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Over the last decade, a series of applied mathematics papers have explored a type of inverse problem--called by a variety of names including "inverse sensitivity", "pushforward based inference", "consistent Bayesian inference", or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-30 Peter W. Marcy , Rebecca E. Morrison

The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

We analyze the problem of the beam-plasma instability via the analytical treatment of the so-called Dyson equation. We first compared the prediction of the model constructed by fixing the electric field amplitude with respect to a N-body…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Nakia Carlevaro , Francesco Finelli , Giovanni Montani

High fidelity models used in many science and engineering applications couple multiple physical states and parameters. Inverse problems arise when a model parameter cannot be determined directly, but rather is estimated using (typically…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-30 Isaac Sunseri , Joseph Hart , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Alen Alexanderian

Survival models are used in various fields, such as the development of cancer treatment protocols. Although many statistical and machine learning models have been proposed to achieve accurate survival predictions, little attention has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Hrushikesh Loya , Pranav Poduval , Deepak Anand , Neeraj Kumar , Amit Sethi

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

The choice of the parameter value for regularized inverse problems is critical to the results and remains a topic of interest. This article explores a criterion for selecting a good parameter value by maximizing the probability of the data,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Toby Sanders , Rodrigo B. Platte , Robert D. Skeel

Bayesian approaches are one of the primary methodologies to tackle an inverse problem in high dimensions. Such an inverse problem arises in hydrology to infer the permeability field given flow data in a porous media. It is common practice…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-02 Navid Shervani-Tabar

The development of parametric instabilities in a large scale inhomogeneous plasma with an incident laser beam composed of multiple-frequency components is studied theoretically and numerically. Firstly, theoretical analyses of the coupling…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2019-10-23 Yao Zhao , Suming Weng , Zhengming Sheng , Jianqiang Zhu

We analyze the Ensemble and Polynomial Chaos Kalman filters applied to nonlinear stationary Bayesian inverse problems. In a sequential data assimilation setting such stationary problems arise in each step of either filter. We give a new…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Oliver G. Ernst , Björn Sprungk , Hans-Jörg Starkloff

Model misspecification constitutes a major obstacle to reliable inference in many inverse problems. Inverse problems in seismology, for example, are particularly affected by misspecification of wave propagation velocities. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Andrea Scarinci , Michael Fehler , Youssef Marzouk

In this work the LHC inverse problem is quantified in the Bayesian context by clarifying the relation between the mapping from the theory parameter space to experimental signature space and the inverse map. We demonstrate that, after…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-05-13 Csaba Balázs , Dilani Kahawala

This paper focuses on the superset model problem that arises in the context of regression. To address this problem, we take the Bayesian approach to measure its uncertainty. An illustrative example with the real dataset is provided.

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-30 Koji Miyawaki , Steven N. MacEachern

The Bayesian approach to solving inverse problems relies on the choice of a prior. This critical ingredient allows the formulation of expert knowledge or physical constraints in a probabilistic fashion and plays an important role for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-08 Manuel Marschall , Gerd Wübbeler , Franko Schmähling , Clemens Elster

Stochastic parabolic equations are widely used to model many random phenomena in natural sciences, such as the temperature distribution in a noisy medium, the dynamics of a chemical reaction in a noisy environment, or the evolution of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-09-21 Zhonghua Liao , Qi Lü

This paper analyzes hierarchical Bayesian inverse problems using techniques from high-dimensional statistics. Our analysis leverages a property of hierarchical Bayesian regularizers that we call approximate decomposability to obtain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

Bayesian calibration is widely used for inverse analysis and uncertainty analysis for complex systems in the presence of both computer models and observation data. In the present work, we focus on large-scale fluid-structure interaction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Shunxiang Cao , Daniel Zhengyu Huang

This work investigates the detection of instabilities that may occur when utilizing deep learning models for image reconstruction tasks. Although neural networks often empirically outperform traditional reconstruction methods, their usage…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-31 Jan Macdonald , Maximilian März , Luis Oala , Wojciech Samek

This paper is devoted to multi-dimensional inverse problems. In this setting, we address a goodness-of-fit testing problem. We investigate the separation rates associated to different kinds of smoothness assumptions and different degrees of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-20 Yuri I. Ingster , Béatrice Laurent , Clément Marteau

Inverse optimization (IO) is used to estimate unknown parameters of an optimization model from observed decisions. In the data-driven context, the estimated parameters are inherently uncertain, yet quantifying this uncertainty has received…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Timothy C. Y. Chan , Nathan Sandholtz , Nasrin Yousefi