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The modeling of time series is becoming increasingly critical in a wide variety of applications. Overall, data evolves by following different patterns, which are generally caused by different user behaviors. Given a time series, we define…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Wenjie Hu , Jianping Huang , Liang Wu , Yang Yang , Zongtao Liu , Zhanlin Sun , Bingshen Yao , Ke Chen

Machine learning is the science of discovering statistical dependencies in data, and the use of those dependencies to perform predictions. During the last decade, machine learning has made spectacular progress, surpassing human performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-13 David Lopez-Paz

We address the common yet often-overlooked selection bias in interventional studies, where subjects are selectively enrolled into experiments. For instance, participants in a drug trial are usually patients of the relevant disease; A/B…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Haoyue Dai , Ignavier Ng , Jianle Sun , Zeyu Tang , Gongxu Luo , Xinshuai Dong , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

While modern physics and biology satisfactorily explain the passage from the Big Bang to the formation of Earth and the first cells to present-day life, respectively, the origins of biochemical life still remain an open question. Since…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-25 Praful Gagrani , David Baum

Population expansions trigger many biomedical and ecological transitions, from tumor growth to invasions of non-native species. Although population spreading often selects for more invasive phenotypes, we show that this outcome is far from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-14 Kirill S. Korolev

The origin of life must have been preceded by Darwin-like evolutionary dynamics that could propagate it. How did that adaptive dynamics arise? And from what prebiotic molecules? Using evolutionary invasion analysis, we develop a universal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-25 Charles D. Kocher , Ken A. Dill

Biological systems reach hierarchical complexity that has no counterpart outside the realm of biology. Undoubtedly, biological entities obey the fundamental physical laws. Can today's physics provide an explanatory framework for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-12 Yuri I. Wolf , Mikhail I. Katsnelson , Eugene V. Koonin

In complex systems, the interplay between nonlinear and stochastic dynamics, e.g., J. Monod's necessity and chance, gives rise to an evolutionary process in Darwinian sense, in terms of discrete jumps among attractors, with punctuated…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-03-18 Hong Qian

Rediscovering a new function for something can be just as important as the discovery itself. In 1982, Stephen Jay Gould and Elisabeth Vrba named this phenomenon Exaptation to describe a radical shift in the function of a specific trait…

Innovation is to organizations what evolution is to organisms: it is how organisations adapt to changes in the environment and improve. Governments, institutions and firms that innovate are more likely to prosper and stand the test of time;…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-07 T. M. A. Fink , M. Reeves , R. Palma , R. S. Farr

The mechanisms underlying eco-evolutionary dynamics (the feedback between ecological and evolutionary processes) are often unknown. Here, we propose that classical theory from behavioral ecology can provide a greater understanding of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-23 Kiyoko M. Gotanda , Damien R. Farine , Claudius F. Kratochwil , Kate L. Laskowski , Pierre-Olivier Montiglio

This study introduces a novel theoretical framework, the Stacked Autoencoder Evolution Hypothesis, which proposes that biological evolutionary systems operate through multi-layered self-encoding and decoding processes, analogous to stacked…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Hiroyuki Iizuka

1. Theoretical models pertaining to feedbacks between ecological and evolutionary processes are prevalent in multiple biological fields. An integrative overview is currently lacking, due to little crosstalk between the fields and the use of…

Observational studies are a key resource for causal inference but are often affected by systematic biases. Prior work has focused mainly on detecting these biases, via sensitivity analyses and comparisons with randomized controlled trials,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ilker Demirel , Zeshan Hussain , Piersilvio De Bartolomeis , David Sontag

Our understanding of risk preferences can be sharpened by considering their evolutionary basis. The existing literature has focused on two sources of risk: idiosyncratic risk and aggregate risk. We introduce a new source of risk, heritable…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-07-28 Yuval Heller , Arthur Robson

Diversity is an important factor in evolutionary algorithms to prevent premature convergence towards a single local optimum. In order to maintain diversity throughout the process of evolution, various means exist in literature. We analyze…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Thomas Gabor , Lenz Belzner , Claudia Linnhoff-Popien

While fields like Artificial Life have made huge strides in quantifying the mechanisms that distinguish living systems from non-living ones, particular mechanisms remain difficult to reproduce in silico. Known as open-endedness, we've been…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-07-18 Alyssa M Adams , Eliott Jacopin , Praful Gagrani , Olaf Witkowski

The effect of bias on hypothesis formation is characterized for an automated data-driven projection pursuit neural network to extract and select features for binary classification of data streams. This intelligent exploratory process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-05 John Patterson , Chris Avery , Tyler Grear , Donald J. Jacobs

Recent microbial experiments suggest that enhanced genetic drift at the frontier of a two-dimensional range expansion can cause genetic sectoring patterns with fractal domain boundaries. Here, we propose and analyze a simple model of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-12-12 Oskar Hallatschek , David R. Nelson

Our understanding of the evolutionary process has gone a long way since the publication, 150 years ago, of "On the origin of species" by Charles R. Darwin. The XXth Century witnessed great efforts to embrace replication, mutation, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-02 Susanna C. Manrubia , Jose A. Cuesta