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A novel probabilistic numerical method for quantifying the uncertainty induced by the time integration of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) is introduced. Departing from the classical strategy to randomize ODE solvers by adding a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Assyr Abdulle , Giacomo Garegnani

Polynomial chaos based methods enable the efficient computation of output variability in the presence of input uncertainty in complex models. Consequently, they have been used extensively for propagating uncertainty through a wide variety…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-18 Tuhin Sahai

Increasingly larger data sets of processes in space and time ask for statistical models and methods that can cope with such data. We show that the solution of a stochastic advection-diffusion partial differential equation provides a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-18 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

In this paper, random and stochastic processes are defined on fractal curves. Fractal calculus is used to define cumulative distribution function, probability density function, moments, variance and correlation function of stochastic…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Alireza Khalili Golmankhaneh , Kerri Welch , Cristina Serpa , Ivanka Stamova

The Adomian decomposition method is a semi-analytical method for solving ordinary and partial nonlinear differential equations. The aim of this paper is to apply Adomian decomposition method to obtain approximate solutions of nonlinear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Iqra Javed , Ashfaq Ahmad , Muzammil Hussain , S. Iqbal

This paper reviews research that studies the principle of self-support (PSS) in some control systems and proposes a fractional-order generalized PSS framework for the first time. The existing PSS approach focuses on practical tracking…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-09-22 Hua Chen , YangQuan Chen

Numerical approximations of partial differential equations (PDEs) are routinely employed to formulate the solution of physics, engineering, and mathematical problems involving functions of several variables, such as the propagation of heat…

The optimal control of problems that are constrained by partial differential equations with uncertainties and with uncertain controls is addressed. The Lagrangian that defines the problem is postulated in terms of stochastic functions, with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-11-19 Eveline Rosseel , Garth N. Wells

A multifidelity method for the nonlinear propagation of uncertainties in the presence of stochastic accelerations is presented. The proposed algorithm treats the uncertainty propagation (UP) problem by separating the propagation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Alberto Fossà , Roberto Armellin , Emmanuel Delande , Francesco Sanfedino

Partial differential equations (PDEs) are used, with huge success, to model phenomena arising across all scientific and engineering disciplines. However, across an equally wide swath, there exist situations in which PDE models fail to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Marta D'Elia , Qiang Du , Christian Glusa , Max Gunzburger , Xiaochuan Tian , Zhi Zhou

Computer simulations of differential equations require a time discretization, which inhibits to identify the exact solution with certainty. Probabilistic simulations take this into account via uncertainty quantification. The construction of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Philipp Frank , Torsten A. Enßlin

Many practical scenarios make it necessary to evaluate top-k queries over data items with partially unknown values. This paper considers a setting where the values are taken from a numerical domain, and where some partial order constraints…

Databases · Computer Science 2019-08-28 Antoine Amarilli , Yael Amsterdamer , Tova Milo , Pierre Senellart

The following document presents some novel numerical methods valid for one and several variables, which using the fractional derivative, allow to find solutions for some non-linear systems in the complex space using real initial conditions.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-25 A. Torres-Hernandez , F. Brambila-Paz

In piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) the state of a finite-dimensional system evolves continuously, but the evolutive equation may change randomly as a result of discrete switches. A running cost is integrated along the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Elliot Cartee , Antonio Farah , April Nellis , Jacob van Hook , Alexander Vladimirsky

This work presents the concept of kernel mean embedding and kernel probabilistic programming in the context of stochastic systems. We propose formulations to represent, compare, and propagate uncertainties for fairly general stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-05 Jia-Jie Zhu , Krikamol Muandet , Moritz Diehl , Bernhard Schölkopf

An unsteady problem is considered for a space-fractional equation in a bounded domain. A first-order evolutionary equation involves a fractional power of an elliptic operator of second order. Finite element approximation in space is…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-05-09 Petr N. Vabishchevich

We propose a data-driven approach to quantify the uncertainty of models constructed by kernel methods. Our approach minimizes the needed distributional assumptions, hence, instead of working with, for example, Gaussian processes or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Krisztián Balázs Kis

Noise is ubiquitous in nature, so it is essential to characterize its effects. Considering a fluctuating Hamiltonian, we introduce an observable, the stochastic operator variance (SOV), which measures the spread of different stochastic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-26 Pablo Martinez-Azcona , Aritra Kundu , Adolfo del Campo , Aurelia Chenu

Understanding and accounting for uncertainty helps to ensure next-step tokamaks such as SPARC will robustly achieve their goals. While traditional Plasma OPerating CONtour (POPCON) analyses guide design, they often overlook the significant…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2025-06-12 A. Saltzman , P. Rodriguez-Fernandez , T. Body , A. Ho , N. T. Howard

We study the problem of nonparametric estimation of the fractional derivative of unknown spectral function of Gaussian stationary sequence (time series) and show that these problems is well posed with the classical speed of convergence when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-17 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota