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Deep networks are currently the state-of-the-art for sensory perception in autonomous driving and robotics. However, deep models often generate overconfident predictions precluding proper probabilistic interpretation which we argue is due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 G. Melotti , C. Premebida , J. J. Bird , D. R. Faria , N. Gonçalves

Generalised Bayesian Inference (GBI) attempts to address model misspecification in a standard Bayesian setup by tempering the likelihood. The likelihood is raised to a fractional power, called the learning rate, which reduces its importance…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Schyan Zafar , Geoff K. Nicholls

Some real-world domains, such as Agriculture and Healthcare, comprise early-stage disease indications whose recording constitutes a rare event, and yet, whose precise detection at that stage is critical. In this type of highly imbalanced…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Veysel Kocaman , Ofer M. Shir , Thomas Bäck

We provide theoretical investigation of curriculum learning in the context of stochastic gradient descent when optimizing the convex linear regression loss. We prove that the rate of convergence of an ideal curriculum learning method is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Daphna Weinshall , Gad Cohen , Dan Amir

Selective classification enables models to make predictions only when they are sufficiently confident, aiming to enhance safety and reliability, which is important in high-stakes scenarios. Previous methods mainly use deep neural networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Yu-Chang Wu , Shen-Huan Lyu , Haopu Shang , Xiangyu Wang , Chao Qian

Medical image classification is one of the most important tasks for computer-aided diagnosis. Deep learning models, particularly convolutional neural networks, have been successfully used for disease classification from medical images,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Md. Atik Ahamed , Jin Chen , Abdullah-Al-Zubaer Imran

Forecasting time series with extreme events has been a challenging and prevalent research topic, especially when the time series data are affected by complicated uncertain factors, such as is the case in hydrologic prediction. Diverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Yanhong Li , Jack Xu , David C. Anastasiu

Foundation models have recently gained attention within the field of machine learning thanks to its efficiency in broad data processing. While researchers had attempted to extend this success to time series models, the main challenge is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Trang H. Tran , Lam M. Nguyen , Kyongmin Yeo , Nam Nguyen , Roman Vaculin

The 2017 Fake News Challenge Stage 1 (FNC-1) shared task addressed a stance classification task as a crucial first step towards detecting fake news. To date, there is no in-depth analysis paper to critically discuss FNC-1's experimental…

Recent studies in image classification have demonstrated a variety of techniques for improving the performance of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). However, attempts to combine existing techniques to create a practical model are still…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-16 Jungkyu Lee , Taeryun Won , Tae Kwan Lee , Hyemin Lee , Geonmo Gu , Kiho Hong

To train robust deep neural networks (DNNs), we systematically study several target modification approaches, which include output regularisation, self and non-self label correction (LC). Two key issues are discovered: (1) Self LC is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Xinshao Wang , Yang Hua , Elyor Kodirov , David A. Clifton , Neil M. Robertson

Deep learning research over the past years has shown that by increasing the scope or difficulty of the learning problem over time, increasingly complex learning problems can be addressed. We study incremental learning in the context of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-05 Edwin D. de Jong

Deep Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) are a powerful tool, though computationally demanding, to perform parameter estimation while jointly estimating uncertainty around predictions. BNNs are typically implemented using arbitrary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Daniele Silvestro , Tobias Andermann

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) work well on large datasets. But labelled data is hard to collect, and in some applications larger amounts of data are not available. The problem then is how to use CNNs with small data -- as CNNs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-19 Yarin Gal , Zoubin Ghahramani

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and transfer learning have recently been used for 6 degrees of freedom (6-DoF) camera pose estimation. While they do not reach the same accuracy as visual SLAM-based approaches and are restricted to a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Soroush Seifi , Tinne Tuytelaars

Selective classification techniques (also known as reject option) have not yet been considered in the context of deep neural networks (DNNs). These techniques can potentially significantly improve DNNs prediction performance by trading-off…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-02 Yonatan Geifman , Ran El-Yaniv

In many real-world problems, there is a limited set of training data, but an abundance of unlabeled data. We propose a new method, Generative Posterior Networks (GPNs), that uses unlabeled data to estimate epistemic uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Melrose Roderick , Felix Berkenkamp , Fatemeh Sheikholeslami , Zico Kolter

Prior Networks are a recently developed class of models which yield interpretable measures of uncertainty and have been shown to outperform state-of-the-art ensemble approaches on a range of tasks. They can also be used to distill an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Andrey Malinin , Sergey Chervontsev , Ivan Provilkov , Mark Gales

Deterministic neural nets have been shown to learn effective predictors on a wide range of machine learning problems. However, as the standard approach is to train the network to minimize a prediction loss, the resultant model remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-02 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Melih Kandemir

Ensembles of machine learning models yield improved system performance as well as robust and interpretable uncertainty estimates; however, their inference costs may often be prohibitively high. \emph{Ensemble Distribution Distillation} is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-17 Max Ryabinin , Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales