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We investigate the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions of regression coefficients in high-dimensional linear models as the number of dimensions grows with the number of observations. We show that the posterior distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-06 Artin Armagan , David B. Dunson , Jaeyong Lee , Waheed U. Bajwa , Nate Strawn

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a powerful machine learning method which has recently enjoyed wider use, in particular in physical sciences. In its original formulation, GPR uses a square matrix of covariances among training data and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-08 Sergei Manzhos , Manabu Ihara

This paper deals with the speed of convergence of the learning curve in a Gaussian process regression framework. The learning curve describes the average generalization error of the Gaussian process used for the regression. More…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-14 Loic Le Gratiet , Josselin Garnier

Bayesian model updating based on Gaussian Process (GP) models has received attention in recent years, which incorporates kernel-based GPs to provide enhanced fidelity response predictions. Although most kernel functions provide high fitting…

Gaussian processes regression models are an appealing machine learning method as they learn expressive non-linear models from exemplar data with minimal parameter tuning and estimate both the mean and covariance of unseen points. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Vladimir Joukov , Dana Kulić

We consider a prior for nonparametric Bayesian estimation which uses finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

Probabilistic machine learning models are distinguished by their ability to integrate prior knowledge of noise statistics, smoothness parameters, and training data uncertainty. A common approach involves modeling data with Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-31 Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Ahmad Farooq , Simo Särkkä

A simple, flexible approach to creating expressive priors in Gaussian process (GP) models makes new kernels from a combination of basic kernels, e.g. summing a periodic and linear kernel can capture seasonal variation with a long term…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-01 Tim Pearce , Russell Tsuchida , Mohamed Zaki , Alexandra Brintrup , Andy Neely

We study the rate of convergence of posterior distributions in density estimation problems for log-densities in periodic Sobolev classes characterized by a smoothness parameter p. The posterior expected density provides a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Catia Scricciolo

We implemented a geometry optimizer based on Gaussian process regression (GPR) to find minimum structures on potential energy surfaces. We tested both a two times differentiable form of the Mat\'{e}rn kernel and the squared exponential…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-09-15 Alexander Denzel , Johannes Kästner

This paper conducts a comprehensive study of the learning curves of kernel ridge regression (KRR) under minimal assumptions. Our contributions are three-fold: 1) we analyze the role of key properties of the kernel, such as its spectral…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Tin Sum Cheng , Aurelien Lucchi , Anastasis Kratsios , David Belius

Akemann, Ipsen and Kieburg recently showed that the squared singular values of products of M rectangular random matrices with independent complex Gaussian entries are distributed according to a determinantal point process with a correlation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-16 Arno B. J. Kuijlaars , Lun Zhang

We offer a general Bayes theoretic framework to derive posterior contraction rates under a hierarchical prior design: the first-step prior serves to assess the model selection uncertainty, and the second-step prior quantifies the prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-12 Qiyang Han

We study the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions. We present general posterior convergence rate theorems, which extend several results on posterior convergence rates provided by Ghosal and Van der Vaart (2000), Shen and Wasserman…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-18 Yang Xing

Prior distributions for high-dimensional linear regression require specifying a joint distribution for the unobserved regression coefficients, which is inherently difficult. We instead propose a new class of shrinkage priors for linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-09 Yan Dora Zhang , Brian P. Naughton , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

We show that the Riemannian Gaussian distributions on symmetric spaces, introduced in recent years, are of standard random matrix type. We exploit this to compute analytically marginals of the probability density functions. This can be done…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-10-29 Leonardo Santilli , Miguel Tierz

We investigate iterated compositions of weighted sums of Gaussian kernels and provide an interpretation of the construction that shows some similarities with the architectures of deep neural networks. On the theoretical side, we show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-05 Ingo Steinwart , Philipp Thomann , Nico Schmid

Deep Gaussian Process (DGP) as a model prior in Bayesian learning intuitively exploits the expressive power in function composition. DGPs also offer diverse modeling capabilities, but inference is challenging because marginalization in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Chi-Ken Lu , Patrick Shafto

We present a new smooth, Gaussian-like kernel that allows the kernel density estimate for an angular distribution to be exactly represented by a finite number of its Fourier series coefficients. Distributions of angular quantities, such as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-06-10 Michael T. McCann , Matthew Fickus , Jelena Kovacevic

We show that Gaussian process regression (GPR) allows representing multivariate functions with low-dimensional terms via kernel design. When using a kernel built with HDMR (High-dimensional model representation), one obtains a similar type…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Eita Sasaki , Manabu Ihara , Sergei Manzhos