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Based on a theoretical model for opinion spreading on a network, through avalanches, the effect of external field is now considered, by using methods from non-equilibrium statistical mechanics. The original part contains the implementation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-20 Marcel Ausloos , Filippo Petroni

Investment in measuring a process more completely or accurately is only useful if these improvements can be utilised during modelling and inference. We consider how improvements to data quality over time can be incorporated when selecting a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Zak Varty , Jonathan A. Tawn , Peter M. Atkinson , Stijn Bierman

The frequency and magnitude of weather extreme events have increased significantly during the past few years in response to anthropogenic climate change. However, global statistical characteristics and underlying physical mechanisms are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Qing Yao , Jingfang Fan , Jun Meng , Valerio Lucarini , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen , Kim Christensen , Xiaosong Chen

We use a discrete-time formulation to study the asymmetric avalanche process [Phys. Rev. Lett. vol. 87, 084301 (2001)] on a finite ring and obtain an exact expression for the average avalanche size of particles as a function of toppling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 A. M. Povolotsky , V. B. Priezzhev , Chin-Kun Hu

The emergence of a power-law distribution for the energy released during an earthquake is investigated in several models. Generic features are identified which are based on the self-affine behavior of the stress field prior to an event.…

We introduce a simple model for the size distribution of avalanches based on the idea that the front of an avalanche can be described by a directed random walk. The model captures some of the qualitative features of earthquakes, avalanches…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 T. Jonsson , J. F. Wheater

We perform large scale simulations of a two dimensional lattice model for amorphous plasticity with random local yield stresses and long-range quadrupolar elastic interactions. We show that as the external stress increases towards the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-12-12 Zoe Budrikis , Stefano Zapperi

We study the role of record statistics of damage avalanches in predicting the fracture of a heterogeneous material under tensile loading. The material is modeled using a two-dimensional random spring network where disorder is introduced…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-05 Subrat Senapati , Subhadeep Roy , Anuradha Banerjee , R. Rajesh

Motivated by the fact that empirical time series of earthquakes exhibit long-range correlations in space and time and the Gutenberg-Richter distribution of magnitudes, we propose a simple fault model that can account for these types of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Marco Baiesi

An improved version of the Olami-Feder-Christensen model has been introduced to consider avalanche size differences. Our model well demonstrates the power-law behavior and finite size scaling of avalanche size distribution in any range of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-20 Gui-Qing Zhang , Ugur Tirnakli , Lin Wang , Tian-Lun Chen

Prediction of an imminent catastrophic event in a driven disordered system is of paramount importance - from the laboratory scale controlled fracture experiment to the largest scale of mechanical failure i.e., earthquakes. It has been long…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-19 Diksha , Sumanta Kundu , Bikas K. Chakrabarti , Soumyajyoti Biswas

We consider the Bak-Tang-Wiesenfeld (BTW) and the Manna sandpile models of self-organized criticality. In the models, previous studies revealed a signature of long-range temporal correlations in the avalanche activity. We examine the power…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-30 Rahul Chhimpa , Avinash Chand Yadav

In order to clarify how the statistical properties of earthquakes depend on the constitutive law characterizing the stick-slip dynamics, we make an extensive numerical simulation of the one-dimensional spring-block model with the rate- and…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Akio Ohmura , Hikaru Kawamura

It was conjectured for a long time that the tectonic plates are in a self-organized state of criticality and that the Gutenberg-Richter law is a manifestation of that. It was recently shown that for a system near criticality, the inequality…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-12 Sudip Sarkar , Soumyajyoti Biswas

We analyze the statistics of water droplet avalanches in a continuously driven system. Distributions are obtained for avalanche size, lifetime, and time between successive avalanches, along with power spectra and return maps. For low flow…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-08-31 Britton Plourde , Franco Nori , Michael Bretz

Physical systems characterized by stick-slip dynamics often display avalanches. Regardless of the diversity of their microscopic structure, these systems are governed by a power-law distribution of avalanche size and duration. Here we focus…

We consider the Olami-Feder-Christensen (OFC) model on a square two-dimensional lattice with open boundary conditions. The model exhibits self-organized criticality and explains the Gutenberg-Richter law observed for earthquakes. A…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-26 Naveen Kumar , Rahul Chhimpa , Avinash Chand Yadav

Avalanche dynamics and related power law statistics are ubiquitous in nature, arising in phenomena like earthquakes, forest fires and solar flares. Very interestingly, an analogous behavior is associated with many condensed matter systems,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-02-09 Benedetta Cerruti , Eduard Vives

We propose a new version of the ETAS model, which we also analyze theoretically. As for the standard ETAS model, we assume the Gutenberg-Richter law as a probability density function for background events' magnitude. Instead, the magnitude…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-23 Ilaria Spassiani , Giovanni Sebastiani

A statistical model for describing the scaling of the distribution of inter-event times is described. By considering the diverse region seismicity (natural and induced) at different scale levels the self-similarity of the distribution has…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 V. German