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We consider the problem of the estimation of a high-dimensional probability distribution from i.i.d. samples of the distribution using model classes of functions in tree-based tensor formats, a particular case of tensor networks associated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-21 Erwan Grelier , Anthony Nouy , Régis Lebrun

Training reinforcement learning (RL) agents using scalar reward signals is often infeasible when an environment has sparse and non-Markovian rewards. Moreover, handcrafting these reward functions before training is prone to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Alessandro Abate , Yousif Almulla , James Fox , David Hyland , Michael Wooldridge

We consider hidden Markov models indexed by a binary tree where the hidden state space is a general metric space. We study the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters based only on the observed variables. In both…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-20 Julien Weibel

In the theoretical study of distributed communication networks, "history trees" are a discrete structure that naturally models the concept that anonymous agents become distinguishable upon receiving different sets of messages from…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Giovanni Viglietta

In this study, we address the interpretability issue in complex, black-box Machine Learning models applied to sequence data. We introduce the Model-Based tree Hidden Semi-Markov Model (MOB-HSMM), an inherently interpretable model aimed at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Chan Hsu , Wei-Chun Huang , Jun-Ting Wu , Chih-Yuan Li , Yihuang Kang

Existing methods for differentiable structure learning in discrete data typically assume that the data are generated from specific structural equation models. However, these assumptions may not align with the true data-generating process,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Chang Deng , Bryon Aragam

We address the issue of context tree estimation in variable length hidden Markov models. We propose an estimator of the context tree of the hidden Markov process which needs no prior upper bound on the depth of the context tree. We prove…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-09-15 Thierry Dumont

We consider the filtering of continuous-time finite-state hidden Markov models, where the rate and observation matrices depend on unknown time-dependent parameters, for which no prior or stochastic model is available. We quantify and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Andrew L. Allan

Decision trees built with data remain in widespread use for nonparametric prediction. Predicting probability distributions is preferred over point predictions when uncertainty plays a prominent role in analysis and decision-making. We study…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Sara Shashaani , Ozge Surer , Matthew Plumlee , Seth Guikema

The forgetting of the initial distribution for discrete Hidden Markov Models (HMM) is addressed: a new set of conditions is proposed, to establish the forgetting property of the filter, at a polynomial and geometric rate. Both a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-18 Randal Douc , Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret

We consider a hidden Markov model with multiple observation processes, one of which is chosen at each point in time by a policy---a deterministic function of the information state---and attempt to determine which policy minimises the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 James Y. Zhao

We consider a distributed learning setup where a network of agents sequentially access realizations of a set of random variables with unknown distributions. The network objective is to find a parametrized distribution that best describes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Angelia Nedić , Alex Olshevsky , César Uribe

A new language model for speech recognition inspired by linguistic analysis is presented. The model develops hidden hierarchical structure incrementally and uses it to extract meaningful information from the word history - thus enabling the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ciprian Chelba , Frederick Jelinek

Hidden Markov models have successfully been applied as models of discrete time series in many fields. Often, when applied in practice, the parameters of these models have to be estimated. The currently predominating identification methods,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-24 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Bo Wahlberg

Motivated by applications in movement ecology, in this paper I propose a new class of integrated continuous-time hidden Markov models in which each observation depends on the underlying state of the process over the whole interval since the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-01 Paul G Blackwell

We consider the task of learning mappings from sequential data to real-valued responses. We present and evaluate an approach to learning a type of hidden Markov model (HMM) for regression. The learning process involves inferring the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Keith Noto , Mark Craven

Markov networks are widely used in many Machine Learning applications including natural language processing, computer vision, and bioinformatics . Learning Markov networks have many complications ranging from intractable computations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Ahmed Abdelatty , Pracheta Sahoo , Chiradeep Roy

We present a long-term intrinsically motivated structure learning method for modeling transition dynamics during controlled interactions between a robot and semi-permanent structures in the world. In particular, we discuss how…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-07-18 Jay Ming Wong , Roderic A. Grupen

The purpose of this article is to show how the isotropy subgroup of leaf permutations on binary trees can be used to systematically identify tree-informative invariants relevant to models of phylogenetic evolution. In the quartet case, we…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-24 J G Sumner , P D Jarvis

Many data are naturally modeled by an unobserved hierarchical structure. In this paper we propose a flexible nonparametric prior over unknown data hierarchies. The approach uses nested stick-breaking processes to allow for trees of…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-08 Ryan Prescott Adams , Zoubin Ghahramani , Michael I. Jordan