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Out of nearly 70,000 bills introduced in the U.S. Congress from 2001 to 2015, only 2,513 were enacted. We developed a machine learning approach to forecasting the probability that any bill will become law. Starting in 2001 with the 107th…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-07-05 John J. Nay

The increasing digitization of political speech has opened the door to studying a new dimension of political behavior using text analysis. This work investigates the value of word-level statistical data from the US Congressional…

General Economics · Economics 2018-09-05 Eitan Sapiro-Gheiler

Stance detection is a crucial NLP task with numerous applications in social science, from analyzing online discussions to assessing political campaigns. This paper investigates the optimal way to incorporate metadata into a political stance…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Stanley Cao , Felix Drinkall

This paper introduces DeepParliament, a legal domain Benchmark Dataset that gathers bill documents and metadata and performs various bill status classification tasks. The proposed dataset text covers a broad range of bills from 1986 to the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Ankit Pal

Understanding politics is challenging because the politics take the influence from everything. Even we limit ourselves to the political context in the legislative processes; we need a better understanding of latent factors, such as…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-29 Kyungwoo Song , Wonsung Lee , Il-Chul Moon

Modeling U.S. Congressional legislation and roll-call votes has received significant attention in previous literature. However, while legislators across 50 state governments and D.C. propose over 100,000 bills each year, and on average…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-06-15 Vlad Eidelman , Anastassia Kornilova , Daniel Argyle

Predicting roll call votes through modeling political actors has emerged as a focus in quantitative political science and computer science. Widely used embedding-based methods generate vectors for legislators from diverse data sets to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Hao Li , Ruoyuan Gong , Hao Jiang

Network inference is the process of learning the properties of complex networks from data. Besides using information about known links in the network, node attributes and other forms of network metadata can help to solve network inference…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-03-29 Oscar Fajardo-Fontiveros , Marta Sales-Pardo , Roger Guimera

The performance of text classification has improved tremendously using intelligently engineered neural-based models, especially those injecting categorical metadata as additional information, e.g., using user/product information for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Jihyeok Kim , Reinald Kim Amplayo , Kyungjae Lee , Sua Sung , Minji Seo , Seung-won Hwang

Using lobbying data from OpenSecrets.org, we offer several experiments applying machine learning techniques to predict if a piece of legislation (US bill) has been subjected to lobbying activities or not. We also investigate the influence…

General Economics · Economics 2020-05-14 Ivan Slobozhan , Peter Ormosi , Rajesh Sharma

This paper is a corrigendum and addendum to the previously published article: 'How Populist are Parties? Measuring Degrees of Populism in Party Manifestos Using Supervised Machine Learning' (Political Analysis, 1-17.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-25 Jessica Di Cocco , Bernardo Monechi

Modeling the ideological perspectives of political actors is an essential task in computational political science with applications in many downstream tasks. Existing approaches are generally limited to textual data and voting records,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Shangbin Feng , Zhaoxuan Tan , Zilong Chen , Peisheng Yu , Qinghua Zheng , Xiaojun Chang , Minnan Luo

The ability to acquire latent semantics is one of the key properties that determines the performance of language models. One convenient approach to invoke this ability is to prepend metadata (e.g. URLs, domains, and styles) at the beginning…

Roll call data are widely used to assess legislators' preferences and ideology, as well as test theories of legislative behavior. In particular, roll call data is often used to determine whether the revealed preferences of legislators are…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-29 Chelsea Lofland , Abel Rodriguez , Scott Moser

We develop a model of issue-specific voting behavior. This model can be used to explore lawmakers' personal voting patterns of voting by issue area, providing an exploratory window into how the language of the law is correlated with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-09-27 Sean M. Gerrish , David M. Blei

Metainformation is a common companion to biomedical images. However, this potentially powerful additional source of signal from image acquisition has had limited use in deep learning methods, for semantic segmentation in particular. Here,…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-21 Iaroslav Plutenko , Mikhail Papkov , Kaupo Palo , Leopold Parts , Dmytro Fishman

Online data has the potential to transform how researchers and companies produce election forecasts. Social media surveys, online panels and even comments scraped from the internet can offer valuable insights into political preferences.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-20 Alberto Arletti , Maria Letizia Tanturri , Omar Paccagnella

We investigate the impact of political ideology biases in training data. Through a set of comparison studies, we examine the propagation of biases in several widely-used NLP models and its effect on the overall retrieval accuracy. Our work…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Meiqi Guo , Rebecca Hwa , Yu-Ru Lin , Wen-Ting Chung

We demonstrate that machine learning enables the capability to infer an individual's propensity to vote from their past actions and attributes. This is useful for microtargeting voter outreach, voter education and get-out-the-vote (GOVT)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-15 Rebecca D. Pollard , Sara M. Pollard , Scott Streit

For many machine learning algorithms, predictive performance is critically affected by the hyperparameter values used to train them. However, tuning these hyperparameters can come at a high computational cost, especially on larger datasets,…

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