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Motivated by the increasing abundance of data describing real-world networks that exhibit dynamical features, we propose an extension of the Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) that accommodates the time variation of its parameters.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Domenico Di Gangi , Giacomo Bormetti , Fabrizio Lillo

We study time uncertainty-aware modeling of continuous-time dynamics of interacting objects. We introduce a new model that decomposes independent dynamics of single objects accurately from their interactions. By employing latent Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Çağatay Yıldız , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch

Directed networks are conveniently represented as graphs in which ordered edges encode interactions between vertices. Despite their wide availability, there is a shortage of statistical models amenable for inference, specially when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Stefan Stein , Chenlei Leng

We discuss Bayesian forecasting of increasingly high-dimensional time series, a key area of application of stochastic dynamic models in the financial industry and allied areas of business. Novel state-space models characterizing sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Zoey Yi Zhao , Meng Xie , Mike West

Modeling heterogeneous correlated time series requires the ability to learn hidden dynamic relationships between component time series with possibly varying periodicities and generative processes. To address this challenge, we formulate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Jeshwanth Mohan , Bharath Ramsundar , Sandya Subramanian

We propose a covariate-dependent discrete graphical model for capturing dynamic networks among discrete random variables, allowing the dependence structure among vertices to vary with covariates. This discrete dynamic network encompasses…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Lyndsay Roach , Qiong Li , Nanwei Wang , Xin Gao

We consider the problem of tracking the minimum of a time-varying convex optimization problem over a dynamic graph. Motivated by target tracking and parameter estimation problems in intermittently connected robotic and sensor networks, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-20 Rishabh Dixit , Amrit Singh Bedi , Ketan Rajawat

Gaussian graphical models are used for determining conditional relationships between variables. This is accomplished by identifying off-diagonal elements in the inverse-covariance matrix that are non-zero. When the ratio of variables (p) to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-07 Donald R. Williams , Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari , Philippe Rast

This paper studies the unsupervised change point detection problem in time series of networks using the Separable Temporal Exponential-family Random Graph Model (STERGM). Inherently, dynamic network patterns are complex due to dyadic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yik Lun Kei , Hangjian Li , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Bayesian graphical models are powerful tools to infer complex relationships in high dimension, yet are often fraught with computational and statistical challenges. If exploited in a principled way, the increasing information collected…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-15 Xiaoyue Xi , Hélène Ruffieux

The time-evolving precision matrix of a piecewise-constant Gaussian graphical model encodes the dynamic conditional dependency structure of a multivariate time-series. Traditionally, graphical models are estimated under the assumption that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-01 Alexander J. Gibberd , James D. B. Nelson

Uniform sampling from graphical realizations of a given degree sequence is a fundamental component in simulation-based measurements of network observables, with applications ranging from epidemics, through social networks to Internet…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-04-14 Charo I. Del Genio , Hyunju Kim , Zoltan Toroczkai , Kevin E. Bassler

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are popularly adopted for modelling high-dimensional time series, and their piecewise extensions allow for structural changes in the data. In VAR modelling, the number of parameters grow quadratically with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to represent correlations among entities but remain vulnerable to data corruption. In this work, we introduce a modified trimmed-inner-product algorithm to robustly estimate the covariance in an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Tong Yao , Shreyas Sundaram

As a special infinite-order vector autoregressive (VAR) model, the vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) model can capture much richer temporal patterns than the widely used finite-order VAR model. However, its practicality has long…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Yao Zheng

This paper presents a new variable selection approach integrated with Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider a sparse projection of input variables and a general stationary covariance model that depends on the Euclidean distance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter

Modeling dependence in high dimensional systems has become an increasingly important topic. Most approaches rely on the assumption of a multivariate Gaussian distribution such as statistical models on directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). They…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-01 Dominik Müller , Claudia Czado

We consider the problem of inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of a high-dimensional stationary multivariate Gaussian time series. A sparse-group lasso based frequency-domain formulation of the problem has been considered in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-02 Jitendra K Tugnait

The assumption of a static environment is common in many geometric computer vision tasks like SLAM but limits their applicability in highly dynamic scenes. Since these tasks rely on identifying point correspondences between input images…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Theresa Huber , Simon Schaefer , Stefan Leutenegger

Temporal graphs represent graph evolution over time, and have been receiving considerable research attention. Work on expressing temporal graph patterns or discovering temporal motifs typically assumes relatively simple temporal…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Amir Pouya Aghasadeghi , Jan Van den Bussche , Julia Stoyanovich
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