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Related papers: Neural Control Variates for Variance Reduction

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Optimization with noisy gradients has become ubiquitous in statistics and machine learning. Reparameterization gradients, or gradient estimates computed via the "reparameterization trick," represent a class of noisy gradients often used in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-23 Andrew C. Miller , Nicholas J. Foti , Alexander D'Amour , Ryan P. Adams

Reinforcement learning constantly deals with hard integrals, for example when computing expectations in policy evaluation and policy iteration. These integrals are rarely analytically solvable and typically estimated with the Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Sebastien M. R. Arnold , Pierre L'Ecuyer , Liyu Chen , Yi-fan Chen , Fei Sha

Score-based models, trained with denoising score matching, are remarkably effective in generating high dimensional data. However, the high variance of their training objective hinders optimisation. We attempt to reduce it with a control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Paul Jeha , Will Grathwohl , Michael Riis Andersen , Carl Henrik Ek , Jes Frellsen

In this paper we present an enhancement of the regression-based variance reduction approaches recently proposed in Belomestny et al. This enhancement is based on a truncation of the control variate and allows for a significant reduction of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-10 Denis Belomestny , Stefan Häfner , Mikhail Urusov

The optimization of neural wave functions in variational Monte Carlo crucially relies on a robust convergence criterion. While the energy variance is theoretically a definitive measure, its practical application as a primary convergence…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-11-03 Huan-Chen Shi , Er-Liang Cui , Dan Zhou

Monte Carlo event generators are an essential tool for data analysis in collider physics. To include subleading quantum corrections, these generators often need to produce negative weight events, which leads to statistical dilution of the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-10-21 Benjamin Nachman , Jesse Thaler

This work introduces a novel multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) metamodeling approach for variance function estimation. Although devising an efficient experimental design for simulation metamodeling can be elusive, the MLMC-based approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Jingtao Zhang , Xi Chen

Stochastic gradient-based optimisation for discrete latent variable models is challenging due to the high variance of gradients. We introduce a variance reduction technique for score function estimators that makes use of double control…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-07 Michalis K. Titsias , Jiaxin Shi

A technique for reducing the number of integrals in a Monte Carlo calculation is introduced. For integrations relying on classical or mean-field trajectories with local weighting functions, it is possible to integrate analytically at least…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-17 Jarod Tall , Steven Tomsovic

Probabilistic inference algorithms such as Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) provide powerful tools for constraining procedural models in computer graphics, but they require many samples to produce desirable results. In this paper, we show how…

Graphics · Computer Science 2016-10-17 Daniel Ritchie , Anna Thomas , Pat Hanrahan , Noah D. Goodman

Zero-variance control variates (ZV-CV) are a post-processing method to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators of expectations using the derivatives of the log target. Once the derivatives are available, the only additional…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-17 Leah F. South , Chris J. Oates , Antonietta Mira , Christopher Drovandi

We propose to use deep neural networks for generating samples in Monte Carlo integration. Our work is based on non-linear independent components estimation (NICE), which we extend in numerous ways to improve performance and enable its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Thomas Müller , Brian McWilliams , Fabrice Rousselle , Markus Gross , Jan Novák

The precision of lattice QCD calculations is often hindered by the stochastic noise inherent in these methods. The control variates method can provide an effective noise reduction but are typically constructed using heuristic approaches,…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2025-01-27 Hyunwoo Oh

Some classical uncertainty quantification problems require the estimation of multiple expectations. Estimating all of them accurately is crucial and can have a major impact on the analysis to perform, and standard existing Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

Deep neural networks have achieved impressive results on a wide variety of tasks. However, quantifying uncertainty in the network's output is a challenging task. Bayesian models offer a mathematical framework to reason about model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Manikanta Srikar Yellapragada , Chandra Prakash Konkimalla

Adaptive Monte Carlo methods are very efficient techniques designed to tune simulation estimators on-line. In this work, we present an alternative to stochastic approximation to tune the optimal change of measure in the context of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-23 Benjamin Jourdain , Jérôme Lelong

The Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method has been applied successfully in a wide range of settings since its first introduction by Giles (2008). When using only two levels, the method can be viewed as a kind of control-variate approach to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-07 Yu Li , Antony Ware

Monte Carlo criticality simulations are widely used in nuclear safety demonstrations, as they offer an arbitrarily precise estimation of global and local tallies while making very few assumptions. However, since the inception of such…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-11 Kévin Fröhlicher , Eric Dumonteil , Loïc Thulliez , Julien Taforeau , Mariya Brovchenko

The recent growth in multi-fidelity uncertainty quantification has given rise to a large set of variance reduction techniques that leverage information from model ensembles to provide variance reduction for estimates of the statistics of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-11 Trung Pham , Alex A. Gorodetsky

Applications of neural networks to data analyses in natural sciences are complicated by the fact that many inputs are subject to systematic uncertainties. To control the dependence of the neural network function to variations of the input…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-25 Stefan Wunsch , Simon Jörger , Roger Wolf , Günter Quast
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