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The Madden--Julian Oscillation (MJO) is an influential climate phenomenon that plays a vital role in modulating global weather patterns. In spite of the improvement in MJO predictions made by machine learning algorithms, such as neural…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-23 Haoyuan Chen , Emil Constantinescu , Vishwas Rao , Cristiana Stan

Motivated by the Internet-of-things and sensor networks for cyberphysical systems, the problem of dynamic sensor activation for the centralized tracking of an i.i.d. time-varying process is examined. The tradeoff is between energy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Arpan Chattopadhyay , Urbashi Mitra

Statistical inference for time series such as curve estimation for time-varying models or testing for existence of change-point have garnered significant attention. However, these works are generally restricted to the assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

Many records in environmental sciences exhibit asymmetric trajectories and there is a need for simple and tractable models which can reproduce such features. In this paper we explore an approach based on applying both a time change and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-09 Pierre Ailliot , Bernard Delyon , Valérie Monbet , Marc Prevosto

Modeling buildings' heat dynamics is a complex process which depends on various factors including weather, building thermal capacity, insulation preservation, and residents' behavior. Gray-box models offer a causal inference of those…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Nilavra Pathak , James Foulds , Nirmalya Roy , Nilanjan Banerjee , Ryan Robucci

Earth observation (EO) by airborne and satellite remote sensing and in-situ observations play a fundamental role in monitoring our planet. In the last decade, machine learning and Gaussian processes (GPs) in particular has attained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Gustau Camps-Valls , Dino Sejdinovic , Jakob Runge , Markus Reichstein

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a class of Kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience and remote sensing applications for parameter retrieval, model inversion, and emulation. They are widely used because they are simple,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-21 J. Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

Ice cores provide insight into the past climate over many millennia. Due to ice compaction, the raw data for any single core are irregular in time. Multiple cores have different irregularities; jointly these series are misaligned. After…

Applications · Statistics 2014-09-23 Thinh K. Doan , Andrew C. Parnell , John Haslett

Accurate and reliable data stream plays an important role in air quality assessment. Air pollution data collected from monitoring networks, however, could be biased due to instrumental error or other interventions, which covers up the real…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-15 Yaqiong Wang , Minya Xu , Hui Huang , Songxi Chen

We consider the statistical nonlinear inverse problem of recovering the absorption term $f>0$ in the heat equation $$ \partial_tu-\frac{1}{2}\Delta u+fu=0 \quad \text{on $\mathcal{O}\times(0,\textbf{T})$}\quad u = g \quad \text{on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Hanne Kekkonen

Information theory is an excellent framework for analyzing Earth system data because it allows us to characterize uncertainty and redundancy, and is universally interpretable. However, accurately estimating information content is…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-30 J. Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Maria Piles , Gustau Camps-Valls

High resolution information on climatic conditions is essential to many applications in environmental and ecological sciences. Here we present the CHELSA Climatologies at high resolution for the earths land surface areas data of downscaled…

Hydroclimatic processes are characterized by heterogeneous spatiotemporal correlation structures and marginal distributions that can be continuous, mixed-type, discrete or even binary. Simulating exactly such processes can greatly improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-24 Simon Michael Papalexiou

We introduce a multivariate hidden Markov model to jointly cluster time-series observations with different support, i.e. circular and linear. Relying on the general projected normal distribution, our approach allows for bimodal and/or…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-27 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Antonello Maruotti , Giovanna Jona Lasinio

The optimal management of a building's microclimate to satisfy the occupants' needs and objectives in terms of comfort, energy efficiency, and costs is particularly challenging. This complexity arises from the non-linear, time-dependent…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Javier Penuela , Sahar Moghimian Hoosh , Ilia Kamyshev , Aldo Bischi , Henni Ouerdane

Observational data is often readily available in large quantities, but can lead to biased causal effect estimates due to the presence of unobserved confounding. Recent works attempt to remove this bias by supplementing observational data…

Understanding the causal interaction of time series variables can contribute to time series data analysis for many real-world applications, such as climate forecasting and extreme weather alerts. However, causal relationships are difficult…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Dongqi Fu , Yada Zhu , Hanghang Tong , Kommy Weldemariam , Onkar Bhardwaj , Jingrui He

Sensor data has been playing an important role in machine learning tasks, complementary to the human-annotated data that is usually rather costly. However, due to systematic or accidental mis-operations, sensor data comes very often with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Jingguang Zhou , Zili Huang

Mechanistic simulation models are inverted against observations in order to gain inference on modeled processes. However, with the increasing ability to collect high resolution observations, these observations represent more patterns of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-20 Thomas Wutzler

Extreme events are the major weather-related hazard for humanity. It is then of crucial importance to have a good understanding of their statistics and to be able to forecast them. However, lack of sufficient data makes their study…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-13 Valeria Mascolo , Alessandro Lovo , Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet