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We present a bivariate vector valued discrete autoregressive model of order $1$ (BDAR($1$)) for discrete time series. The BDAR($1$) model assumes that each time series follows its own univariate DAR($1$) model with dependent random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Anna Nalpantidi , Dimitris Karlis

Identifying the topology underlying a set of time series is useful for tasks such as prediction, denoising, and data completion. Vector autoregressive (VAR) model-based topologies capture dependencies among time series and are often…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-30 Bakht Zaman , Luis Miguel Lopez Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models are important tools for the analysis of multivariate time series. This paper focuses on high-dimensional time series and on the different regularized estimation procedures proposed for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model has been used to describe the dependence within and across multiple time series. This is a model for stationary time series which can be extended to allow the presence of a deterministic trend in each…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Xixi Li , Jingsong Yuan

This paper proposes a class of parametric multiple-index time series models that involve linear combinations of time trends, stationary variables and unit root processes as regressors. The inclusion of the three different types of time…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-04 Chaohua Dong , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Yundong Tu

In this work we present a method for the statistical analysis of continually monitored data arising in a recurrent diseases problem. The model enables individual level inference in the presence of time transience and population…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-19 Madhuchhanda Bhattacharjee , Elja Arjas

Chronic diseases such as diabetes pose significant management challenges, particularly due to the risk of complications like hypoglycemia, which require timely detection and intervention. Continuous health monitoring through wearable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Vaibhav Gupta , Florian Grensing , Beyza Cinar , Maria Maleshkova

Interaction within small groups can often be represented as a sequence of events, where each event involves a sender and a recipient. Recent methods for modeling network data in continuous time model the rate at which individuals interact…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-01 Christopher DuBois , Carter T. Butts , Daniel McFarland , Padhraic Smyth

Increased use of sensor signals from wearable devices as rich sources of physiological data has sparked growing interest in developing health monitoring systems to identify changes in an individual's health profile. Indeed, machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Magda Amiridi , Gregory Darnell , Sean Jewell

The main goal of this work is to present a new model able to deal with potentially misreported continuous time series. The proposed model is able to handle the autocorrelation structure in continuous time series data, which might be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-18 David Moriña , Amanda Fernández-Fontelo , Alejandra Cabaña , Pedro Puig

Medical time series are often irregular and face significant missingness, posing challenges for data analysis and clinical decision-making. Existing methods typically adopt a single modeling perspective, either treating series data as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Liuqing Chen , Shuhong Xiao , Shixian Ding , Shanhai Hu , Lingyun Sun

Both Hawkes processes and autoregressive processes rely on linear functionals of their past, while modeling different types of data. Since datasets arising from observations of the same phenomenon may be heterogeneous and sampled at…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Théo Leblanc

Consider a subject or unit in a longitudinal biomedical, public health, engineering, economic, or social science study which is being monitored over a possibly random duration. Over time this unit experiences competing recurrent events and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Lili Tong , Piaomu Liu , Edsel Pena

Dynamic networks exhibit temporal patterns that vary across different time scales, all of which can potentially affect processes that take place on the network. However, most data-driven approaches used to model time-varying networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-27 Tiago P. Peixoto , Laetitia Gauvin

For many infectious disease outbreaks, the at-risk population changes their behavior in response to the outbreak severity, causing the transmission dynamics to change in real-time. Behavioral change is often ignored in epidemic modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-25 Caitlin Ward , Rob Deardon , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Time series data is a collection of chronological observations which is generated by several domains such as medical and financial fields. Over the years, different tasks such as classification, forecasting, and clustering have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Raha Moraffah , Paras Sheth , Mansooreh Karami , Anchit Bhattacharya , Qianru Wang , Anique Tahir , Adrienne Raglin , Huan Liu

We consider the model selection problem for a large class of time series models, including, multivariate count processes, causal processes with exogenous covariates. A procedure based on a general penalized contrast is proposed. Some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-01 William Kengne

This paper deals with the state estimation of linear time-invariant systems using distributed observers with local sampled-data measurement and aperiodic communication. Each observer agent perceives partial information of the system to be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Shimin Wang , Ya-Jun Pan , Martin Guay

Many scientific areas, from computer science to the environmental sciences and finance, give rise to multivariate time series which exhibit long memory, or loosely put, a slow decay in their autocorrelation structure. Efficient modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Chiara Boetti , Matthew A. Nunes , Marina I. Knight

This paper shows how a time series of measurements of an evolving system can be processed to create an inner time series that is unaffected by any instantaneous invertible, possibly nonlinear transformation of the measurements. An inner…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-28 David N. Levin