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We describe an exact approach for calculating transition probabilities and waiting times in finite-state discrete-time Markov processes. All the states and the rules for transitions between them must be known in advance. We can then…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

In this paper we present a dynamical system to generate Brownian motion based on the Langevin equation without stochastic term and using fractional derivatives, i.e., a deterministic Brownian motion model is proposed. The stochastic process…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-05-09 H. E. Gilardi-Velázquez , E. Campos-Cantón

We address the problem of detecting an anomalous process among a large number of processes. At each time t, normal processes are in state zero (normal state), while the abnormal process may be in either state zero (normal state) or state…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-23 Levli Citron , Kobi Cohen , Qing Zhao

Consider a sequence (indexed by n) of Markov chains Z^n in R^d characterized by transition kernels that approximately (in n) depend only on the rescaled state n^{-1} Z^n. Subject to a smoothness condition, such a family can be closely…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-17 Kamil Szczegot

We consider a finite state discrete time process X. Without loss of generality the finite state space can be identified with the set of unit vectors {e1, e2, . . . , eN} with ei = (0, . . . , 0, 1, 0, . . . , 0)0 2 RN. For a Markov chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Robert J. Elliott

We present a detailed study of a simple quantum stochastic process, the quantum phase space Brownian motion, which we obtain as the Markovian limit of a simple model of open quantum system. We show that this physical description of the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-27 Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard

A new extension of the sub-fractional Brownian motion, and thus of the Brownian motion, is introduced. It is a linear combination of a finite number of sub-fractional Brownian motions, that we have chosen to call the mixed sub-fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-13 Mounir Zili

We study continuous time Markov processes on graphs. The notion of frequency is introduced, which serves well as a scaling factor between any Markov time of a continuous time Markov process and that of its jump chain. As an application, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jianjun Tian , Xiao-Song Lin

Financial markets have long since been modeled using stochastic methods such as Brownian motion, and more recently, rough volatility models have been built using fractional Brownian motion. This fractional aspect brings memory into the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Patrick Geraghty

In this work we introduce correlated random walks on $\Z$. When picking suitably at random the coefficient of correlation, and taking the average over a large number of walks, we obtain a discrete Gaussian process, whose scaling limit is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Enriquez Nathanael

We present a simulation methodology for Bayesian estimation of rate parameters in Markov jump processes arising for example in stochastic kinetic models. To handle the problem of missing components and measurement errors in observed data,…

Computation · Statistics 2010-09-01 Michael Amrein , Hans R. Kuensch

We study the statistics of near-extreme events of Brownian motion (BM) on the time interval [0,t]. We focus on the density of states (DOS) near the maximum \rho(r,t) which is the amount of time spent by the process at a distance r from the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-16 Anthony Perret , Alain Comtet , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We study a generalization of the Brownian bridge as a stochastic process that models the position and velocity of inertial particles between the two end-points of a time interval. The particles experience random acceleration and are assumed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-15 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou

We consider the problem of estimating a smooth functional of an unknown signal with discontinuity from Gaussian observations. The signal is a known function that depends on an unknown parameter. This problem is closely related to the famous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-19 Farida Enikeeva

We consider continuous state branching processes that are perturbed by a Brownian motion. These processes are constructed as the unique strong solution of a stochastic differential equation. The long-term extinction and explosion behaviours…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-17 Sandra Palau , Juan Carlos Pardo

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

The balance held by Brownian motion between temporal regularity and randomness is embodied in a remarkable way by Levy's forgery of continuous functions. Here we describe how this property can be extended to forge arbitrary dependences…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-11 Vincent Wens

Markov automata combine non-determinism, probabilistic branching, and exponentially distributed delays. This compositional variant of continuous-time Markov decision processes is used in reliability engineering, performance evaluation and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-05-11 Tim Quatmann , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

In this paper we present new theoretical results on optimal estimation of certain random quantities based on high frequency observations of a L\'evy process. More specifically, we investigate the asymptotic theory for the conditional mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Mark Podolskij

Fractional Brownian motion is a non-Markovian Gaussian process $X_t$, indexed by the Hurst exponent $H$. It generalises standard Brownian motion (corresponding to $H=1/2$). We study the probability distribution of the maximum $m$ of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-25 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Joerg Wiese