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We consider a mean field hierarchy of models for large systems of interacting ellipsoids suspended in an incompressible fluid. The models range from microscopic to macroscopic mean field models. The microscopic model is based on three…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-11-25 Raul Borsche , Axel Klar , Anne Meurer , Oliver Tse

In this paper, we are interested in optimal decisions in a partially observable Markov universe. Our viewpoint departs from the dynamic programming viewpoint: we are directly approximating an optimal strategic tree depending on the…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Frederic Dambreville

We develop a framework for post model selection inference, via marginal screening, in linear regression. At the core of this framework is a result that characterizes the exact distribution of linear functions of the response $y$,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-03 Jason D Lee , Jonathan E Taylor

Markov Population Model is a commonly used framework to describe stochastic systems. Their exact analysis is unfeasible in most cases because of the state space explosion. Approximations are usually sought, often with the goal of reducing…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-05-19 Luca Bortolussi , Rytis Paškauskas

A reaction network is a chemical system involving multiple reactions and chemical species. Stochastic models of such networks treat the system as a continuous time Markov chain on the number of molecules of each species with reactions as…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Karen Ball , Thomas G. Kurtz , Lea Popovic , Greg Rempala

Focusing on stochastic systems arising in mean-field models, the systems under consideration belong to the class of switching diffusions, in which continuous dynamics and discrete events coexist and interact. The discrete events are modeled…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-18 Son L. Nguyen , George Yin , Tuan A. Hoang

In this paper, we consider a piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP), with known flow and deterministic transition measure, and unknown jump rate $\lambda$. To estimate nonparametrically the jump rate, we first construct an adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Nathalie Krell , Emeline Schmisser

We define the concept of an `open' Markov process, a continuous-time Markov chain equipped with specified boundary states through which probability can flow in and out of the system. External couplings which fix the probabilities of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-10-03 Blake S. Pollard

We consider stochastic reaction networks modeled by continuous-time Markov chains. Such reaction networks often contain many reactions, potentially occurring at different time scales, and have unknown parameters (kinetic rates, total…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-20 Linard Hoessly , Carsten Wiuf

This chapter presents an introduction to Markovian modeling for the analysis of sequence data. Contrary to the deterministic approach seen in the previous sequence analysis chapters, Markovian models are probabilistic models, focusing on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Jouni Helske , Satu Helske , Mohammed Saqr , Sonsoles López-Pernas , Keefe Murphy

In recent advances in finite-time thermodynamics, optimization of entropy production required for finite-time information processing is an important issue. In this work, we consider finite-time feedback processes in classical discrete…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-18 Rihito Nagase , Takahiro Sagawa

We introduce a Bayesian framework for inference with a supervised version of the Gaussian process latent variable model. The framework overcomes the high correlations between latent variables and hyperparameters by using an unbiased pseudo…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-29 Charles Gadd , Sara Wade , Akeel Shah , Dimitris Grammatopoulos

The paper provides an overview of the theory and applications of risk-sensitive Markov decision processes. The term 'risk-sensitive' refers here to the use of the Optimized Certainty Equivalent as a means to measure expectation and risk.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-23 Nicole Bäuerle , Anna Jaśkiewicz

Tensor network (TN) techniques - often used in the context of quantum many-body physics - have shown promise as a tool for tackling machine learning (ML) problems. The application of TNs to ML, however, has mostly focused on supervised and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-02-14 Edward Gillman , Dominic C. Rose , Juan P. Garrahan

In queuing theory and related problems, it is very important to know the numerical characteristics of an investigated system - both in stationary and non-stationary modes. In some cases, such characteristics can be calculated, but this is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Galina Zverkina , Mais Farkhadov

Markov chain approximations of symmetric jump processes are investigated. Tightness results and a central limit theorem are established. Moreover, given the generator of a symmetric jump process with state space $\mathbbm{R}^d$ the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. Husseini , M. Kassmann

Filtering---estimating the state of a partially observable Markov process from a sequence of observations---is one of the most widely studied problems in control theory, AI, and computational statistics. Exact computation of the posterior…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Bhaskara Marthi , Hanna Pasula , Stuart Russell , Yuval Peres

We consider the task of generating draws from a Markov jump process (MJP) between two time-points at which the process is known. Resulting draws are typically termed bridges and the generation of such bridges plays a key role in…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-31 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

We study a mutliscale jump process introduced in a work by Crudu, Debussche, Muller and Radulescu. Using an adequate coupling, we are able to prove the strong convergence, for the uniform topology, to a piecewise deterministic Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Baptiste Nicolas Huguet

Predictive recursion is an accurate and computationally efficient algorithm for nonparametric estimation of mixing densities in mixture models. In semiparametric mixture models, however, the algorithm fails to account for any uncertainty in…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Ryan Martin , Surya T. Tokdar