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We introduce a computational framework to statistically infer thermophysical properties of any given wall from in-situ measurements of air temperature and surface heat fluxes. The proposed framework uses these measurements, within a…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-16 Lia De Simon , Marco Iglesias , Benjamin Jones , Christopher Wood

Bayesian inference allows the transparent communication of uncertainty in material flow analyses (MFAs), and a systematic update of uncertainty as new data become available. However, the method is undermined by the difficultly of defining…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-28 Jiayuan Dong , Jiankan Liao , Xun Huan , Daniel Cooper

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the process of systematically determining and characterizing the degree of confidence in computational model predictions. In the context of systems biology, especially with dynamic models, UQ is crucial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Alberto Portela , Julio R. Banga , Marcos Matabuena

Incoherence in the controlled Hamiltonian is an important limitation on the precision of coherent control in quantum information processing. Incoherence can typically be modelled as a distribution of unitary processes arising from slowly…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 N. Boulant , S. Furuta , J. Emerson , T. F. Havel , D. G. Cory

Owing to their periodic and intricate configurations, metamaterials engineered for acoustic and elastic wave control inevitably suffer from manufacturing anomalies and deviate from theoretical dispersion predictions. This work exploits the…

Applied Physics · Physics 2020-08-12 H. Al Ba'ba'a , S. Nandi , T. Singh , M. Nouh

First principles microphysics models are essential to the design and analysis of high energy density physics experiments. Using experimental data to investigate the underlying physics is also essential, particularly when simulations and…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2013-06-04 Jim A Gaffney , Dan Clark , Vijay Sonnad , Stephen B Libby

Uncertainty quantification approaches have been more critical in large language models (LLMs), particularly high-risk applications requiring reliable outputs. However, traditional methods for uncertainty quantification, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Ferhat Ozgur Catak , Murat Kuzlu

In this paper we focus on a type of inverse problem in which the data is expressed as an unknown function of the sought and unknown model function (or its discretised representation as a model parameter vector). In particular, we deal with…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-19 Dalia Chakrabarty , Prasenjit Saha

Determining process-structure-property linkages is one of the key objectives in material science, and uncertainty quantification plays a critical role in understanding both process-structure and structure-property linkages. In this work, we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-01-27 Anh Tran , Tim Wildey

In the Bayesian approach, the a priori knowledge about the input of a mathematical model is described via a probability measure. The joint distribution of the unknown input and the data is then conditioned, using Bayes' formula, giving rise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-15 Sebastian J. Vollmer

Motivated by the noisy and fluctuating behavior of current quantum computing devices, this paper presents a data-driven characterization approach for estimating transition frequencies and decay times in a Lindbladian dynamical model of a…

This paper addresses the problem of quantification and propagation of uncertainties associated with dependence modeling when data for characterizing probability models are limited. Practically, the system inputs are often assumed to be…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-14 Jiaxin Zhang , Michael D. Shields

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

Unnormalized (or energy-based) models provide a flexible framework for capturing the characteristics of data with complex dependency structures. However, the application of standard Bayesian inference methods has been severely limited…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Naruki Sonobe , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Daichi Mochihashi , Takeru Matsuda

Inverse problems play a key role in modern image/signal processing methods. However, since they are generally ill-conditioned or ill-posed due to lack of observations, their solutions may have significant intrinsic uncertainty. Analysing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-09 Xiaohao Cai , Marcelo Pereyra , Jason D. McEwen

In the present work, a rate-dependent cohesive zone model for the fracture of polymeric interfaces is presented. Inverse calibration of parameters for such complex models through trial and error is computationally tedious due to the large…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Ponkrshnan Thiagarajan , Trisha Sain , Susanta Ghosh

An uncertainty inequality is presented that establishes a lower limit for the product of the variance of the time-averaged intensity of a mode of a quantized electromagnetic field and the degree of its spatial localization. The lower limit…

We have previously reported a Bayesian algorithm for determining the coordinates of points in three-dimensional space from uncertain constraints. This method is useful in the determination of biological molecular structure. It is limited,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Russ B. Altman , Cheng C. Chen , William B. Poland , Jaswinder Pal Singh

This paper investigates system identification problems with Gaussian inputs and quantized observations under fixed thresholds. By reinterpreting the nonlinear effects induced by quantization as the product of the unknown parameter and an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Xingrui Liu , Ying Wang , Yanlong Zhao

Data-driven modeling of non-Markovian dynamics is a recent topic of research with applications in many fields such as climate research, molecular dynamics, biophysics, or wind power modeling. In the frequently used standard Langevin…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-07-22 Clemens Willers , Oliver Kamps