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In this paper we study a reflected Markov-modulated Brownian motion with a two sided reflection in which the drift, diffusion coefficient and the two boundaries are (jointly) modulated by a finite state space irreducible continuous time…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-27 Bernardo D'Auria , Offer Kella

We consider continuous time Markovian processes where populations of individual agents interact stochastically according to kinetic rules. Despite the increasing prominence of such models in fields ranging from biology to smart cities,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-16 Anastasis Georgoulas , Jane Hillston , Guido Sanguinetti

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

In this paper, we consider a linear model with jumps driven by a Brownian motion and a compensated Poisson process, whose drift and diffusion coefficients as well as its intensity are unknown parameters. Supposing that the process is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-21 Arturo Kohatsu-Higa , Eulalia Nualart , Ngoc Khue Tran

We investigate a remote estimation problem in which a transmitter observes a Markov source and chooses the power level to transmit it over a time-varying packet-drop channel. The channel is modeled as a channel with Markovian state where…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Jhelum Chakravorty , Aditya Mahajan

We prove a functional limit theorem for Markov chains that, in each step, move up or down by a possibly state dependent constant with probability $1/2$, respectively. The theorem entails that the law of every one-dimensional regular…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Stefan Ankirchner , Thomas Kruse , Mikhail Urusov

In this paper, a study of random times on filtered probability spaces is undertaken. The main message is that, as long as distributional properties of optional processes up to the random time are involved, there is no loss of generality in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Constantinos Kardaras

This paper investigates the pricing of European-style lookback options when the price dynamics of the underlying risky asset are assumed to follow a Markov-modulated Geo-metric Brownian motion; that is, the appreciation rate and the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-21 Leunglung Chan , Song-Ping Zhu

We define what we call an on/off Brownian snake. We use this to construct on/off super Brownian motion recently introduced to the literature by Blath and Jacobi and which is a measure-valued branching process with a dormant state and an…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Matthew Buckland , Dave Jacobi

Stock prices are influenced over time by underlying macroeconomic factors. Jumping out of the box of conventional assumptions about the unpredictability of the market noise, we modeled the changes of stock prices over time through the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-26 Yang Chen , Emerson Li

Modeling unknown systems from data is a precursor of system optimization and sequential decision making. In this paper, we focus on learning a Markov model from a single trajectory of states. Suppose that the transition model has a small…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-30 Ziwei Zhu , Xudong Li , Mengdi Wang , Anru Zhang

Asymptotic properties of Markov Processes, such as steady state probabilities or hazard rate for absorbing states can be efficiently calculated by means of linear algebra even for large-scale problems. This paper discusses the methods for…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-05-17 Vitali Volovoi

This paper investigates MDPs with intermittent state information. We consider a scenario where the controller perceives the state information of the process via an unreliable communication channel. The transmissions of state information…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Gongpu Chen , Soung-Chang Liew

Experiments, in particular on biological systems, typically probe lower-dimensional observables which are projections of high-dimensional dynamics. In order to infer consistent models capturing the relevant dynamics of the system, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-18 Xizhu Zhao , Dmitrii E. Makarov , Aljaž Godec

We study a model for the entanglement of a two-dimensional reflecting Brownian motion in a bounded region divided into two halves by a wall with three or more small windows. We map the Brownian motion into a Markov Chain on the fundamental…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-19 Gage Bonner , Jean-Luc Thiffeault , Benedek Valko

Complex systems are characterized by a huge number of degrees of freedom often interacting in a non-linear manner. In many cases macroscopic states, however, can be characterized by a small number of order parameters that obey stochastic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-02-20 David Kleinhans

We study the problem of learning the Markov order in categorical sequences that represent paths in a network, i.e. sequences of variable lengths where transitions between states are constrained to a known graph. Such data pose challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Luka V. Petrović , Ingo Scholtes

Stochastic differential equations and stochastic dynamics are good models to describe stochastic phenomena in real world. In this paper, we study N independent stochastic processes Xi(t) with real entries and the processes are determined by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Min Dai , Jinqiao Duan , Junjun Liao , Xiangjun Wang

We consider a Brownian motion with linear drift that splits at fixed time points into a fixed number of branches, which may depend on the branching point. For this process, which we shall refer to as the Brownian decision tree, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Pavel Ievlev , Nikolai Kriukov

Random walks are a fundamental model in applied mathematics and are a common example of a Markov chain. The limiting stationary distribution of the Markov chain represents the fraction of the time spent in each state during the stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Austin R. Benson , David F. Gleich , Lek-Heng Lim