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If the log likelihood is approximately quadratic with constant Hessian, then the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is approximately normally distributed. No other assumptions are required. We do not need independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Charles J. Geyer

We consider the problem of high-dimensional Gaussian graphical model selection. We identify a set of graphs for which an efficient estimation algorithm exists, and this algorithm is based on thresholding of empirical conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-06 Animashree Anandkumar , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Alan. S. Willsky

We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

The paper considers model selection in regression under the additional structural constraints on admissible models where the number of potential predictors might be even larger than the available sample size. We develop a Bayesian formalism…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

An often-cited fact regarding mixing or mixture distributions is that their density functions are able to approximate the density function of any unknown distribution to arbitrary degrees of accuracy, provided that the mixing or mixture…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-03-05 Hien D. Nguyen , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

We study the problem of parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations with small noise and fast oscillating parameters. Depending on how fast the intensity of the noise goes to zero relative to the homogenization parameter, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Alexandra Chronopoulou

Causal models are important tools to understand complex phenomena and predict the outcome of controlled experiments, also known as interventions. In this work, we present statistical rates of estimation for linear cyclic causal models under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Jan-Christian Hütter , Philippe Rigollet

We consider nonsynchronous sampling of parameterized stochastic regression models, which contain stochastic differential equations. Constructing a quasi-likelihood function, we prove that the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator and the Bayes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-21 Teppei Ogihara , Nakahiro Yoshida

A general formulation is presented for continuum scaling limits of stochastic spanning trees. A spanning tree is expressed in this limit through a consistent collection of subtrees, which includes a tree for every finite set of endpoints in…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-19 Michael Aizenman , Almut Burchard , Charles M. Newman , David B. Wilson

High-dimensional statistical inference with general estimating equations are challenging and remain less explored. In this paper, we study two problems in the area: confidence set estimation for multiple components of the model parameters,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-28 Jinyuan Chang , Song Xi Chen , Cheng Yong Tang , Tong Tong Wu

Linear mixed-effects models are widely used in analyzing clustered or repeated measures data. We propose a quasi-likelihood approach for estimation and inference of the unknown parameters in linear mixed-effects models with high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-10 Sai Li , Tony T. Cai , Hongzhe Li

Typical properties of computing circuits composed of noisy logical gates are studied using the statistical physics methodology. A growth model that gives rise to typical random Boolean functions is mapped onto a layered Ising spin system,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-18 Alexander Mozeika , David Saad , Jack Raymond

Filtering and parameter estimation under partial information for multiscale problems is studied in this paper. After proving mean square convergence of the nonlinear filter to a filter of reduced dimension, we establish that the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

In this paper we introduce a general framework for the study of limits of relational structures in general and graphs in particular, which is based on a combination of model theory and (functional) analysis. We show how the various…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Jaroslav Nesetril , Patrice Ossona De Mendez

We consider a stochastic directed graph on the integers whereby a directed edge between $i$ and a larger integer $j$ exists with probability $p_{j-i}$ depending solely on the distance between the two integers. Under broad conditions, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Denis Denisov , Sergey Foss , Takis Konstantopoulos

This paper shows that the normalized maximum likelihood~(NML) code-length calculated in [1] is an upper bound on the NML code-length strictly calculated for the Gaussian Mixture Model. When we use this upper bound on the NML code-length, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-20 So Hirai , Kenji Yamanishi

We develop a maximum-likelihood based method for regression in a setting where the dependent variable is a random graph and covariates are available on a graph-level. The model generalizes the well-known $\beta$-model for random graphs by…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-24 Johan Wahlström , Isaac Skog , Patricio S. La Rosa , Peter Händel , Arye Nehorai

The graphical lasso is a widely used algorithm for fitting undirected Gaussian graphical models. However, for inference on functionals of edge values in the learned graph, standard tools lack formal statistical guarantees, such as control…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Sofia Guglielmini , Gerda Claeskens , Snigdha Panigrahi

We derive uniform convergence rates for the maximum likelihood estimator and minimax lower bounds for parameter estimation in two-component location-scale Gaussian mixture models with unequal variances. We assume the mixing proportions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Tudor Manole , Nhat Ho