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We marshall the arguments for preferring Bayesian hypothesis testing and confidence sets to frequentist ones. We define admissible solutions to inference problems, noting that Bayesian solutions are admissible. We give seven weaker…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-22 Roger Sewell

Given samples from two non-negative random variables, we propose a family of tests for the null hypothesis that one random variable stochastically dominates the other at the second order. Test statistics are obtained as functionals of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-16 Tommaso Lando , Sirio Legramanti

In astronomy, there is an opportunity to enhance the practice of validating models through statistical techniques, specifically to account for measurement error uncertainties. While models are commonly used to describe observations, there…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-09 Fiorenzo Stoppa , Eric Cator , Gijs Nelemans

While Null Hypothesis Significance Testing (NHST) remains a widely used statistical tool, it suffers from several shortcomings in its common usage, such as conflating statistical and practical significance, the formulation of inappropriate…

In this work, we address the question of how to enhance signal-agnostic searches by leveraging multiple testing strategies. Specifically, we consider hypothesis tests relying on machine learning, where model selection can introduce a bias…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-08-23 Gaia Grosso , Marco Letizia

To assess whether there is some signal in a big database, aggregate tests for the global null hypothesis of no effect are routinely applied in practice before more specialized analysis is carried out. Although a plethora of aggregate tests…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer

P-hacking poses challenges to traditional hypothesis testing. In this paper, we propose a robust method for the one-sample significance test that can protect against p-hacking from sample manipulation. Precisely, assuming a sequential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Xifeng Li , Shuzhen Yang , Jianfeng Yao

In this paper, we build a new test of rational expectations based on the marginal distributions of realizations and subjective beliefs. This test is widely applicable, including in the common situation where realizations and beliefs are…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-18 Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Christophe Gaillac , Arnaud Maurel

Statistically equivalent blocks are not frequently considered in the context of nonparametric two-sample hypothesis testing. Despite the limited exposure, this paper shows that a number of classical nonparametric hypothesis tests can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-11 Chase Holcombe

We propose a hypothesis test that allows for many tested restrictions in a heteroskedastic linear regression model. The test compares the conventional F statistic to a critical value that corrects for many restrictions and conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-24 Stanislav Anatolyev , Mikkel Sølvsten

We consider the hypothesis testing problem of detecting conditional dependence, with a focus on high-dimensional feature spaces. Our contribution is a new test statistic based on samples from a generative adversarial network designed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-20 Alexis Bellot , Mihaela van der Schaar

In this paper, we consider the problem of simultaneously testing many two-sided hypotheses when rejections of null hypotheses are accompanied by claims of the direction of the alternative. The fundamental goal is to construct methods that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-21 Anjana Grandhi , Wenge Guo , Joseph P. Romano

It is observed that for testing between simple hypotheses where the cost of Type I and Type II errors can be quantified, it is better to let the optimization choose the test size.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-05 Michele Pavon

Hypothesis testing is a statistical inference approach used to determine whether data supports a specific hypothesis. An important type is the two-sample test, which evaluates whether two sets of data points are from identical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Weizhi Li , Visar Berisha , Gautam Dasarathy

We consider nonparametric testing in a non-asymptotic framework. Our statistical guarantees are exact in the sense that Type I and II errors are controlled for any finite sample size. Meanwhile, one proposed test is shown to achieve minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Yun Yang , Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

Given a finite-valued sample $X_1,...,X_n$ we wish to test whether it was generated by a stationary ergodic process belonging to a family $H_0$, or it was generated by a stationary ergodic process outside $H_0$. We require the Type I error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Daniil Ryabko

The problem of binary hypothesis testing between two probability measures is considered. New sharp bounds are derived for the best achievable error probability of such tests based on independent and identically distributed observations.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Valentinian Lungu , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

An important issue for many economic experiments is how the experimenter can ensure sufficient power for rejecting one or more hypotheses. Here, we apply methods developed mainly within the area of clinical trials for testing multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-06 Sebastian Jobjörnsson , Henning Schaak , Oliver Mußhoff , Tim Friede

Many commonly used test statistics are based on a norm measuring the evidence against the null hypothesis. To understand how the choice of a norm affects power properties of tests in high dimensions, we study the consistency sets of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer

This paper develops new insights into quantitative methods for the validation of computational model prediction. Four types of methods are investigated, namely classical and Bayesian hypothesis testing, a reliability-based method, and an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-06-25 You Ling , Sankaran Mahadevan
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