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Brain connectivity analysis based on magnetic resonance imaging is crucial for understanding neurological mechanisms. However, edge-based connectivity inference faces significant challenges, particularly the curse of dimensionality when…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Zijing Li , Chenhao Zeng , Shufei Ge

It is important for a portfolio manager to estimate and analyze recent portfolio volatility to keep the portfolio's risk within limit. Though the number of financial instruments in the portfolio can be very large, sometimes more than…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-18 Sourish Das , Aritra Halder , Dipak K. Dey

Explainable AI (XAI) aims to provide interpretations for predictions made by learning machines, such as deep neural networks, in order to make the machines more transparent for the user and furthermore trustworthy also for applications in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-17 Kirill Bykov , Marina M. -C. Höhne , Klaus-Robert Müller , Shinichi Nakajima , Marius Kloft

Artificial intelligence (AI) has revolutionized decision-making processes and systems throughout society and, in particular, has emerged as a significant technology in high-impact scenarios of national interest. Yet, despite AI's impressive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-05 Gregory Canal , Vladimir Leung , Philip Sage , Eric Heim , I-Jeng Wang

We adapt split conformal prediction and adaptive conformal inference (ACI) to continuous AI agent evaluation, providing distribution-free coverage guarantees for forecasted quality scores. Conformal intervals achieve calibration error below…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Yuxuan Gao , Megan Wang , Yi Ling Yu

Quantification of cardiac motion with cine Cardiac Magnetic Resonance Imaging (CMRI) is an integral part of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) diagnosis. Yet, the expert evaluation of motion abnormalities with CMRI is a…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-27 Laura Alvarez-Florez , Jörg Sander , Mimount Bourfiss , Fleur V. Y. Tjong , Birgitta K. Velthuis , Ivana Išgum

This paper deals with nonlinear mechanics of an elevator brake system subjected to uncertainties. A deterministic model that relates the braking force with uncertain parameters is deduced from mechanical equilibrium conditions. In order to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Piotr Wolszczak , Pawel Lonkwic , Americo Cunha , Grzegorz Litak , Szymon Molski

Precision control of a quantum system requires accurate determination of the effective system Hamiltonian. We develop a method for estimating the Hamiltonian parameters for some unknown two-state system and providing uncertainty bounds on…

Robotic systems often use predictive uncertainty to decide whether to act autonomously or defer to a fallback policy. In threshold-gated autonomy, uncertainty matters mainly through its ability to rank likely errors. Standard metrics such…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Johannes A. Gaus , Jhon P. F. Charaja , Daniel Haeufle

This article discusses practical and theoretical aspects of real-time brain computer interface control methods based on Bayesian statistics. We investigate and improve the performance of automatic control and feedback algorithms of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-12 Pex Tufvesson , Frida Heskebeck

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Factor analysis is a flexible technique for assessment of multivariate dependence and codependence. Besides being an exploratory tool used to reduce the dimensionality of multivariate data, it allows estimation of common factors that often…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-19 Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , Afonso C. B. Silva

We introduce Bayesian QuickNAT for the automated quality control of whole-brain segmentation on MRI T1 scans. Next to the Bayesian fully convolutional neural network, we also present inherent measures of segmentation uncertainty that allow…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Abhijit Guha Roy , Sailesh Conjeti , Nassir Navab , Christian Wachinger

The control of neuronal networks, whether biological or neuromorphic, relies on tools for estimating parameters in the presence of model uncertainty. In this work, we explore the robustness of adaptive observers for neuronal estimation.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-11 Raphael Schmetterling , Thiago B. Burghi , Rodolphe Sepulchre

We give a rank characterization of the solution set of algebraic Riccati inequality (ARI) for both controllable and uncontrollable systems. Assuming an existence of a solution of the corresponding algebraic Riccati equation (ARE), we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-01 A. Sanand Amita Dilip , Harish K. Pillai

Deep learning models, including modern systems like large language models, are well known to offer unreliable estimates of the uncertainty of their decisions. In order to improve the quality of the confidence levels, also known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Jiayi Huang , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

Hypertension is a major risk factor for stroke, cardiovascular disease, and end-stage renal disease, and its prevalence is expected to rise dramatically. Effective hypertension management is thus critical. A particular priority is…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Ramin Mohammadi , Sarthak Jain , Stephen Agboola , Ramya Palacholla , Sagar Kamarthi , Byron C. Wallace

Ambulatory cardiovascular (CV) measurements provide valuable insights into individuals' health conditions in "real-life," everyday settings. Current methods of modeling ambulatory CV data do not consider the dynamic characteristics of the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-11 Zhao-Hua Lu , Sy-Miin Chow , Andrew Sherwood , Hongtu Zhu

Uncertainty in state or model parameters is common in robotics and typically handled by acquiring system measurements that yield information about the uncertain quantities of interest. Inputs to a nonlinear dynamical system yield outcomes…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-04 Parker Ewen , Gitesh Gunjal , Joey Wilson , Jinsun Liu , Challen Enninful Adu , Ram Vasudevan

Among the major factors controlling the cerebral blood flow (CBF) - cerebral perfusion pressure, arterial partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2), cerebral metabolism, arterial partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PaCO2), and cardiac output, the…

Medical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Gersten