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In regression tasks, aleatoric uncertainty is commonly addressed by considering a parametric distribution of the output variable, which is based on strong assumptions such as symmetry, unimodality or by supposing a restricted shape. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Jordi Vitrià , Alberto Rubio

Quantifying predictive uncertainty is essential for real world machine learning applications, especially in scenarios requiring reliable and interpretable predictions. Many common parametric approaches rely on neural networks to estimate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Yang Yang , Chunlin Ji , Haoyang Li , Ke Deng

An inverse elastic source problem with sparse measurements is of concern. A generic mathematical framework is proposed which incorporates a low- dimensional manifold regularization in the conventional source reconstruction algorithms…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Jaejun Yoo , Abdul Wahab , Jong Chul Ye

Finite mixture distributions arise in sampling a heterogeneous population. Data drawn from such a population will exhibit extra variability relative to any single subpopulation. Statistical models based on finite mixtures can assist in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Andrew M. Raim , Nagaraj K. Neerchal , Jorge G. Morel

Ensemble learning is traditionally justified as a variance-reduction strategy, explaining its strong performance for unstable predictors such as decision trees. This explanation, however, does not account for ensembles constructed from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-30 Ernest Fokoué

Unsupervised learning has been widely used in many real-world applications. One of the simplest and most important unsupervised learning models is the Gaussian mixture model (GMM). In this work, we study the multi-task learning problem on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-29 Ye Tian , Haolei Weng , Lucy Xia , Yang Feng

Diffusion models are recent state-of-the-art methods for image generation and likelihood estimation. In this work, we generalize continuous-time diffusion models to arbitrary Riemannian manifolds and derive a variational framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Chin-Wei Huang , Milad Aghajohari , Avishek Joey Bose , Prakash Panangaden , Aaron Courville

Finite Mixture of Regressions (FMR) models are among the most widely used approaches in dealing with the heterogeneity among the observations in regression problems. One of the limitations of current approaches is their inability to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-25 Haidar Almohri , Arash Ali Amini , Ratna Babu Chinnam

Nonlinear mixed effects models have received a great deal of attention in the statistical literature in recent years because of their flexibility in handling longitudinal studies, including human immunodeficiency virus viral dynamics,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Fernanda L. Schumacher , Dipak K. Dey , Victor H. Lachos

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are used as an important tool in the data analysis of repeated measures and longitudinal studies. The most common form of LMMs utilize a normal distribution to model the random effects. Such assumptions can often…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-16 Hien D. Nguyen , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

In learning theory, a standard assumption is that the data is generated from a finite mixture model. But what happens when the number of components is not known in advance? The problem of estimating the number of components, also called…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Jerry Li , Allen Liu , Ankur Moitra

Do expert-defined or diagnostically-labeled data groups align with clusters inferred through statistical modeling? If not, where do discrepancies between predefined labels and model-based groupings occur and why? In this work, we introduce…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Patricia Puchhammer , Ines Wilms , Peter Filzmoser

Normal mean-variance mixture distributions are widely applied to simplify a model's implementation and improve their computational efficiency under the Maximum Likelihood (ML) approach. Especially for distributions with normal mean-variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-18 Thanakorn Nitithumbundit , Jennifer S. K. Chan

Problems of probabilistic inference and decision making under uncertainty commonly involve continuous random variables. Often these are discretized to a few points, to simplify assessments and computations. An alternative approximation is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 William B. Poland , Ross D. Shachter

We propose a robust and scalable procedure for general optimization and inference problems on manifolds leveraging the classical idea of `median-of-means' estimation. This is motivated by ubiquitous examples and applications in modern data…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Lizhen Lin , Drew Lazar , Bayan Sarpabayeva , David B. Dunson

The problem of reducing the bias of maximum likelihood estimator in a general multivariate elliptical regression model is considered. The model is very flexible and allows the mean vector and the dispersion matrix to have parameters in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-01 Tatiane F. N. Melo , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Alexandre G. Patriota

In this paper, we focus on the problem of integrating Energy-based Models (EBM) as guiding priors for motion optimization. EBMs are a set of neural networks that can represent expressive probability density distributions in terms of a Gibbs…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Julen Urain , An T. Le , Alexander Lambert , Georgia Chalvatzaki , Byron Boots , Jan Peters

Generalised linear models for multi-class classification problems are one of the fundamental building blocks of modern machine learning tasks. In this manuscript, we characterise the learning of a mixture of $K$ Gaussians with generic means…

Expectation Maximization (EM) is the standard method to learn Gaussian mixtures. Yet its classic, centralized form is often infeasible, due to privacy concerns and computational and communication bottlenecks. Prior work dealt with data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Pedro Valdeira , Cláudia Soares , João Xavier

To avoid specification of the error distribution in a regression model, we propose a general nonparametric scale mixture model for the error distribution. For fitting such mixtures, the predictive recursion method is a simple and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-03 Ryan Martin , Zhen Han