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The rapid development of information technology, especially the Internet, has facilitated users with a quick and easy way to seek information. With these convenience offered by internet services, many individuals who initially invested in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Novan Fauzi Al Giffary , Feri Sulianta

Cryptocurrency markets present unique prediction challenges due to their extreme volatility, 24/7 operation, and hypersensitivity to news events, with existing approaches suffering from key information extraction and poor sideways market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-10 Kairan Hong , Jinling Gan , Qiushi Tian , Yanglinxuan Guo , Rui Guo , Runnan Li

The availability of data on digital traces is growing to unprecedented sizes, but inferring actionable knowledge from large-scale data is far from being trivial. This is especially important for computational finance, where digital traces…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-13 David Garcia , Frank Schweitzer

Cryptocurrency markets are experiencing rapid growth, but this expansion comes with significant challenges, particularly in predicting cryptocurrency prices for traders in the U.S. In this study, we explore how deep learning and machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Md Zahidul Islam , Md Shafiqur Rahman , Md Sumsuzoha , Babul Sarker , Md Rafiqul Islam , Mahfuz Alam , Sanjib Kumar Shil

This study examines whether the efficiency of cryptocurrency markets (Bitcoin and Ethereum) evolve over time based on Lo's (2004) adaptive market hypothesis (AMH). In particular, we measure the degree of market efficiency using a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-08 Akihiko Noda

Cryptocoins (i.e., Bitcoin, Ether, Litecoin) are tradable digital assets. Ownerships of cryptocoins are registered on distributed ledgers (i.e., blockchains). Secure encryption techniques guarantee the security of the transactions…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Pasquale De Rosa , Pascal Felber , Valerio Schiavoni

Blockchain technology has changed how people think about how they used to store and trade their assets, as it introduced us to a whole new way to transact: using digital currencies. One of the major innovations of blockchain technology is…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Trang Tran

Since the inception of Bitcoin in 2009, the market of cryptocurrencies has grown beyond initial expectations as daily trades exceed $10 billion. As industries become automated, the need for an automated fraud detector becomes very apparent.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Eran Kaufman , Andrey Iaremenko

Bitcoin is the first digital decentralized cryptocurrency that has shown a significant increase in market capitalization in recent years. The objective of this paper is to determine the predictable price direction of Bitcoin in USD by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-26 S M Raju , Ali Mohammad Tarif

The Efficient Market Hypothesis has been a staple of economics research for decades. In particular, weak-form market efficiency -- the notion that past prices cannot predict future performance -- is strongly supported by econometric…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-12 Samuel Showalter , Jeffrey Gropp

Bitcoin is one of the cryptocurrencies that is gaining more popularity in recent years. Previous studies have shown that closing price alone is not enough to forecast stock market series. We introduce a new set of time series and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Stefano Sossi-Rojas , Gissel Velarde , Damian Zieba

Binary options trading is often marketed as a field where predictive models can generate consistent profits. However, the inherent randomness and stochastic nature of binary options make price movements highly unpredictable, posing…

Cryptocurrency is a form of digital currency using cryptographic techniques in a decentralized system for secure peer-to-peer transactions. It is gaining much popularity over traditional methods of payments because it facilitates a very…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Samyak Jain , Sarthak Johari , Radhakrishnan Delhibabu

There has been a recent surge in interest in the application of artificial intelligence to automated trading. Reinforcement learning has been applied to single- and multi-instrument use cases, such as market making or portfolio management.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-16 Jonathan Sadighian

The objective of this paper is the construction of new indicators that can be useful to operate in the cryptocurrency market. These indicators are based on public data obtained from the blockchain network, specifically from the nodes that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Juan C. King , Roberto Dale , José M. Amigó

Using frequency distributions of daily closing price time series of several financial market indexes, we investigate whether the bias away from an equiprobable sequence distribution found in the data, predicted by algorithmic information…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-17 Hector Zenil , Jean-Paul Delahaye

The development of artificial intelligence has made significant contributions to the financial sector. One of the main interests of investors is price predictions. Technical and fundamental analyses, as well as econometric analyses, are…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-19 Asef Yelghi , Aref Yelghi , Shirmohammad Tavangari

We study the problem of the intraday short-term volume forecasting in cryptocurrency exchange markets. The predictions are built by using transaction and order book data from different markets where the exchange takes place.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-03 Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Tian Guo , Fabrizio Lillo

A cryptocurrency is a digital asset maintained by a decentralised system using cryptography. Investors in this emerging digital market are exploring the profitability potential of portfolios in place of single coins. Portfolios are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-06 Ruixue Jing , Luis Enrique Correa Rocha

There's a long tradition of research using computational intelligence (methods from artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML)), to automatically discover, implement, and fine-tune strategies for autonomous adaptive automated…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Dave Cliff , Michael Rollins