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Less than 10 meters deep, shallow landslides are rapidly moving and strongly dangerous slides. In the present work, the probabilistic distribution of the landslide detachment points within a valley is modelled as a spatial Poisson point…

Riverine flooding poses significant risks. Developing strategies to manage flood risks requires flood projections with decision-relevant scales and well-characterized uncertainties, often at high spatial resolutions. However, calibrating…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Samantha Roth , Sanjib Sharma , Atieh Alipour , Klaus Keller , Murali Haran

This paper introduces a novel generative model for discrete distributions based on continuous normalizing flows on the submanifold of factorizing discrete measures. Integration of the flow gradually assigns categories and avoids issues of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Bastian Boll , Daniel Gonzalez-Alvarado , Christoph Schnörr

Atmospheric models used for weather and climate prediction are traditionally formulated in a deterministic manner. In other words, given a particular state of the resolved scale variables, the most likely forcing from the sub-grid scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Hannah M. Christensen , Salah Kouhen , Greta Miller , Raghul Parthipan

Flexible spatial models that allow transitions between tail dependence classes have recently appeared in the literature. However, inference for these models is computationally prohibitive, even in moderate dimensions, due to the necessity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Likun Zhang , Benjamin A. Shaby , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Climate change exacerbates riverine floods, which occur with higher frequency and intensity than ever. The much-needed forecasting systems typically rely on accurate river discharge predictions. To this end, the SOTA data-driven approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Nikolas Kirschstein , Yixuan Sun

To track rapid changes within our water sector, Global Water Models (GWMs) need to realistically represent hydrologic systems' response patterns - such as baseflow fraction - but are hindered by their limited ability to learn from data.…

We present a novel method of stacking decision trees by projection into an ordered time split out-of-fold (OOF) one nearest neighbor (1NN) space. The predictions of these one nearest neighbors are combined through a linear model. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Michael Kim

We treat projective dependency trees as latent variables in our probabilistic model and induce them in such a way as to be beneficial for a downstream task, without relying on any direct tree supervision. Our approach relies on Gumbel…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Caio Corro , Ivan Titov

Markov networks are frequently used in sciences to represent conditional independence relationships underlying observed variables arising from a complex system. It is often of interest to understand how an underlying network differs between…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-26 Byol Kim , Song Liu , Mladen Kolar

Accurate and robust recognition and prediction of traffic situation plays an important role in autonomous driving, which is a prerequisite for risk assessment and effective decision making. Although there exist a lot of works dealing with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Climate change results in an increased probability of extreme weather events that put societies and businesses at risk on a global scale. Therefore, near real-time mapping of natural hazards is an emerging priority for the support of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Johannes Jakubik , Michal Muszynski , Michael Vössing , Niklas Kühl , Thomas Brunschwiler

Determining the optimal model for a given task often requires training multiple models from scratch, which becomes impractical as dataset and model sizes grow. A more efficient alternative is to expand smaller pre-trained models, but this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Pranshu Malviya , Jerry Huang , Aristide Baratin , Quentin Fournier , Sarath Chandar

Given the necessity of connecting the unconnected, covering blind spots has emerged as a critical task in the next-generation wireless communication network. A direct solution involves obtaining a coverage manifold that visually showcases…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Ruibo Wang , Washim Uddin Mondal , Mustafa A. Kishk , Vaneet Aggarwal , Mohamed-Slim Alouini

Accurate short-term streamflow and flood forecasting are critical for mitigating river flood impacts, especially given the increasing climate variability. Machine learning-based streamflow forecasting relies on large streamflow datasets…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Xiyu Pan , Neda Mohammadi , John E. Taylor

The graph-based variational autoencoder represents an architecture that can handle the uncertainty of different geological scenarios, such as depositional or structural, through the concept of a lowerdimensional latent space. The main…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-15 Gleb Shishaev , Vasily Demyanov , Daniel Arnold

This paper analyzes the convergence and generalization of training a one-hidden-layer neural network when the input features follow the Gaussian mixture model consisting of a finite number of Gaussian distributions. Assuming the labels are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Hongkang Li , Shuai Zhang , Meng Wang

Trajectory prediction plays a vital role in automotive radar systems, facilitating precise tracking and decision-making in autonomous driving. Generative adversarial networks with the ability to learn a distribution over future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Peiyuan Zhu , Fengxia Han , Hao Deng

We propose a pipeline for combined multi-class object geolocation and height estimation from street level RGB imagery, which is considered as a single available input data modality. Our solution is formulated via Markov Random Field…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Matej Ulicny , Vladimir A. Krylov , Julie Connelly , Rozenn Dahyot

Probability estimation is one of the fundamental tasks in statistics and machine learning. However, standard methods for probability estimation on discrete objects do not handle object structure in a satisfactory manner. In this paper, we…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-06 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen
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