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We develop a novel test of the instrumental variable identifying assumptions for heterogeneous treatment effect models with conditioning covariates. We assume semiparametric dependence between potential outcomes and conditioning covariates.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-19 Thomas Carr , Toru Kitagawa

Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification. This study explores the application of conformal prediction in scenarios where covariates are missing, which introduces significant challenges for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Jingsen Kong , YIming Liu , Guangren Yang

We propose a new multivariate dependency measure. It is obtained by considering a Gaussian kernel based distance between the copula transform of the given d-dimensional distribution and the uniform copula and then appropriately normalizing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Angshuman Roy , Alok Goswami , C. A. Murthy

Regression models describing the joint distribution of multivariate response variables conditional on covariate information have become an important aspect of contemporary regression analysis. However, a limitation of such models is that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-27 Nadja Klein , Torsten Hothorn , Luisa Barbanti , Thomas Kneib

In this paper, we introduce a ${\mathcal L}_2$ type test for testing mutual independence and banded dependence structure for high dimensional data. The test is constructed based on the pairwise distance covariance and it accounts for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-20 Shun Yao , Xianyang Zhang , Xiaofeng Shao

We propose a new nonparametric test for the supposition of independence between two continuous random variables. The test is based on the size of the longest increasing subsequence of a random permutation. We identified the independence…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-13 Jesus E. Garcia , Veronica A. Gonzalez-Lopez

The Azadkia-Chatterjee coefficient is a rank-based measure of dependence between a random variable $Y \in \mathbb{R}$ and a random vector ${\boldsymbol Z} \in \mathbb{R}^{d_Z}$. In this paper, we propose a multivariate extension that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Wenjie Huang , Zonghan Li , Yuhao Wang

We address the problem of testing conditional mean and conditional variance for non-stationary data. We build e-values and p-values for four types of non-parametric composite hypotheses with specified mean and variance as well as other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Yixuan Fan , Zhanyi Jiao , Ruodu Wang

Testing for the conditional independence structure in data is a fundamental and critical task in statistics and machine learning, which finds natural applications in causal discovery - a highly relevant problem to many scientific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-03 Bao Duong , Nu Hoang , Thin Nguyen

Linear regression is a frequently used tool in statistics, however, its validity and interpretability relies on strong model assumptions. While robust estimates of the coefficients' covariance extend the validity of hypothesis tests and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-23 Werner Brannath , Martin Scharpenberg

In this paper, we focus on the problem of statistical dependence estimation using characteristic functions. We propose a statistical dependence measure, based on the maximum-norm of the difference between joint and product-marginal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Povilas Daniušis , Shubham Juneja , Lukas Kuzma , Virginijus Marcinkevičius

We propose three novel consistent specification tests for quantile regression models which generalize former tests in three ways. First, we allow the covariate effects to be quantile-dependent and nonlinear. Second, we allow parameterizing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Tim Kutzker , Nadja Klein , Dominik Wied

For testing conditional independence (CI) of a response Y and a predictor X given covariates Z, the recently introduced model-X (MX) framework has been the subject of active methodological research, especially in the context of MX knockoffs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-01 Eugene Katsevich , Aaditya Ramdas

We investigate testing of the hypothesis of independence between a covariate and the marks in a marked point process. It would be rather straightforward if the (unmarked) point process were independent of the covariate and the marks. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-16 Jiří Dvořák , Tomáš Mrkvička , Jorge Mateu , Jonatan González

Several procedures have been recently proposed to test the simplifying assumption for conditional copulas. Instead of considering pointwise conditioning events, we study the constancy of the conditional dependence structure when some…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-24 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian , Aleksey Min

It is often stated in papers tackling the task of inferring Bayesian network structures from data that there are these two distinct approaches: (i) Apply conditional independence tests when testing for the presence or otherwise of edges;…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Robert G. Cowell

The conditional mutual information I(X;Y|Z) measures the average information that X and Y contain about each other given Z. This is an important primitive in many learning problems including conditional independence testing, graphical model…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-16 Arman Rahimzamani , Sreeram Kannan

We propose a method to distinguish causal influence from hidden confounding in the following scenario: given a target variable Y, potential causal drivers X, and a large number of background features, we propose a novel criterion for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-07 You-Lin Chen , Lenon Minorics , Dominik Janzing

We propose three measures of mutual dependence between multiple random vectors. All the measures are zero if and only if the random vectors are mutually independent. The first measure generalizes distance covariance from pairwise dependence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Ze Jin , David S. Matteson

This study introduces a data-driven, machine learning-based method to detect suitable control variables and instruments for assessing the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in observational data. Our approach tests the joint…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Nicolas Apfel , Julia Hatamyar , Martin Huber , Jannis Kueck