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The convergence rate in Wasserstein distance is estimated for empirical measures of ergodic Markov processes, and the estimate can be sharp in some specific situations. The main result is applied to subordinations of typical models excluded…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Feng-Yu Wang

The beta transformation is the iterated map $\beta x\,\mod1$; it generates the base-$\beta$ expansion of a real number x. Every iterated piece-wise monotonic map is topologically conjugate to the beta transformation. For all but a countable…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Linas Vepstas

We obtain a Bernstein type Gaussian concentration inequality for martingales. Our inequality improves the Azuma-Hoeffding inequality for moderate deviations $x$. Following the work of McDiarmid (1989), Talagrand (1996) and Boucheron, Lugosi…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-17 Xiequan Fan

Fr\'echet regression, or conditional Barycenters, is a flexible framework for modeling relationships between covariates (usually Euclidean) and response variables on general metric spaces, e.g., probability distributions or positive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Duc Toan Nguyen , César A. Uribe

We consider a piecewise analytic real expanding map $f: [0,1]\to [0,1]$ of degree $d$ which preserves orientation, and a real analytic positive potential $g: [0,1] \to \mathbb{R}$. We assume the map and the potential have a complex analytic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-05-28 Artur O. Lopes , Elismar R. Oliveira , Daniel Smania

We consider the ergodic theory of plane rational maps that preserve the natural holomorphic volume form on the algebraic torus. Specifically we construct natural invariant probability measures for a large class of such maps by intersecting…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-05 Jeffrey Diller , Roland Roeder

A parametric theory of statistical inference is developed for the moderate deviation probability zone. The new approach to the proofs is based on the Taylor series expansion of the logarithm of the likelihood ratio based on the Hellinger…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Mikhail Ermakov

We study Smale skew product endomorphisms (introduced in [27]) now over countable graph directed Markov systems, and we prove the exact dimensionality of conditional measures in fibers, and then the global exact dimensionality of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Eugen Mihailescu , Mariusz Urbanski

In this paper we consider a Bayesian framework for making inferences about dynamical systems from ergodic observations. The proposed Bayesian procedure is based on the Gibbs posterior, a decision theoretic generalization of standard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-28 Kevin McGoff , Sayan Mukherjee , Andrew Nobel

We justify and discuss expressions for joint lower and upper expectations in imprecise probability trees, in terms of the sub- and supermartingales that can be associated with such trees. These imprecise probability trees can be seen as…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-19 Gert de Cooman , Jasper De Bock , Stavros Lopatatzidis

The classical condition on the existence of uniformly exponentially consistent tests for testing the true density against the complement of its arbitrary neighborhood has been widely adopted in study of asymptotics of Bayesian nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-01 Yang Xing

We consider the family of one-dimensional maps arising from the contracting Lorenz attractors studied by Rovella. Benedicks-Carleson techniques were used by Rovella to prove that there is a one-parameter family of maps whose derivatives…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Jose F. Alves , Mohammad Soufi

Eagleson's Theorem asserts that, given a probability-preserving map, ifrenormalized Birkhoff sums of a function converge in distribution, thenthey also converge with respect to any probability measure which isabsolutely continuous with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-02 Sébastien Gouëzel

We study higher order expansions both in the Berry-Ess\'een estimate (Edgeworth expansions) and in the local limit theorems for Birkhoff sums of chaotic probability preserving dynamical systems. We establish general results under technical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-15 Kasun Fernando , Françoise Pène

The purpose of this paper is to provide a first class of explicit sufficient conditions for the central limit theorem and related results in the setup of non-uniformly (partially) expanding non iid random transformations, considered as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Yeor Hafouta

We analyse the Transfer Principle, which is used to generate weak type maximal inequalities for ergodic operators, and extend it to the general case of $\sigma$-compact locally compact Hausdorff groups acting measure-preservingly on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Richard de Beer , Louis Labuschagne

We study a category of probability spaces and measure-preserving Markov kernels up to almost sure equality. This category contains, among its isomorphisms, mod-zero isomorphisms of probability spaces. It also gives an isomorphism between…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Noé Ensarguet , Paolo Perrone

We prove that a partially hyperbolic attracting set for a C2 vector field, having slow recurrence to equilibria, supports an ergodic physical/SRB measure if, and only if, the trapping region admits non-uniform sectional expansion on a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Vitor Araujo , Luciana Salgado , Sergio Sousa

We give conditions that characterize the existence of an absolutely continuous invariant probability measure for a degree one $C^2$ endomorphism of the circle which is bimodal, such that all its periodic orbits are repelling, and such that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Sylvain Crovisier , Pablo Guarino , Liviana Palmisano

We show that for almost every map in a transversal one-parameter family of piecewise expanding unimodal maps the Birkhoff sum of suitable observables along the forward orbit of the turning point satisfies the law of iterated logarithm. This…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-09-10 Daniel Schnellmann