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In this note we develop a prelimit analysis of performance measures for importance sampling schemes related to small noise diffusion processes. In importance sampling the performance of any change of measure is characterized by its second…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-30 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Some asymptotic notions for random variables are discussed. In particular, different versions of O and o for sequences of random variables are studied. The results are elementary and more or less well-known, but collected here for future…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-22 Svante Janson

We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward; this is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Hugh Entwistle , Christopher Lustri , Georgy Sofronov

A semilinear reaction-diffusion two-point boundary value problem, whose second-order derivative is multiplied by a small positive parameter $\eps^2$, is considered. It can have multiple solutions. An asymptotic expansion is constructed for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Natalia Kopteva , Martin Stynes

We consider an experiment with at least two stages or batches and $O(N)$ subjects per batch. First, we propose a semiparametric treatment effect estimator that efficiently pools information across the batches, and show it asymptotically…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-28 Harrison H. Li , Art B. Owen

We present a general approach to the problem of determining tight asymptotic lower bounds for generalized central moments of the optimal alignment score of two independent sequences of i.i.d. random variables. At first, these are obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Ruoting Gong , Christian Houdré , Jüri Lember

In this work, we address the problem of Hessian inversion bias in distributed second-order optimization algorithms. We introduce a novel shrinkage-based estimator for the resolvent of gram matrices which is asymptotically unbiased, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Fangzhao Zhang , Mert Pilanci

We provide a complete asymptotic distribution theory for clustered data with a large number of independent groups, generalizing the classic laws of large numbers, uniform laws, central limit theory, and clustered covariance matrix…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-03 Bruce E. Hansen , Seojeong Lee

The problem of multiple hypothesis testing with observation control is considered in both fixed sample size and sequential settings. In the fixed sample size setting, for binary hypothesis testing, the optimal exponent for the maximal error…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-09-05 Sirin Nitinawarat , George Atia , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We consider the problem of finding, for a given quadratic measure of non-uniformity of a set of $N$ points (such as $L_2$ star-discrepancy or diaphony), the asymptotic distribution of this discrepancy for truly random points in the limit…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-10-30 Andre van Hameren , Ronald Kleiss , Jiri Hoogland

In this paper, we study sequential testing problems with \emph{overlapping} hypotheses. We first focus on the simple problem of assessing if the mean $\mu$ of a Gaussian distribution is smaller or larger than a fixed $\epsilon>0$; if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-19 Aurélien Garivier , Emilie Kaufmann

Approximations to the modified signed likelihood ratio statistic are asymptotically standard normal with error of order $n^{-1}$, where $n$ is the sample size. Proofs of this fact generally require that the sufficient statistic of the model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Heping He , Thomas A. Severini

Within a Bayesian decision theoretic framework we investigate some asymptotic optimality properties of a large class of multiple testing rules. A parametric setup is considered, in which observations come from a normal scale mixture model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-22 Małgorzata Bogdan , Arijit Chakrabarti , Florian Frommlet , Jayanta K. Ghosh

Binary classification is a task that involves the classification of data into one of two distinct classes. It is widely utilized in various fields. However, conventional classifiers tend to make overconfident predictions for data that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Shoma Yokura , Akihisa Ichiki

The paper studies binary classification and aims at estimating the underlying regression function which is the conditional expectation of the class labels given the inputs. The regression function is the key component of the Bayes optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-26 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Ambrus Tamás

We consider the compound decision problem of estimating a vector of $n$ parameters, known up to a permutation, corresponding to $n$ independent observations, and discuss the difference between two symmetric classes of estimators. The first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-12 Eitan Greenshtein , Ya'acov Ritov

We consider linear regression in the high-dimensional regime where the number of observations $n$ is smaller than the number of parameters $p$. A very successful approach in this setting uses $\ell_1$-penalized least squares (a.k.a. the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-05 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

We provide another look at the statistical calibration problem in computer models. This viewpoint is inspired by two overarching practical considerations of computer models: (i) many computer models are inadequate for perfectly modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Xiaowu Dai , Peter Chien

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the covariation of two diffusion processes when observations are subject to non-synchronicity. Building on recent papers \cite{Hay-Yos03, Hay-Yos04}, we derive second-order asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Arnak Dalalyan , Nakahiro Yoshida

Classical mathematical statistics deals with models that are parametrized by a Euclidean, i.e. finite dimensional, parameter. Quite often such models have been and still are chosen in practical situations for their mathematical simplicity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Chris A. J. Klaassen
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