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Large Bayesian vector autoregressions with various forms of stochastic volatility have become increasingly popular in empirical macroeconomics. One main difficulty for practitioners is to choose the most suitable stochastic volatility…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-30 Joshua C. C. Chan

Variable selection over a potentially large set of covariates in a linear model is quite popular. In the Bayesian context, common prior choices can lead to a posterior expectation of the regression coefficients that is a sparse (or nearly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Debamita Kundu , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Vector autogressions (VARs) are widely applied when it comes to modeling and forecasting macroeconomic variables. In high dimensions, however, they are prone to overfitting. Bayesian methods, more concretely shrinkage priors, have shown to…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-27 Luis Gruber , Gregor Kastner

In the past decade, many Bayesian shrinkage models have been developed for linear regression problems where the number of covariates, $p$, is large. Computing the intractable posterior are often done with three-block Gibbs samplers (3BG),…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-25 Rui Jin , Aixin Tan

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach for variable selection in high-dimensional and potentially sparse regression settings. Our method replaces the indicator variables in the traditional spike and slab prior with continuous,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Linduni M. Rodrigo , Robert Kohn , Hadi M. Afshar , Sally Cripps

When performing Bayesian data analysis using a general linear mixed model, the resulting posterior density is almost always analytically intractable. However, if proper conditionally conjugate priors are used, there is a simple two-block…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Tavis Abrahamsen , James P. Hobert

Time-varying parameter (TVP) regression models can involve a huge number of coefficients. Careful prior elicitation is required to yield sensible posterior and predictive inferences. In addition, the computational demands of Markov Chain…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-15 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Gary Koop

We propose a novel variational Bayes approach to estimate high-dimensional vector autoregression (VAR) models with hierarchical shrinkage priors. Our approach does not rely on a conventional structural VAR representation of the parameter…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-03 Mauro Bernardi , Daniele Bianchi , Nicolas Bianco

Isotonic regression or monotone function estimation is a problem of estimating function values under monotonicity constraints, which appears naturally in many scientific fields. This paper proposes a new Bayesian method with global-local…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-07 Ryo Okano , Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

In recent years, shrinkage priors have received much attention in high-dimensional data analysis from a Bayesian perspective. Compared with widely used spike-and-slab priors, shrinkage priors have better computational efficiency. But the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-16 Ruoyang Zhang , Malay Ghosh

Variable selection for structured covariates lying on an underlying known graph is a problem motivated by practical applications, and has been a topic of increasing interest. However, most of the existing methods may not be scalable to high…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-27 Changgee Chang , Suprateek Kundu , Qi Long

There are proposals that extend the classical generalized additive models (GAMs) to accommodate high-dimensional data ($p>>n$) using group sparse regularization. However, the sparse regularization may induce excess shrinkage when estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-07 Boyi Guo , Byron C. Jaeger , A. K. M. Fazlur Rahman , D. Leann Long , Nengjun Yi

Currently several Bayesian approaches are available to estimate large sparse precision matrices, including Bayesian graphical Lasso (Wang, 2012), Bayesian structure learning (Banerjee and Ghosal, 2015), and graphical horseshoe (Li et al.,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-27 Ruoyang Zhang , Yisha Yao , Malay Ghosh

We consider Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for Bayesian high-dimensional regression with continuous shrinkage priors. A common challenge with these algorithms is the choice of the number of iterations to perform. This is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-13 Niloy Biswas , Anirban Bhattacharya , Pierre E. Jacob , James E. Johndrow

In all areas of human knowledge, datasets are increasing in both size and complexity, creating the need for richer statistical models. This trend is also true for economic data, where high-dimensional and nonlinear/nonparametric inference…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-23 Dimitris Korobilis , Kenichi Shimizu

Variable selection in the linear regression model takes many apparent faces from both frequentist and Bayesian standpoints. In this paper we introduce a variable selection method referred to as a rescaled spike and slab model. We study the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hemant Ishwaran , J. Sunil Rao

Rescaled spike and slab models are a new Bayesian variable selection method for linear regression models. In high dimensional orthogonal settings such models have been shown to possess optimal model selection properties. We review…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Hemant Ishwaran , Ariadni Papana

In this paper, we consider Bayesian variable selection problem of linear regression model with global-local shrinkage priors on the regression coefficients. We propose a variable selection procedure that select a variable if the ratio of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-26 Xueying Tang , Xiaofan Xu , Malay Ghosh , Prasenjit Ghosh

High-dimensional spatially correlated covariates are common in regression models encountered in environmental sciences and other fields. In such models, the regression coefficients often exhibit a sparse structure with spatial dependence.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Zihan Zhu , Xueying Tang , Shuang Zhou

Due to developments in instruments and computers, functional observations are increasingly popular. However, effective methodologies for flexibly estimating the underlying trends with valid uncertainty quantification for a sequence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-22 Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa