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Dynamical systems modeling, particularly via systems of ordinary differential equations, has been used to effectively capture the temporal behavior of different biochemical components in signal transduction networks. Despite the recent…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-06 Nathaniel J. Linden , Boris Kramer , Padmini Rangamani

We present a learning theory for the training of a linear system operator having an input compositional variable and propose a Bayesian inversion method for inferring the unknown variable from an output of a noisy linear system. We assume…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Se Un Park

Bayesian inference is often utilized for uncertainty quantification tasks. A recent analysis by Xu and Raginsky 2022 rigorously decomposed the predictive uncertainty in Bayesian inference into two uncertainties, called aleatoric and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-25 Futoshi Futami , Tomoharu Iwata

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in Earth system model parameterizations is essential to improving their reliability in decision-making. Forward uncertainty propagation is used to derive parameter sensitivity but requires physically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ethan YoungIn Shin , Baris Kale , Michael F. Howland

This article addresses the issue of estimating observation parameters (response and error parameters) in inverse problems. The focus is on cases where regularization is introduced in a Bayesian framework and the prior is modeled by a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Jean-François Giovannelli

Recent deep learning approaches focus on improving quantitative scores of dedicated benchmarks, and therefore only reduce the observation-related (aleatoric) uncertainty. However, the model-immanent (epistemic) uncertainty is less…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-25 Dominik Narnhofer , Alexander Effland , Erich Kobler , Kerstin Hammernik , Florian Knoll , Thomas Pock

The problem of the determination of the charge density from limited information about the charge form factor is an ill-posed inverse problem. A Bayesian probabilistic approach to this problem which permits to take into account both errors…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Mohammad-Djafari , H. G. Miller

Deep learning (DL) has shown great potential in medical image enhancement problems, such as super-resolution or image synthesis. However, to date, little consideration has been given to uncertainty quantification over the output image. Here…

We consider how to characterize the dynamics of a quantum system from a restricted set of initial states and measurements using Bayesian analysis. Previous work has shown that Hamiltonian systems can be well estimated from analysis of noisy…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-03-04 S. G. Schirmer , D. K. L. Oi

We consider the inverse problem of quantitative reconstruction of properties (e.g., bulk modulus, density) of visco-acoustic materials based on measurements of responding waves after stimulation of the medium. Numerical reconstruction is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Florian Faucher , Otmar Scherzer

We consider optimal design of infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by partial differential equations that contain secondary reducible model uncertainties, in addition to the uncertainty in the inversion parameters.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Alen Alexanderian , Noemi Petra , Georg Stadler , Isaac Sunseri

The use of high-dimensional regression techniques from machine learning has significantly improved the quantitative accuracy of interatomic potentials. Atomic simulations can now plausibly target quantitative predictions in a variety of…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-03-04 Danny Perez , Aparna P. A. Subramanyam , Ivan Maliyov , Thomas D. Swinburne

Uncertainty quantification in image retrieval is crucial for downstream decisions, yet it remains a challenging and largely unexplored problem. Current methods for estimating uncertainties are poorly calibrated, computationally expensive,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-20 Frederik Warburg , Martin Jørgensen , Javier Civera , Søren Hauberg

We present a Bayesian perspective on quantifying the uncertainty of graph signals estimated or reconstructed from imperfect observations. We show that many conventional methods of graph signal estimation, reconstruction and imputation, can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-22 Lennard Rompelberg , Michael T. Schaub

This study presents a Bayesian framework for (inverse) uncertainty quantification and parameter estimation in a two-step Chemical Vapor Deposition coating process using production data. We develop an XGBoost surrogate model that maps…

A common task in experimental sciences is to fit mathematical models to real-world measurements to improve understanding of natural phenomenon (reverse-engineering or inverse modeling). When complex dynamical systems are considered, such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-18 Jean-Charles Croix , Nicolas Durrande , Mauricio Alvarez

This paper considers uncertainty quantification in systems perturbed by stochastic disturbances, in particular, Gaussian white noise. The main focus of this work is on describing the time evolution of statistical moments of certain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-28 Anant A. Joshi , Kamesh Subbarao

A biosignal is a signal that can be continuously measured from human bodies, such as respiratory sounds, heart activity (ECG), brain waves (EEG), etc, based on which, machine learning models have been developed with very promising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Tong Xia , Jing Han , Cecilia Mascolo

We present an efficient approach to quantify the uncertainties associated with the numerical simulations of the laser-based powder bed fusion of metals processes. Our study focuses on a thermomechanical model of an Inconel 625 cantilever…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Mihaela Chiappetta , Chiara Piazzola , Lorenzo Tamellini , Alessandro Reali , Ferdinando Auricchio , Massimo Carraturo