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We propose a novel distribution-free scheme to solve optimization problems where the goal is to minimize the expected value of a cost function subject to probabilistic constraints. Unlike standard sampling-based methods, our idea consists…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Francesco Cordiano , Matin Jafarian , Bart De Schutter

In this paper, we propose a distributionally robust control synthesis for an agent with stochastic dynamics that interacts with other agents under uncertainties and constraints expressed by signal temporal logic (STL). We formulate the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-14 Arash Bahari Kordabad , Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Lars Lindemann , Sebastien Gros , Dimos V. Dimarogonas , Sadegh Soudjani

While techniques have been developed for chance constrained stochastic optimal control using sample disturbance data that provide a probabilistic confidence bound for chance constraint satisfaction, far less is known about how to use sample…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-31 Shawn Priore , Meeko Oishi

This paper builds Wasserstein ambiguity sets for the unknown probability distribution of dynamic random variables leveraging noisy partial-state observations. The constructed ambiguity sets contain the true distribution of the data with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Dimitris Boskos , Jorge Cortés , Sonia Martínez

Several issues in machine learning and inverse problems require to generate discrete data, as if sampled from a model probability distribution. A common way to do so relies on the construction of a uniform probability distribution over a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-16 Quentin Merigot , Filippo Santambrogio , Clément Sarrazin

We study decision dependent distributionally robust optimization models, where the ambiguity sets of probability distributions can depend on the decision variables. These models arise in situations with endogenous uncertainty. The developed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Fengqiao Luo , Sanjay Mehrotra

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a sequence of independent observations is considered. It is assumed that the pre-change distribution is known (accurately estimated), while the only information about the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-29 Liyan Xie , Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Wasserstein \textbf{D}istributionally \textbf{R}obust \textbf{O}ptimization (DRO) is concerned with finding decisions that perform well on data that are drawn from the worst-case probability distribution within a Wasserstein ball centered…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Jiajin Li , Caihua Chen , Anthony Man-Cho So

A wide array of machine learning problems are formulated as the minimization of the expectation of a convex loss function on some parameter space. Since the probability distribution of the data of interest is usually unknown, it is is often…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Emilie Chouzenoux , Henri Gérard , Jean-Christophe Pesquet

We study a model for adversarial classification based on distributionally robust chance constraints. We show that under Wasserstein ambiguity, the model aims to minimize the conditional value-at-risk of the distance to misclassification,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Nam Ho-Nguyen , Stephen J. Wright

Classical stochastic control assumes perfect knowledge of the uncertainty affecting the plant. In practice, however, such information is often incomplete. To address this limitation, we consider a distributionally robust control (DRC)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-06 Riccardo Cescon , Andrea Martin , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

We study contextual chance-constrained programming under decision-dependent uncertainty. In this setting, a decision not only needs to satisfy constraints but also alters the distribution of uncertain outcomes. This dependency makes the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Xiangting Liu , Shengran Wang , Kaile Yan , Zhi-Hai Zhang

We consider stochastic programs conditional on some covariate information, where the only knowledge of the possible relationship between the uncertain parameters and the covariates is reduced to a finite data sample of their joint…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Adrián Esteban-Pérez , Juan M. Morales

Standard rare-event simulation techniques require exact distributional specifications, which limits their effectiveness in the presence of distributional uncertainty. To address this, we develop a novel framework for estimating rare-event…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Dohyun Ahn , Huiyi Chen , Lewen Zheng

We provide a unifying framework for distributed convex optimization over time-varying networks, in the presence of constraints and uncertainty, features that are typically treated separately in the literature. We adopt a proximal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Kostas Margellos , Alessandro Falsone , Simone Garatti , Maria Prandini

Choosing decision variables deterministically (deterministic decision-making) can be regarded as a particular case of choosing decision variables probabilistically (probabilistic decision-making). It is necessary to investigate whether…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Xun Shen , Yuhu Wu , Satoshi Ito , Jun-ichi Imura

This paper considers structural optimization under a reliability constraint, where the input distribution is only partially known. Specifically, when we only know that the expected value vector and the variance-covariance matrix of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-19 Yoshihiro Kanno

The effects of treatments are often heterogeneous, depending on the observable characteristics, and it is necessary to exploit such heterogeneity to devise individualized treatment rules (ITRs). Existing estimation methods of such ITRs…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-09 Daido Kido

When dealing with real-world optimization problems, decision-makers usually face high levels of uncertainty associated with partial information, unknown parameters, or complex relationships between these and the problem decision variables.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-01 Antonio Alcántara , Carlos Ruiz

We study a variety of Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (WDRO) problems where the distributions in the ambiguity set are chosen by constraining their Wasserstein discrepancies to the empirical distribution. Using the notion…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Hong T. M. Chu , Meixia Lin , Kim-Chuan Toh