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Multi-fidelity methods are prominently used when cheaply-obtained, but possibly biased and noisy, observations must be effectively combined with limited or expensive true data in order to construct reliable models. This arises in both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-19 Kurt Cutajar , Mark Pullin , Andreas Damianou , Neil Lawrence , Javier González

Multitask Gaussian process (MTGP) is powerful for joint learning of multiple tasks with complicated correlation patterns. However, due to the assembling of additive independent latent functions, all current MTGPs including the salient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Kai Chen , Twan van Laarhoven , Elena Marchiori , Feng Yin , Shuguang Cui

Credible forecasting and representation learning of dynamical systems are of ever-increasing importance for reliable decision-making. To that end, we propose a family of Gaussian processes (GP) for dynamical systems with linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Petar Bevanda , Max Beier , Armin Lederer , Alexandre Capone , Stefan Sosnowski , Sandra Hirche

Gaussian process (GP) modulated Cox processes are widely used to model point patterns. Existing approaches require a mapping (link function) between the unconstrained GP and the positive intensity function. This commonly yields solutions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-01 Andrés F. López-Lopera , ST John , Nicolas Durrande

A powerful tool for the analysis of nonrandomized observational studies has been the potential outcomes model. Utilization of this framework allows analysts to estimate average treatment effects. This article considers the situation in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Debashis Ghosh , Efrén Cruz-Cortés

We propose a Bayesian modeling framework for jointly analyzing multiple functional responses of different types (e.g. binary and continuous data). Our approach is based on a multivariate latent Gaussian process and models the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-12 Beth A. Tidemann-Miller , Brian J. Reich , Ana-Maria Staicu

In this paper we extend existing Bayesian methods for variable selection in Gaussian process regression, to select both the regression terms and the active covariates in the spatial correlation structure. We then use the estimated posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-05 Ofir Harari , David M. Steinberg

Although high-performance computing (HPC) systems have been scaled to meet the exponentially-growing demand for scientific computing, HPC performance variability remains a major challenge and has become a critical research topic in computer…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-23 Li Xu , Yili Hong , Max D. Morris , Kirk W. Cameron

We provide a new approach to approximate emulation of large computer experiments. By focusing expressly on desirable properties of the predictive equations, we derive a family of local sequential design schemes that dynamically define the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-13 Robert B. Gramacy , Daniel W. Apley

In this paper, we propose a nonlinear probabilistic generative model of Koopman mode decomposition based on an unsupervised Gaussian process. Existing data-driven methods for Koopman mode decomposition have focused on estimating the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-01 Takahiro Kawashima , Hideitsu Hino

We make use of Kronecker structure for scaling Gaussian Process models to large-scale, heterogeneous, clinical data sets. Repeated measures, commonly performed in clinical research, facilitate computational acceleration for nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-29 Owen Thomas , Leiv Rønneberg

Multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGP) are probability distributions over vector-valued functions, and have been previously used for multi-output regression and for multi-class classification. A less explored facet of the multi-output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-10 Sebastián Gómez-González , Mauricio A. Álvarez , Hernán Felipe García

We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-07 Yuao Hu

We propose stochastic, non-parametric activation functions that are fully learnable and individual to each neuron. Complexity and the risk of overfitting are controlled by placing a Gaussian process prior over these functions. The result is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-01 Sebastian Urban , Marcus Basalla , Patrick van der Smagt

We analyze the dynamics of an algorithm for approximate inference with large Gaussian latent variable models in a student-teacher scenario. To model nontrivial dependencies between the latent variables, we assume random covariance matrices…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Burak Çakmak , Manfred Opper

In Financial Signal Processing, multiple time series such as financial indicators, stock prices and exchange rates are strongly coupled due to their dependence on the latent state of the market and therefore they are required to be jointly…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-17 Taco de Wolff , Alejandro Cuevas , Felipe Tobar

We propose to learn latent graphical models when data have mixed variables and missing values. This model could be used for further data analysis, including regression, classification, ranking etc. It also could be used for imputing missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-17 Xiao Li , Jinzhu Jia , Yuan Yao

Variational methods have been recently considered for scaling the training process of Gaussian process classifiers to large datasets. As an alternative, we describe here how to train these classifiers efficiently using expectation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-17 Daniel Hernández-Lobato , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

A simple and widely adopted approach to extend Gaussian processes (GPs) to multiple outputs is to model each output as a linear combination of a collection of shared, unobserved latent GPs. An issue with this approach is choosing the number…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-18 Pavel Berkovich , Eric Perim , Wessel Bruinsma

We propose a Bayesian model for mixed ordinal and continuous multivariate data to evaluate a latent spatial Gaussian process. Our proposed model can be used in many contexts where mixed continuous and discrete multivariate responses are…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-22 Erin M. Schliep , Jennifer A. Hoeting