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Recent time-series foundation models exhibit strong abilities to predict physical systems. These abilities include zero-shot forecasting, in which a model forecasts future states of a system given only a short trajectory as context, without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Yuanzhao Zhang , William Gilpin

The accurate assembly of the system matrix is an important step in any code that solves partial differential equations on a mesh. We either explicitly set up a matrix, or we work in a matrix-free environment where we have to be able to…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Charles D. Murray , Tobias Weinzierl

The celebrated Mackey-Glass model describes the dynamics of physiological \textit{delayed} systems in which the actual evolution depends on the values of the variables at some \textit{previous} times. This kind of systems are usually…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-08-22 Pablo Amil , Cecilia Cabeza , Arturo C. Martí

Performing machine learning on structured data is complicated by the fact that such data does not have vectorial form. Therefore, multiple approaches have emerged to construct vectorial representations of structured data, from kernel and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-16 Benjamin Paaßen , Claudio Gallicchio , Alessio Micheli , Alessandro Sperduti

This article presents a general framework for recovering missing dynamical systems using available data and machine learning techniques. The proposed framework reformulates the prediction problem as a supervised learning problem to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-20 John Harlim , Shixiao W. Jiang , Senwei Liang , Haizhao Yang

We empirically demonstrate that a transformer pre-trained on country-scale unlabeled human mobility data learns embeddings capable, through fine-tuning, of developing a deep understanding of the target geography and its corresponding…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Alameen Najjar

Deep learning models have gained great success in many real-world applications. However, most existing networks are typically designed in heuristic manners, thus lack of rigorous mathematical principles and derivations. Several recent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-18 Risheng Liu , Xin Fan , Shichao Cheng , Xiangyu Wang , Zhongxuan Luo

We propose a dynamic programming algorithm that constructs delay-optimized circuits for alternating And-Or paths with prescribed input arrival times. Our algorithm fulfills best-known approximation guarantees and empirically outperforms…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-21 Ulrich Brenner , Anna Hermann

Delays endanger safety of autonomous systems operating in a rapidly changing environment, such as nondeterministic surrounding traffic participants in autonomous driving and high-speed racing. Unfortunately, delays are typically not…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Dvij Kalaria , Qin Lin , John M. Dolan

Optimal decision-making compels us to anticipate the future at different horizons. However, in many domains connecting together predictions from multiple time horizons and abstractions levels across their organization becomes all the more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Julien Leprince , Henrik Madsen , Jan Kloppenborg Møller , Wim Zeiler

Driven by the explosion of data and the impact of real-world networks, a wide array of mathematical models have been proposed to understand the structure and evolution of such systems, especially in the temporal context. Recent advances in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-11 Sayan Banerjee , Shankar Bhamidi , Partha Dey , Akshay Sakanaveeti

Time delays increase the effective dimensionality of reservoirs, thus suggesting that time delays in reservoirs can enhance their performance, particularly their memory and prediction abilities. We find new closed-form expressions for…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-01-09 Peyton Mullarkey , Sarah Marzen

Time-series forecasting remains difficult in real-world settings because temporal patterns operate at multiple scales, from broad contextual trends to fast, fine-grained fluctuations that drive critical decisions. Existing neural models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Sepideh Koohfar

A novel framework for hierarchical forecast updating is presented, addressing a critical gap in the forecasting literature. By assuming a temporal hierarchy structure, the innovative approach extends hierarchical forecast reconciliation to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Lukas Neubauer , Peter Filzmoser

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Exploring the bridge between historical and future motion behaviors remains a central challenge in human motion prediction. While most existing methods incorporate a reconstruction task as an auxiliary task into the decoder, thereby…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Jiexin Wang , Yiju Guo , Bing Su

Predicting human motion in unstructured and dynamic environments is difficult as humans naturally exhibit complex behaviors that can change drastically from one environment to the next. In order to alleviate this issue, we propose to encode…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-07-01 Philipp Kratzer , Marc Toussaint , Jim Mainprice

Modeling complex spatiotemporal dynamics, particularly in far-from-equilibrium systems, remains a grand challenge in science. The governing partial differential equations (PDEs) for these systems are often intractable to derive from first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Xizhe Wang , Xiaobin Song , Qingshan Jia , Hao Sun , Hongbo Zhao , Benben Jiang

Dynamical systems with long delay feedback can exhibit complicated temporal phenomena, which once re-organized in a two-dimensional space are reminiscent of spatio-temporal behavior. In this framework, normal forms description have been…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2020-12-30 Francesco Marino , Giovanni Giacomelli

A model-based approach to forecasting chaotic dynamical systems utilizes knowledge of the physical processes governing the dynamics to build an approximate mathematical model of the system. In contrast, machine learning techniques have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-09 Jaideep Pathak , Alexander Wikner , Rebeckah Fussell , Sarthak Chandra , Brian Hunt , Michelle Girvan , Edward Ott