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We derive a new Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) by formulating the problem of estimating the number of clusters in an observed data set as maximization of the posterior probability of the candidate models. Given that some mild…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Freweyni K. Teklehaymanot , Michael Muma , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

Occupancy models are typically used to determine the probability of a species being present at a given site while accounting for imperfect detection. The survey data underlying these models often include information on several predictors…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-09 Daniel Taylor-Rodriguez , Andrew Womack , Claudio Fuentes , Nikolay Bliznyuk

The Fisher information approximation (FIA) is an implementation of the minimum description length principle for model selection. Unlike information criteria such as AIC or BIC, it has the advantage of taking the functional form of a model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Daniel W. Heck , Morten Moshagen , Edgar Erdfelder

Unmeasured covariates constitute one of the important problems in causal inference. Even if there are some unmeasured covariates, some instrumental variable methods such as a two-stage residual inclusion (2SRI) estimator, or a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Shunichiro Orihara

Vector autoregressive (VAR) processes are ubiquitously used in economics, finance, and biology. Order selection is an essential step in fitting VAR models. While many order selection methods exist, all come with weaknesses. Order selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Michael Hellstern , Ali Shojaie

Robust model-fitting to spectroscopic transitions is a requirement across many fields of science. The corrected Akaike and Bayesian information criteria (AICc and BIC) are most frequently used to select the optimal number of fitting…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-25 John K. Webb , Chung-Chi Lee , Robert F. Carswell , Dinko Milaković

Regularized models have been applied in lots of areas, with high-dimensional data sets being popular. Because tuning parameter decides the theoretical performance and computational efficiency of the regularized models, tuning parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Pan Shang , Lingchen Kong , Yiting Ma

In the realm of the model selection context, Akaike's and Schwarz's information criteria, AIC and BIC, have been applied successfully for decades for model order identification. The Efficient Determination Criterion (EDC) is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Paulo Angelo Alves Resende , Chang Chung Yu Dorea

In the information-based paradigm of inference, model selection is performed by selecting the candidate model with the best estimated predictive performance. The success of this approach depends on the accuracy of the estimate of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-11 Colin H. LaMont , Paul A. Wiggins

We present a model selection framework for the extraction of the CKM matrix element $|V_{cb}|$ from exclusive $B \to D^* l \nu$ decays. By framing the truncation of the Boyd-Grinstein-Lebed (BGL) parameterization as a model selection task,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-12-11 Eric Persson , Florian Bernlochner

The widely applicable Bayesian information criterion (WBIC) is a simple and fast approximation to the model evidence that has received little practical consideration. WBIC uses the fact that the log evidence can be written as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-29 N. Friel , J. P. McKeone , C. J. Oates , A. N. Pettitt

The Akaike information criterion (AIC) is a model selection criterion widely used in practical applications. The AIC is an estimator of the log-likelihood expected value, and measures the discrepancy between the true model and the estimated…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-03 Fábio M. Bayer , Francisco Cribari-Neto

A bias correction to Akaike's information criterion (AIC) is derived for seemingly unrelated regressions models. The correction is of particular use when the sample size is not much larger than the number of fitted parameters. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-05 J. L. van Velsen

In a Gaussian graphical model, the conditional independence between two variables are characterized by the corresponding zero entries in the inverse covariance matrix. Maximum likelihood method using the smoothly clipped absolute deviation…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-07 Xin Gao , Daniel Q. Pu , Yuehua Wu , Hong Xu

The Bayesian information criterion (BIC), defined as the observed data log likelihood minus a penalty term based on the sample size $N$, is a popular model selection criterion for factor analysis with complete data. This definition has also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-21 Jianhua Zhao , Changchun Shang , Shulan Li , Ling Xin , Philip L. H. Yu

This paper considers the problem of approximating a density when it can be evaluated up to a normalizing constant at a limited number of points. We call this problem the Boltzmann approximation (BA) problem. The BA problem is ubiquitous in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-08 Youngjun Choe , Yen-Chi Chen , Nick Terry

Model selection aims to identify a sufficiently well performing model that is possibly simpler than the most complex model among a pool of candidates. However, the decision-making process itself can inadvertently introduce non-negligible…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-08 Yann McLatchie , Aki Vehtari

Model selection is indispensable to high-dimensional sparse modeling in selecting the best set of covariates among a sequence of candidate models. Most existing work assumes implicitly that the model is correctly specified or of fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Pallavi Basu , Yang Feng , Jinchi Lv

Bayesian model averaging is a practical method for dealing with uncertainty due to model specification. Use of this technique requires the estimation of model probability weights. In this work, we revisit the derivation of estimators for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-05 Ethan T. Neil , Jacob W. Sitison

Performing model selection between Gibbs random fields is a very challenging task. Indeed, due to the Markovian dependence structure, the normalizing constant of the fields cannot be computed using standard analytical or numerical methods.…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-04 Julien Stoehr , Jean-Michel Marin , Pierre Pudlo