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Predicting Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) region is crucial for the effective management of its fragile ecosystems. This study provides a rigorous comparative analysis of several machine learning techniques to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-26 Dennis Quayesam , Jacob Akubire , Oliveira Darkwah

The troposphere is one of the atmospheric layers where most weather phenomena occur. Temperature variations in the troposphere, especially at 500 hPa, a typical level of the middle troposphere, are significant indicators of future weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Zhihao Chen , Jie Gao , Weikai Wang , Zheng Yan

Ocean dynamics are inherently chaotic, yet existing machine learning ocean models produce only deterministic forecasts. We introduce Njord, a probabilistic data-driven model for ocean forecasting, applicable to both global and regional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Daniel Holmberg , Joel Oskarsson , Erik Larsson , Fredrik Lindsten , Teemu Roos

Accurate ocean forecasting systems are essential for understanding marine dynamics, which play a crucial role in sectors such as shipping, aquaculture, environmental monitoring, and coastal risk management. Traditional numerical solvers,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-01 Daniel Holmberg , Emanuela Clementi , Italo Epicoco , Teemu Roos

``Online" data assimilation (DA) is used to generate a new seasonal-resolution reanalysis dataset over the last millennium by combining forecasts from an ocean--atmosphere--sea-ice coupled linear inverse model with climate proxy records.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-27 Zilu Meng , Gregory J. Hakim , Eric J. Steig

The forecast of tropical cyclone trajectories is crucial for the protection of people and property. Although forecast dynamical models can provide high-precision short-term forecasts, they are computationally demanding, and current…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-13 Sophie Giffard-Roisin , Mo Yang , Guillaume Charpiat , Christina Kumler-Bonfanti , Balázs Kégl , Claire Monteleoni

Recent years have seen a huge development in spatial modelling and prediction methodology, driven by the increased availability of remote-sensing data and the reduced cost of distributed-processing technology. It is well known that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-18 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Jonathan Rougier

Sea surface temperature (SST) is a fundamental determinant of global climate dynamics and economic activity. Reliable projections of future SST patterns depend critically on a rigorous characterization of the underlying spatial random…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Leonardo Marchesin , Alessandra Menafoglio , Piercesare Secchi

The sensitivity of the radiative flux at the top of the atmosphere to surface temperature perturbations cannot be directly observed. The relationship between sea surface temperature (SST) and top-of-atmosphere radiation can be estimated…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-22 Senne Van Loon , Maria Rugenstein , Elizabeth A. Barnes

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

Data-driven, deep-learning modeling frameworks have been recently developed for forecasting time series data. Such machine learning models may be useful in multiple domains including the atmospheric and oceanic ones, and in general, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Ellery Rajagopal , Anantha N. S. Babu , Tony Ryu , Patrick J. Haley , Chris Mirabito , Pierre F. J. Lermusiaux

Deep learning methods have surpassed the performance of traditional techniques on a wide range of problems in computer vision, but nearly all of this work has studied consumer photos, where precisely correct output is often not critical. It…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-07-24 Mingze Xu , Chenyou Fan , John D Paden , Geoffrey C Fox , David J Crandall

Modeling ocean surface waves under complex ocean current conditions is of crucial importance to many naval applications. For example, traveling ships and underwater vehicles generate spatially heterogeneous currents behind them through…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-02-15 Tianyi Li , Anqing Xuan , Lian Shen

Time series forecasting, which predicts future values from past observations, plays a central role in many domains and has driven the development of highly accurate neural network models. However, the complexity of these models often limits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Hiroki Tomioka , Genta Yoshimura

We present Surf-NeRF, a modified implementation of the recently introduced Shadow Neural Radiance Field (S-NeRF) model. This method is able to synthesize novel views from a sparse set of satellite images of a scene, while accounting for the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Federico Semeraro , Yi Zhang , Wenying Wu , Patrick Carroll

Satellite sea surface temperature (SST) products underpin global coral bleaching monitoring, yet they measure only the ocean skin. Corals inhabit depths from the shallows to beyond 20 metres, where temperatures can be 1-3{\deg}C cooler than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Alzayat Saleh , Mostafa Rahimi Azghadi

New data was obtained for a frequency band that had not been so well-studied for sea surface probing applications before. During the described 2-weeks sea experiment 1-3 kHz tonal pulses were emitted from a platform, located on the northern…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-05-31 Alexey V. Ermoshkin , Dmitry A. Kosteev , Alexander A. Ponomarenko , Dmitry D. Razumov , Mikhail B. Salin

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

Accurate, detailed, and regularly updated bathymetry, coupled with complex semantic content, is essential for under-mapped shallow-water environments facing increasing climatological and anthropogenic pressures. However, existing approaches…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Panagiotis Agrafiotis , Begüm Demir

Seasonal climate forecasts are socioeconomically important for managing the impacts of extreme weather events and for planning in sectors like agriculture and energy. Climate predictability on seasonal timescales is tied to boundary effects…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-14 Chenggong Wang , Michael S. Pritchard , Noah Brenowitz , Yair Cohen , Boris Bonev , Thorsten Kurth , Dale Durran , Jaideep Pathak