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First, a big data analysis of the transactions and smart contracts made on the Ethereum blockchain is performed, revealing interesting trends in motion. Next, these trends are compared with the public's interest in Ether and Bitcoin,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-06 Dorsa Mohammadi Arezooji

Centralized monetary policy, leading to persistent inflation, is often inconsistent, untrustworthy, and unpredictable. Algorithmic stablecoins enabled by blockchain technology are promising in solving this problem. Algorithmic stablecoins…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-17 Luyao Zhang , Yulin Liu

This study investigates the impact of varying sequence lengths on the accuracy of predicting cryptocurrency returns using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). Utilizing the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as a threshold criterion, we aim to enhance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Silas Baumann , Karl A. Busch , Hamza A. A. Gardi

Blockchain offers a decentralized, immutable, transparent system of records. It offers a peer-to-peer network of nodes with no centralised governing entity making it unhackable and therefore, more secure than the traditional paper-based or…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-11-27 Harsh Jot Singh , Abdelhakim Senhaji Hafid

Predicting the prices of stocks at any stock market remains a quest for many investors and researchers. Those who trade at the stock market tend to use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in their predictions. These methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-20 Barack Wamkaya Wanjawa

Algorithmic trading systems are often completely automated, and deep learning is increasingly receiving attention in this domain. Nonetheless, little is known about the robustness properties of these models. We study valuation models for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Micah Goldblum , Avi Schwarzschild , Ankit B. Patel , Tom Goldstein

The research delves into the capabilities of a transformer-based neural network for Ethereum cryptocurrency price forecasting. The experiment runs around the hypothesis that cryptocurrency prices are strongly correlated with other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Shubham Singh , Mayur Bhat

In this paper, we discuss the method of Bayesian regression and its efficacy for predicting price variation of Bitcoin, a recently popularized virtual, cryptographic currency. Bayesian regression refers to utilizing empirical data as proxy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-10-07 Devavrat Shah , Kang Zhang

In this note, we compare Bitcoin trading performance using two machine learning models-Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-and two technical analysis-based strategies: Exponential Moving Average…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-04 José Ángel Islas Anguiano , Andrés García-Medina

The paper studies the linear model for Bitcoin price which includes regression features based on Bitcoin currency statistics, mining processes, Google search trends, Wikipedia pages visits. The pattern of deviation of regression model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-11 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

Cryptocurrency trading represents a nascent field of research, with growing adoption in industry. Aided by its decentralised nature, many metrics describing cryptocurrencies are accessible with a simple Google search and update frequently,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-27 Tom Liu , Stefan Zohren

The proposed system aims to use various machine learning algorithms to enhance financial prediction and generate highly accurate analyses. It introduces an AI-driven platform which offers inflation-analysis, stock market prediction, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Vishal Patil , Kavya Bhand , Kaustubh Mukdam , Kavya Sharma , Manas Kawtikwar , Prajwal Kavhar , Hridayansh Kaware

We focus on the problem of market making in high-frequency trading. Market making is a critical function in financial markets that involves providing liquidity by buying and selling assets. However, the increasing complexity of financial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-03 Jiafa He , Cong Zheng , Can Yang

Gold and bitcoin are not new to us, but with limited cash and time, given only the past stream of the daily price of gold and bitcoin, it is a kind of new problem for us to develop a certain model and determine the best strategy to get the…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Yueying Ma , Yan Mi , Yujing Bian

Algorithmic trading is well studied in traditional financial markets. However, it has received less attention in centralized cryptocurrency exchanges. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) attributed the $2010$ flash crash, one of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-28 Paz Grimberg , Tobias Lauinger , Damon McCoy

Price movement prediction has always been one of the traders' concerns in financial market trading. In order to increase their profit, they can analyze the historical data and predict the price movement. The large size of the data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-10 Naseh Majidi , Mahdi Shamsi , Farokh Marvasti

Despite the fact that cryptocurrencies themselves have experienced an astonishing rate of adoption over the last decade, cryptocurrency fraud detection is a heavily under-researched problem area. Of all fraudulent activity regarding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Viswanath Chadalapaka , Kyle Chang , Gireesh Mahajan , Anuj Vasil

We propose a profitable trading strategy for the cryptocurrency market based on grid trading. Starting with an analysis of the expected value of the traditional grid strategy, we show that under simple assumptions, its expected return is…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-16 Kai-Yuan Chen , Kai-Hsin Chen , Jyh-Shing Roger Jang

Financial markets are nonlinear with complexity, where different types of assets are traded between buyers and sellers, each having a view to maximize their Return on Investment (ROI). Forecasting market trends is a challenging task since…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Sahand Hassanizorgabad

The fast-growing cryptocurrency sector presents both challenges and opportunities for businesses and consumers alike. This study investigates the knowledge, expertise, and buying habits of people who shop using cryptocurrencies. Our survey…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Massimiliano Silenzi , Umut Can Cabuk , Enis Karaarslan , Omer Aydin