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Many climate subsystems are thought to be susceptible to tipping - and some might be close to a tipping point. The general belief and intuition, based on simple conceptual models of tipping elements, is that tipping leads to reorganization…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2021-12-01 Robbin Bastiaansen , Henk A. Dijkstra , Anna S. von der Heydt

Global and regional climate model projections are useful for gauging future patterns of climate variables, including solar radiation, but data from these models is often too coarse to assess local impacts. Within the context of solar…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-21 Maggie Bailey , Doug Nychka , Manajit Sengupta , Jaemo Yang , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

In this paper, we examine both stability and sustainability of a network-based model of natural resource consumption. Stability is studied from a dynamical systems perspective, though we argue that sustainability is a fundamentally…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-11 Matthew T. Hale , Sebastian F. Ruf , Talha Manzoor , Abubakr Muhammad

The response of precipitation extremes to climate change is considered using results from theory, modeling, and observations, with a focus on the physical factors that control the response. Observations and simulations with climate models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-05 Paul A. O'Gorman

Natural ecosystems, in particular on the microbial scale, are inhabited by a large number of species. The population size of each species is affected by interactions of individuals with each other and by spatial and temporal changes in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-23 Tom Burkart , Jan Willeke , Erwin Frey

The influence of solar cycle and activity phenomena on the two climatic variabilities such as the rainfall and the surface temperature of the Indian subcontinent are critically examined. It is concluded from this study that the sun indeed…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-18 K. M. Hiremath

This chapter is dedicated to the slow dynamics of the climate system, at time scales of one~thousand to one million years. We focus specifically on the phenomenon of ice ages that has characterised the slow evolution of climate over the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-12-14 Michel Crucifix , Guillaume Lenoir , Takahito Mitsui

The cost of the impacts of climate change have already proven to be larger than previously believed. Understanding the costs and benefits of adapting to the changing climate is necessary to make targeted and appropriate investment…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-27 Anna Josephson , Rodrigo Guerra Su , Greg Collins , Katharine Jacobs

We study the influence of seasonally and geographically related daily dynamics of daylight and ambient temperature on human resting or sleeping patterns using mobile phone data of a large number of individuals. We observe two daily…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-21 Daniel Monsivais , Kunal Bhattacharya , Asim Ghosh , Robin I. M. Dunbar , Kimmo Kaski

Accurately forecasting Climate Policy Uncertainty (CPU) is essential for designing climate strategies that balance economic growth with environmental objectives. Elevated CPU levels can delay regulatory implementation, hinder investment in…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Donia Besher , Anirban Sengupta , Tanujit Chakraborty

Ecological networks exhibit non-random structural patterns, such as modularity and nestedness, which indicate ecosystem stability, species diversity, and connectance. Such structure-stability relationships are well known. However, another…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-12 Kazuhiro Takemoto , Saori Kanamaru , Wenfeng Feng

Ensembles of regional-global climate model combinations show substantial spread in projected wind and solar resources. Using 31 RCM-GCM pairs, we quantify the sources of this spread with a spatially and seasonally resolved variance…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-23 Nina Effenberger , Reto Knutti

Earth's climate can be understood as a dynamical system that changes due to external forcing and internal couplings. Essential climate variables, such as surface air temperature, describe this dynamics. Our current interglacial, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-24 Beatrice Ellerhoff , Kira Rehfeld

It has been proposed that galactic cosmic rays may influence the Earth's climate by affecting cloud formation. If changes in cloudiness play a part in climate change, their effect changes sign in Antarctica. Satellite data from the Earth…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Henrik Svensmark

Using lightning strikes as an example, two possible schemes are discussed for the attribution of changes in event frequency to climate change, and estimating the cost associated with them. The schemes determine the fraction of events that…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-21 Anthony J. Webster

In an ecosystem, environmental changes as a result of natural and human processes can cause some key parameters of the system to change with time. Depending on how fast such a parameter changes, a tipping point can occur. Existing works on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-16 Shirin Panahi , Younghae Do , Alan Hastings , Ying-Cheng Lai

Spatiotemporal variations in thunderstorm occurrence frequency are considered here using an environmental dataset derived from ERA5 reanalysis data. Interannual variability in the thunderstorm environments is examined for the period…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 Andrew Dowdy , Andrew Brown , Todd Lane , Mateusz Taszarek

We consider a generalised non-commutative space-time in which non-commutativity is extended to all phase space variables. If strong enough, non-commutativity can affect stability of the system. We perform stability analysis on a couple of…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2018-08-31 Paolo Castorina , Alfredo Guerrera , Tomislav Prokopec

The effects of multi-layered clouds in the atmospheres of Earth-like planets orbiting different types of stars are studied. The radiative effects of cloud particles are directly correlated with their wavelength-dependent optical properties.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2010-02-16 D. Kitzmann , A. B. C. Patzer , P. von Paris , M. Godolt , B. Stracke , S. Gebauer , J. L. Grenfell , H. Rauer