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Developing machine learning models to characterize political polarization on online social media presents significant challenges. These challenges mainly stem from various factors such as the lack of annotated data, presence of noise in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Sadia Kamal , Brenner Little , Jade Gullic , Trevor Harms , Kristin Olofsson , Arunkumar Bagavathi

How can voters induce politicians to put forth more proximate (in terms of preference) as well as credible platforms (in terms of promise fulfillment) under repeated elections? Building on the work of Aragones et al. (2007), I study how…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-11 Shiladitya Kumar

Theoretically as well as experimentally it is investigated how people represent their knowledge in order to make decisions or to share their knowledge with others. Experiment 1 probes into the ways how people 6ather information about the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Alf C. Zimmer

A large number of studies on social media compare the behaviour of users from different political parties. As a basic step, they employ a predictive model for inferring their political affiliation. The accuracy of this model can change the…

Inferential decision-making algorithms typically assume that an underlying probabilistic model of decision alternatives and outcomes may be learned a priori or online. Furthermore, when applied to robots in real-world settings they often…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Yucheng Chen , Pingping Zhu , Anthony Alers , Tobias Egner , Marc A. Sommer , Silvia Ferrari

Mass Media outlets have occupied the central role of the political scenario, and are persuasive in the process of opinion formation of the citizens. In particular, the study of the relationship between Mass Media and behaviour of citizens…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-02 Federico Albanese , Claudio J. Tessone , Viktoriya Semeshenko , Pablo Balenzuela

Understanding cooperation in social systems is challenging because the ever-changing rules that govern societies interact with individual actions, resulting in intricate collective outcomes. In virtual-world experiments, we allowed people…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-25 Ofer Tchernichovski , Seth Frey , Dalton C. Conley , Nori Jacoby

Recommendation systems are pervasive in the digital economy. An important assumption in many deployed systems is that user consumption reflects user preferences in a static sense: users consume the content they like with no other…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Andreas Haupt , Dylan Hadfield-Menell , Chara Podimata

This paper extends my research applying statistical decision theory to treatment choice with sample data, using maximum regret to evaluate the performance of treatment rules. The specific new contribution is to study as-if optimization…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-05 Charles F. Manski

Considering voting rules based on evaluation inputs rather than preference rankings modifies the paradigm of probabilistic studies of voting procedures. This article proposes several simulation models for generating evaluation-based voting…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-18 Antoine Rolland , Jean-Baptiste Aubin , Irène Gannaz , Samuela Leoni

Networked multi-agent dynamical systems have been used to model how individual opinions evolve over time due to the opinions of other agents in the network. Particularly, such a model has been used to study how a planning agent can be used…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Sheryl Paul , Leslie Cruz Juarez , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh , Ketan Savla

Proportional representation (PR) is a fundamental principle of many democracies world-wide which employ PR-based voting rules to elect their representatives. The normative properties of these voting rules however, are often only understood…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-30 Barton E. Lee

There are many situations in which mis-coordinated strategic voting can leave strategic voters worse off than they would have been had they not tried to strategize. We analyse the simplest of such scenarios, in which the set of strategic…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-01-09 Arkadii Slinko , Shaun White

Online data has the potential to transform how researchers and companies produce election forecasts. Social media surveys, online panels and even comments scraped from the internet can offer valuable insights into political preferences.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-20 Alberto Arletti , Maria Letizia Tanturri , Omar Paccagnella

Decision procedures aggregating the preferences of multiple agents can produce cycles and hence outcomes which have been described heuristically as `chaotic'. We make this description precise by constructing an explicit dynamical system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 David A. Meyer , Thad A. Brown

A broad current application of algorithms is in formal and quantitative measures of murky concepts -- like merit -- to make decisions. When people strategically respond to these sorts of evaluations in order to gain favorable decision…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Benjamin Laufer , Jon Kleinberg , Karen Levy , Helen Nissenbaum

Spatial voting models of legislators' preferences are used in political science to test theories about their voting behavior. These models posit that legislators' ideologies as well as the ideologies reflected in votes for and against a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-27 Erin Lipman , Scott Moser , Abel Rodriguez

Large language models are increasingly used to predict human preferences in both scientific and business endeavors, yet current approaches rely exclusively on analyzing model outputs without considering the underlying mechanisms. Using…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Sarah Ball , Simeon Allmendinger , Niklas Kühl , Frauke Kreuter

Different voters behave differently, different governments make different decisions, or different organizations are ruled differently. Many research questions important to political scientists concern choice behavior, which involves dealing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Gerhard Tutz , Ingrid Mauerer

In this paper we propose a novel method to forecast the result of elections using only official results of previous ones. It is based on the voter model with stubborn nodes and uses theoretical results developed in a previous work of ours.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Antoine Vendeville , Benjamin Guedj , Shi Zhou