their epidemiological nature and their ability to estimate prevalence, incidence, and mortality rates simultaneously. Recently,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-11 Le Bao , Xiaoyue Niu , Tim Brown , Jeffrey W. Imai-Eaton

Computer-Aided Diagnosis has shown stellar performance in providing accurate medical diagnoses across multiple testing modalities (medical images, electrophysiological signals, etc.). While this field has typically focused on fully…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-21 Claire Donnat , Nina Miolane , Freddy Bunbury , Jack Kreindler

In observational studies, treatment may be adapted to covariates at several times without a fixed protocol, in continuous time. Treatment influences covariates, which influence treatment, which influences covariates, and so on. Then even…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-02 Judith J. Lok

Linear instrumental variable regressions are widely used to estimate causal effects. Many instruments arise from the use of ``technical'' instruments and more recently from the empirical strategy of ``judge design''. This paper surveys and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-26 Anna Mikusheva , Liyang Sun

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

When random effects are correlated with sample design variables, the usual approach of employing individual survey weights (constructed to be inversely proportional to the unit survey inclusion probabilities) to form a pseudo-likelihood no…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Terrance D. Savitsky , Matthew R. Williams

Stacking, a potent ensemble learning method, leverages a meta-model to harness the strengths of multiple base models, thereby enhancing prediction accuracy. Traditional stacking techniques typically utilize established learning models, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Wei Wu , Liang Tang , Zhongjie Zhao , Chung-Piaw Teo

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

Throughout the different phases of a drug development program, randomized trials are used to establish the tolerability, safety, and efficacy of a candidate drug. At each stage one aims to optimize the design of future studies by…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-08 Sebastian Weber , Andrew Gelman , Daniel Lee , Michael Betancourt , Aki Vehtari , Amy Racine

Predictive modeling plays key role in providing accurate prognosis and enables us to take a step closer to personalized treatment. We identified two potential sources of human induced biases that can lead to disparate conclusions. We…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-08 Madhuchhanda Bhattacharjee

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is a technique used in medical statistics to combine evidence from multiple medical trials. NMA defines an inference and information processing problem on a network of treatment options and trials connecting the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-30 Annabel L. Davies , Tobias Galla